NBA Chat Room
I actually like the current set up very much. There's going to be positive correlation between R1/R2 performances and the corresponding R3/R4 performances. However, the gap between R1 and R2 performance tends to be surprisingly large when it comes to the extreme performances required to win GPPs.
I recommend playing around with Lineup Rewind to see this effect in action. For any past tournament, crunch the top 100+ lineups based on Actual Score. Then click on 1&2 and 3&4 on the exposure list and you'll notice that the players for each wave are mostly different.
Another thing you can do in Lineup Rewind is see the actual scores for all 70 wave placement variations of an 8-golfer lineup. Observe a lineup, for instance the Masters optimal lineup, which scored 448.1. Next, remove all players from your pool by selecting "None" from the dropdown next to the "find player" search bar. Then manually add each of the golfers from this original lineup back into the player pool for BOTH R1/R2 and R3/R4. Once those 16 players are in your pool, crunch 70 lineups and look at how much the scores vary. At the Masters, there was a difference of well over 100 points between the optimal lineup and its weakest wave placement variations. Try the same procedure on other tournaments and you'll notice that this is a common occurrence.
If you're still not comfortable with the way players are placed into rounds, there are many ways to tweak this. You can cap exposures, exclude players from the R1/R2 or R3/R4 groups, or even manipulate the projections to backload studs more heavily. For instance, try doubling all of your R34 projections without changing R12 projections, and see how that affects your exposures.
I recommend playing around with Lineup Rewind to see this effect in action. For any past tournament, crunch the top 100+ lineups based on Actual Score. Then click on 1&2 and 3&4 on the exposure list and you'll notice that the players for each wave are mostly different.
Another thing you can do in Lineup Rewind is see the actual scores for all 70 wave placement variations of an 8-golfer lineup. Observe a lineup, for instance the Masters optimal lineup, which scored 448.1. Next, remove all players from your pool by selecting "None" from the dropdown next to the "find player" search bar. Then manually add each of the golfers from this original lineup back into the player pool for BOTH R1/R2 and R3/R4. Once those 16 players are in your pool, crunch 70 lineups and look at how much the scores vary. At the Masters, there was a difference of well over 100 points between the optimal lineup and its weakest wave placement variations. Try the same procedure on other tournaments and you'll notice that this is a common occurrence.
If you're still not comfortable with the way players are placed into rounds, there are many ways to tweak this. You can cap exposures, exclude players from the R1/R2 or R3/R4 groups, or even manipulate the projections to backload studs more heavily. For instance, try doubling all of your R34 projections without changing R12 projections, and see how that affects your exposures.