Hey fellas,
First of all, I want to thank you for what you've created here... I think you're on the verge of something big...
I've done some number crunching with the NBA Lineup Rewind feature and I'm going to post some of the data I've found here below...
*note* the results are nearly 100% "default" based on the lineups provided by the Lineup Optimizer... The only changes I made at all to the suggested to lineups were due to injury or late scratches...
So, what I did was take a look back at the results from the past few days... I generated 100 lineups for each day, using the projection / ceiling / floor options... Essentially, I created 300 unique lineups each night... The results are below (with questions to follow)
I used the $1 Shot #2 as a reference for these results ($2 shot with 57,000 entries used on 12/3 and 12/4
*note* some lineups finished close to the bubble of the cash line for a minimum return, but, others finished much higher... For argument sake, I'll use the min cash amount for a total winnings number
12/3/14 - $2 Shot 57,000 entries
$2 Shot -- Pro LU -- -- min cash = 290.9 -- 97/100 LU Cashed --
Min $ = $5.00, so, Total = $5.00(97) = $485 - $200 buy in = $185
$2 Shot -- Ceiling LU -- min cash = 290.9 -- 53/100 LU Cashed --
Min $ = $5.00, so, Total = $5.00(53) = $265 - $200 buy in = $65
$2 Shot -- Floor LU -- min cash = 290.9 -- 41/100 LU Cashed --
Min $ = $5.00, so, Total = $5.00(41) = $205 - $200 buy in = $5
Daily totals: Cashed 191/300 (63.67%) for a Profit of $355
(again, this is assuming all lineups were MIN CASH which some were much higher)
12/4/14 - $2 Shot 57,000 entries
$2 Shot -- Pro LU -- min cash score = 255.5 -- 11/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $5.00, so, Total = $5.00(11) = $55 - $200 buy in = (-)$145
$2 Shot -- Ceiling LU -- min cash score = 255.5 -- 11/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $5.00, so, Total = $5.00(53) = $265 - $200 buy in = (-)$145
$2 Shot -- Floor LU -- min cash score = 255.5 -- 75/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $5.00, so, Total = $5.00(75) = $375 - $200 buy in = $175
Daily totals: Cashed 97/300 (32.33%) for a Profit of (-)$115
(again, this is assuming all lineups were MIN CASH which some were much higher)
12/6/14 - $1 Swat #2 13,000 entries
$1 Swat -- Pro LU -- min cash score = 292.4 -- 21/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(21) = $63 - $100 buy in = (-)$37
$1 Swat -- Ceiling LU -- min cash score = 292.4 -- 30/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(30) = $90 - $100 buy in = (-)$10
$1 Swat -- Floor LU -- min cash score = 292.4 -- 86/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(86) = $258 - $100 buy in = $158
Daily totals: Cashed 137/300 (45.67%) for a Profit of $111
(again, this is assuming all lineups were MIN CASH which some were much higher)
12/8/14 - $1 Swat #2 13,000 entries
$1 Swat -- Pro LU -- min cash score = 294.8 -- 37/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(37) = $111 - $100 buy in = $11
$1 Swat -- Ceiling LU -- min cash score = 294.8 -- 68/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(30) = $204 - $100 buy in = $104
$1 Swat -- Floor LU -- min cash score = 294.8 -- 0/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(0) = $0 - $100 buy in = (-)$100
Daily totals: Cashed 105/300 (35%) for a Profit of $15
(again, this is assuming all lineups were MIN CASH which some were much higher)
12/9/14 - $1 Swat #2 13,000 entries
$1 Swat -- Pro LU -- min cash score = 262.2 -- 24/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(24) = $72 - $100 buy in = (-)$28
$1 Swat -- Ceiling LU -- min cash score = 262.2 -- 0/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(0) = $0 - $100 buy in = (-)$100
$1 Swat -- Floor LU -- min cash score = 262.2 -- 87/100 LU Cashed -- Min $ = $3.00, so, Total = $3.00(87) = $261 - $100 buy in = $161
Daily totals: Cashed 111/300 (37%) for a Profit of $33
(again, this is assuming all lineups were MIN CASH which some were much higher)
Lineup Totals from Above (sorry I did not play on 12/5/14
Pro LU: 190/500 (38%) = $86.00
Ceiling LU: 162/500 (32.4%) =(-)$86.00
Floor LU: 289/500 (57.8%) = $399.00
Total = 641/1500 (42.73%) = $399 profit
So, as you can see, the Floor LU generated by this Optimizer is pretty solid... I think if it can cash in this GPP anywhere close to 50% than it should do pretty well on a daily basis in Cash Games (50/50, H2H and DU)
Now, here is my question, and this is really important...
I run the optimizer and set my lineups, before lock of course, usually around 5:30pm after the most recent Fantasy Cruncher update... Then the day plays itself out as it does every night for us grinders...
Then the following morning, I will log onto the Fantasy Cruncher and run the previous nights lineups to see how they "would have done" if I had played all 300...
My question is... The next morning, will the same 100 lineups be generated in the LINEUP REWIND that were Generated BEFORE Lock the Day Before??? Assuming I make the same exclusions as I made prior to lock, then the LINEUP REWIND should in fact give me the same set of lineups correct?
Basically, I'm trying to figure out if these numbers are anywhere close to accurate? Or, if I just wasted a few hours of my time haha
sorry about the formatting