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C'mon Dave! I am not new. I already have sought out these questions with Manny and others before I came here. I am seriously having some serious issues with my crunches and can't figure out the things I am asking.
I do select the best plays and have been playing DFS successfully for 6 years now. Not to discredit your statement, but how many times have you won a GPP with no PMR left going into the final game/s of a slate? Not to mention, there's real ownership benefits to having access to late games. @taicheese @00oreo00
I need some help with the above. I always seem to have very solid projections and my player pool is perfect for me. The problem is that I do not know how to essentially use the settings, rules and groups appropriately. If anyone has some advanced advice it would be greatly appreciated. For example, I currently have max players per team set at 2 on a normal slate. When I crunch I tend to get lineups with 2 players from the same team in a myriad of lineups which is fine, but I have a couple questions; first, can I set a rule that will allow me to have lineups with only one stack of 2 players instead of 2x2x2 etc? Next, Is there a way to a rule that says IF two Bucks THEN use Kemba? I only see an option that makes me force a position in stacking rules or limit rules. Next, is there an optimal way to use groups? What I want in my crunches is ultimately a wide range of lineups using the players in my pool spread out across the slate. I can't count how many times I have zero PMR going into the final game of the slate and in a good spot to do well. Thanks.

Replied To: NBA

1 Reply by sayheyjay24
Additional findings and actual results:

Cousins proj 43 @4.2X actual 64
Rondo proj 37 @4.5X actual 63
Dray proj 44 @4.4X actual 57
ZBo proj 25 @4.2X actual 55
Bosh proj 35 @4.6X actual 53 ( I was on him with Whiteside news)
Thad proj 35 @4.9X actual 52
Lowry proj 39 @4.7X actual 52 (this was deemed a bad MU and stay away game) He was my fav PG heading into the slate
Westy proj 61 @5.7X actual 50
PG proj 40 @4.5X actual 50
Ish proj 31 @ 4.5X actual 48
Ibaka proj 33 @5.2X actual 47 (notes all stated that Ibaka doesnt improve with KD off court)

The projections actually round out OK for cash game purposes in some instances. Any thoughts?

Replied To: NBA

1 Reply by sayheyjay24
I figured I would follow up as since I wrote this more things have come to light. First thing I'd like to do is evaluate my lineup from last night.

After reading around in here I tried to use multiple projection systems (Basketball Monster, RG, Roto QL, and FC) and average them out. The first thing that I did was tried to come up with an aggregate number for Westy with KD being out. KD would have been the first person in my LU as SF was glaringly weak and I didnt like anything down low. This would all change dramatically.

Some notables:

Westy 5.7X
Rondo 4.5X
IT2 5.1X
Rubio 5.2X
Kemba 4.7X
Ish 4.5X
Larkin 5X
Mills 6X

Klay 4.6X
Wiggins 4.9X
Wade 4.6X
Hood 4.8X
KCP 4.9X
Turner 5.3X
Oladipo 4.5X

Those are just PG and SG, but just to give an idea of what I computed. Once Payton was ruled out I immediately re-evaluated Oladipo as he became my top SG with the highest ceiling. RG had this game with a low total and overall bad defensive MU. I projected Oladipo at 32+ minutes with 33 FPS and a ceiling of 40+. Next play was Monta Ellis with the news of Hill being out. I projected him, but actually gave the bump to PG13. This again was a stay away game from the "experts" at RG my daily slate read. I actually ended up having 4 SG as my top value plays, but was saying to myself "there is no way I can play 3 SG!" It would have been a decent play. I ended up rostering Turner, Hood and Dipo.

Suffice to say, all the experts were all in on the OKC/SAC game with most focus on OKC and their low-end options (Roberson, Waiters, Morrow, and Payne) as salary savers in order to stud up. Every day I see posts on Twitter thanking RG and their "experts" for helping them cash in GPPs. Sorry, but I have been a part of the RG community for a very long time and even wrote for them, but I have never turned a profit on their analysis. In fact, I have been swayed off players more times than not from their writings. This isnt intended to be a bashing session on RG as they are my go to source for material.

Some additional notes from game research:

Min projected 105 points
Boost all MIN
PHI projected 99 points +6
TOR low total and tough MU
Pacers have worst MU on slate
Pacers proj low total
MIA projected +2 above avg
BOS projected 105
BRK proj 98 points +2
ORL low total and slow pace
ORL proj 97 points -3
DET proj 100 points
SAC/OKC proj very high total
OKC proj 111
No Parker boost Kawhi
UT proj 99 points +3

These notes had me avoiding basically every game that had significant scoring. This happens on a daily basis.

I spent so much time researching yesterday that I actually had one of my worst performing lineups since I can remember.

Posted Topic: NBA

1 Topic by sayheyjay24
Gentlemen,

I have read up and done plenty of digging around in the forums.

First, I am typically a single entry GPP NBA guy on DK for the purpose of this thread. I am using this as a tool to better myself in NBA. I love NBA!

I have seen that a lot of players use various projections sites and average them out. Is this a tried and true strategy for using FC to its optimal capacity?

What sites are you guys using and are they reliable? If so, who has the best projections?

How does the thumbs up, thumbs down weigh on lineup construction?

How come FC doesnt update more frequently especially as a paid tool?

Does anyone have lineup construction advice?

When constructing lineups how do you guys find your "core, or value?" I typically start by grazing over each position and finding which is weak for the slate and then find out if I should be paying up there or not and then trying to find value by monitoring Twitter and news throughout the day.

Here's to a New Year and hoping that this thread invokes some to chime in and provide meaningful insight to help out myself and those whom read it. FYI, I have taken down 2 GPP's in MLB so I do have plenty to add as far as comprehensive input. Just fairly new to NBA and trying to get better.
Well done, I knocked off Condia once in a contest h2h where he poached the guy who didnt get his lineup set in time. I contacted DK and asked them how the random guy I was playing turned into Condia and they told me that if the player didnt have his lineup set in time for the contest to start that someone else could poach it. I ended up beating him by a few points thanks in part to a nice night from CP3. Do you have any advice on how you construct lineups Jimmy? I am trying to get better at hoops.
I certainly think its quite time consuming to average out projections from 5 different sources. I typically play GPP only and limited entry. I am certainly looking for an edge, and I thought I was going to find it here, but tbh there really isnt much in the wake of offerings. Projections and an optimizer is pretty much it. I have not had any success on here yet and I am a Grinder with several years experience and big hits in baseball and football. Highest finish in NBA is 8th overall. Anyone else have any advice?