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Topic: Individual Matchups

1 Topic by drex
Do the projections take into account individual match ups inside each game? Or do they only account for the total defense of the opposition? I understand there are many factors that determine individual match ups, specifically foul trouble, cross matching, coaching strategy etc so this could be something that is very difficult to predict.

For instance, say someone is playing against Memphis, a generally solid overall defensive team. Do the projections take into account the specific players going against, say, Zach Randolph vs Tony Allen?

Love this site, keep up the great work!
Right now everything is based on defense against position. So we might now something like Memphis allows 20% less points but 10% more free throws against scoring guards. All of this is used to calculate an accurate prediction for each player.

Of course if someone like Tony Alan were to sit out then our stat multipliers would be off so we also do quite a bit of manually adjusting to make sure our projections are accurate every day.
Good to know. Thanks for the insight!