Week 11 NFL – The Cruncher List for Week 11: Game-By-Game Analysis for DraftKings and FanDuel

The Cruncher List | Week 11 DraftKings and FanDuel NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Week 11 Line-up.

New Orleans @ Philadelphia (-2), Projected Total: 43 points

Saints vs. QB: 29th Eagles vs. QB: 16th
Saints vs. RB: 2nd Eagles vs. RB: 22nd
Saints vs. WR: 31st Eagles vs. WR: 5th
Saints vs. TE: 15th Eagles vs. TE: 31st

New Orleans – Projected total: 20.5 points

QB Trevor Semien DK: $5,300 FD: $7,000
RB Mark Ingram DK: $5,400 FD: $6,800
WR Marquez Callaway DK: $5,100 FD: $5,800
WR Deonte Harris DK: $4,200 FD: $5,400

This game is pretty straight forward to me – outside of a couple players, I don’t have too much interest.  For the Saints, RB Mark Ingram looks poised to handle another 3-down workload this week with Alvin Kamara unable to practice on Thursday, after logging a limited practice on Wednesday.  I’d expect Kamara to sit in this one, and Ingram remains an elite play this week for an affordable price point.  I don’t think he is quite the free square that he was last week, but there’s no arguing the upside for an expected three down workload for the Saints this week against an Eagles run defence that has not been too great at limiting opposing RB’s this season.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Mark Ingram

Good Plays

  • None

Philadelphia – Projected total: 22.5 points

QB Jalen Hurts DK: $6,800 FD: $7,700
RB TBD DK: $ FD: $
WR DeVonta Smith DK: $6,400 FD: $6,600
TE Dallas Goedert DK: $4,400 FD: $5,700

Keep an eye on the status of RB Miles Sanders as the week progresses, but either way, I don’t plan on picking on the Saints run defence.  I’d expect some sort of time share in the Eagles backfield and I think they can be avoided pretty easily, even though they have been great at running the ball the last few weeks.

That success on the ground has not shockingly, limited the upside and floor for QB Jalen Hurts – who is affordable (and probably worth keeping in your large field GPP player pools this week).  I don’t love the spot for him, even though the Saints have given up some big fantasy days to opposing passing attacks.  To me, both him and DeVonta Smith are good plays, but I do prefer other options on the board.  TE Dallas Goedert, is someone that I do think is an elite play, however.  The price point for him on each site is fantastic for a player with his skillset and opportunity, and all signs look to be towards him recovering well from last week’s concussion, which cut his day short.  I like the spot for him this week.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Dallas Goedert

Good Plays

  • QB Jalen Hurts
  • WR DeVonta Smith

Miami (-3) @ NY Jets, Projected total: 44.5 points

Dolphins vs. QB: 30th Jets vs. QB: 18th
Dolphins vs. RB: 23rd Jets vs. RB: 32nd
Dolphins vs. WR: 27th Jets vs. WR: 24th
Dolphins vs. TE: 26th Jets vs. TE: 21st

Miami – Projected Total: 23.75 points

QB Tua Tagovailoa DK: $5,500 FD: $7,000
RB Myles Gaskin DK: $5,700 FD: $6,200
WR Jaylen Waddle DK: $5,600 FD: $6,700
WR Albert Wilson DK: $3,100 FD: $5,100
TE Mike Gesicki DK: $5,200 FD: $6,300

The Dolphins are fresh off of a Week 10 win over Baltimore, led by their defence, which had a fantastic night against Lamar Jackson.  With Tua back under center, they got enough things going in the second half to pick up a rare win and hope to build on it this week on the road against the Jets.  The ground game for Miami going up against the Jets run defence will be a battle of the minds.  Something has to give here, but with how poor Miami’s OL has been up front, I am not banking on them getting much of anything going.  If you wanted to sprinkle in some Gaskin based on his volume – you could make an argument, but having watched enough of the Dolphins games this year, I think the only way Gaskin is large field GPP relevant with the current OL’s state, it would have to be through 6-8 receptions.

As for the passing game, I do like the spot/price points on both Tua and WR Jaylen Waddle this week.  Both of them are affordable and draw a plus match-up here.  I expect Waddle to get his usual 8-10+ targets, making him a high floor option in a plus match-up.  Tua, on the other hand is one of the better value plays at QB on the board this week and I think there’s a path to him having a big game relative to his price points.  TE Mike Gesicki put up a donut last week and is a little over priced for my liking in this one.  He’s worth mixing into builds if you have significant exposure to Tua, but I wouldn’t go nuts here and he doesn’t make the cut for me in terms of being on The Cruncher List.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Tua Tagovailoa
  • WR Jaylen Waddle

Good Plays

  • TE Mike Gesicki
  • Dolphins DST

NY Jets – Projected Total: 20.75 points

QB Joe Flacco DK: $4,600 FD: $6,300
RB Michael Carter DK: $5,800 FD: $6,600
WR Corey Davis DK: $6,400 FD: $5,000
WR Elijah Moore DK: $5,900 FD: $4,900

With Flacco under center this week – I don’t have too much interest in the passing game, though if you like what you’ve seen from WR Elijah Moore, he could be worth mixing into your player pool this week.  Personally, going up against tough corners – I do prefer other options on the board.

As for the running game, RB Michael Carter has been playing great – though a lot of that was with Mike White under center, who was checking down to the RB at an extremely high clip.  Miami’s run defence has looked better in the last couple of games, but I do think they remain vulnerable to opposing backs.  I wouldn’t call Carter an elite play in this one – but he does make for an interesting pivot off of some of the likely chalk priced in the same range.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Michael Carter

Good Plays

  • None

Washington @ Carolina (-3), Projected Total: 43

Football Team vs. QB: 32nd Panthers vs. QB: 5th
Football Team vs. RB: 16th Panthers vs. RB: 8th
Football Team vs. WR: 31nd Panthers vs. WR: 2nd
Football Team vs. TE: 18th Panthers vs. TE: 9th

Washington, Projected Total: 20.00 points

QB Taylor Heinicke DK: $5,300 FD: $6,700
RB Antonio Gibson DK: $5,900 FD: $6,700
RB JD McKissic DK: $5,000 FD: $5,200
WR Terry McLaurin DK: $7,000 FD: $7,000
TE John Bates DK: $2,500 FD: $4,800

The match-up here for Washington is a tough one – though I do think there is one place worth considering, and that is at TE.  Ricky Seals-Jones is going to be out this week and it is looking like Logan Thomas is also going to remain out this week for Washington.  TE John Bates looks like he will get the start this week and he did haul in all three of his targets last week when he got some run as Washington was forced down the depth chart.  He’s a great option assuming that Thomas is out for a punt at the position to free up some cash elsewhere…though with the value available at RB, I am not sure if it is needed from a roster construction standpoint.

The Cruncher List

  • TE John Bates (DK)

Good Plays

  • TE John Bates (FD)
  • Washington DST (DK)

Carolina – Projected Total: 23 points

QB Cam Newton DK: $5,100 FD: $7,500
RB Christian McCaffrey DK: $8,900 FD: $10,000
WR DJ Moore DK: $5,900 FD: $6,700
WR Robby Anderson DK: $4,600 FD: $5,600

The Panthers check in with a pretty low point total this week, but I do have interest in a couple options on their offence.  First of all, RB Christian McCaffrey shook off the rust a week ago, putting up a monster day all around that could have been slate-breaking if he found the end-zone a couple of times (he was close 3x).  He also narrowly missed the 100 rushing yards bonus – but all that said, he still managed to put up 26.1 DKP, for a nice ROI at a managable $8,400.  I think that he’s an elite option this week in a game that Carolina wants to have as they drive towards trying to make a playoff push.

The other option that I like is site specific, and it’s QB Cam Newton on DK.  He’s priced dirt cheap at $5,100 – and it’s hard to envision him not paying that off if you think that Carolina will be able to move the ball.  He’s an elite threat near the goal-line, as evidenced in his return to the league in his first game, where he threw a short TD pass and ran another one in from the 1-yard line in limited action.  He draws the start this week and is an elite option this week on DraftKings, while I do think he’s a little expensive on FanDuel for my liking.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Cam Newton (DK)
  • RB Christian McCaffrey
  • Panthers DST (DK)

Good Plays

  • Panthers DST (FD)

Indianapolis @ Buffalo (-7), Projected Total: 49.5

Colts vs. QB: 24th Bills vs. QB: 1st
Colts vs. RB: 3rd Bills vs. RB: 1st
Colts vs. WR: 28th Bills vs. WR: 1st
Colts vs. TE: 29th Bills vs. TE: 6th

Indianapolis – Projected Total: 21.25 points

QB Carson Wentz DK: $5,500 FD: $6,900
RB Jonathan Taylor DK: $8,300 FD: $8,800
WR Michael Pittman Jr DK: $6,100 FD: $6,900
WR Zach Pascal DK: $4,000 FD: $5,400

The Colts come into this one with a tough draw, going up against a Buffalo defence that has been the best at defending all positions in the league, outside of TE – where they are still strong.  The only appeal here for me is if you did want to game stack, and if that is the case, I have no problem if you wanted to use RB Jonathan Taylor or WR Michael Pittman.  Personally, I don’t think I’ll be in that camp this week – I’d like to see someone put up fantasy production against Buffalo first – but if you wanted to get exposure to a very good player at low ownership levels, both of them are viable options this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Buffalo – Projected Total: 28.25 points

QB Josh Allen DK: $8,100 FD: $8,800
WR Stefon Diggs DK: $7,900 FD: $8,100
WR Emmanuel Sanders DK: $5,300 FD: $5,800
WR Cole Beasley DK: $4,800 FD: $5,700
TE Dawson Knox DK: $4,000 FD: $5,600

The Bills come into this one with one of the highest projected totals on the board, a week after they put up 45 points against the Jets a week ago.  While the Colts defence are a tougher task, their secondary remains vulnerable and there’s a lot of intrigue to the Bills passing game this week.

Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs are going to be popular, and both of them are elite, albeit expensive options at their respective positions.  Diggs had yet to have his breakout game up until last week – but he broke out, posting a 8-162-1 line on 13 targets a week ago.  I like his chances of having another strong game in this one.

Outside of that duo, I think it’s worth getting exposure to Sanders, Beasley and Knox in large field GPP’s.  Beasley has been tough to forecast, and with injured ribs (though he did return to practice on Thursday) – I wouldn’t be shocked if we saw a second straight quiet game from the slot WR.  My preference here outside of Allen Diggs would be, WR Emmanuel Sanders, TE Dawson Knox, and then Beasley in that order – but I do think you can mix in all three of them to builds.

As for the running game, it looks like RB Zach Moss will be back this week – and while we did see Matt Breida score twice a week ago, I don’t have too much interest here in any of the Bills backs.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Josh Allen
  • WR Stefon Diggs

Good Plays

  • WR Emmanuel Sanders
  • TE Dawson Knox

Detroit @ Cleveland (-11), Projected Total: 43.5

Lions vs. QB: 20th Browns vs. QB: 27th
Lions vs. RB: 29th Browns vs. RB: 15th
Lions vs. WR: 9th Browns vs. WR: 23rd
Lions vs. TE: 8th Browns vs. TE: 19th

Detroit – Projected Total: 16.25 points

QB TBD DK: $ FD: $
RB D’Andre Swift DK: $7,000 FD: $7,500
WR Kalif Raymond DK: $5,000 FD: $5,300
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown DK: $4,300 FD: $5,500
TE TJ Hockenson DK: $5,700 FD: $5,900

With Jared Goff out – I really don’t have much interest in anyone on the Lions offensively.  RB D’Andre Swift has a new injury (shoulder), so while he has played through his groin ailment all season – keep an eye on his status if you were firing him up in any line-ups this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Cleveland – Projected Total: 27.25 points

QB Baker Mayfield DK: $5,400 FD: $6,800
RB Nick Chubb DK: $7,800 FD: $9,000
WR Jarvis Landry DK: $5,100 FD: $6,300
WR Donovan Peoples-Jones DK: $4,500 FD: $5,700
TE Austin Hooper DK: $3,200 FD: $5,300

All signs are pointing towards RB Nick Chubb being back this week after missing Week 10 while he was on the Covid list.  I’d expect him to see his full compliment of touches int his one and he is one of the best elite expensive backs on the board in a game that has a great run-heavy game script projected based on the total.  He was taken off of the Covid list on Friday, so I think you can safely fire him up on a fair proportion of line-ups this week.

Outside of him, I don’t have too much interest in the passing game, even in a plus match-up.  While I think they will win this game fairly handily, I would be surprised if any options through the air are a part of a large field GPP win for Week 11 and have no problem continuing to avoid the passing game, at least until we see WR Jarvis Landry look more healthy than he has for most of 2021.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Nick Chubb
  • Browns DST

Good Plays

  • None

San Francisco (-6) @ Jacksonville, Projected Total: 45 points

49ers vs. QB: 21st Jags vs. QB: 9th
49ers vs. RB: 4th Jags vs. RB: 14th
49ers vs. WR: 17th Jags vs. WR: 16th
49ers vs. TE: 1st Jags vs. TE: 20th

San Francisco – Projected Total: 25.5  points

QB Jimmy Garoppolo DK: $5,600 FD: $7,100
RB Jeff Wilson Jr. DK: $5,100 FD: $5,000
WR Deebo Samuel DK: $7,800 FD: $7,600
WR Brandon Aiyuk DK: $5,000 FD: $6,000
TE George Kittle DK: $6,300 FD: $6,800

RB Eli Mitchell is listed as doubtful with a finger injury – one that apparently he suffered in the second quarter on Monday night that the team didn’t know about.  If he sits, I would expect RB Jeff Wilson Jr. to be one of the most popular backs on the board thanks to his ability to run and catch the ball out of the backfield well.  I think he’s an elite option this week, assuming Mitchell is out…though there is some risk.  After all, this is the 49ers we’re talking about and playing time can be very hard to predict, even when it seems straight forward.

As for the passing game, WR Deebo Samuel continues to put up massive numbers and he’s a high floor/high ceiling option at the position who continues to produce at an elite clip.  It’s hard to imagine at this point that he doesn’t have a good game as long as he plays 4 quarters.

Kittle just misses the cut for me as an elite TE option.  He’s expensive for my liking, I’d rather just pay up for Kelce if I was going to go this high at the TE position, but I wouldn’t blame anyone that did want to fire him up.  The match-up is a good one, and he looked great last week in the 49ers win over the Rams.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Jeff Wilson Jr. (if Mitchell is out)
  • WR Deebo Samuel

Good Plays

  • TE George Kittle

Jacksonville – Projected Total: 19.5 points

QB Trevor Lawrence DK: $5,200 FD: $6,500
RB James Robinson DK: $6,400 FD: $7,100
WR Marvin Jones DK: $5,200 FD: $5,700
WR Jamal Agnew DK: $4,700 FD: $5,300
TE Dan Arnold DK: $4,100 FD: $5,400

The Jags are a team that I don’t have too much interest in here.  I wouldn’t blame anyone that wanted to include Robinson or Arnold in their player pools – but for me, both of them miss the cut for The Cruncher List by a pretty good margin.  Robinson has shown the ability to get there in negative game scripts due to his ability to chip in on the passing game – but I don’t think this is a week where you’ll want to go nuts with your exposure to any of the Jaguars options.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB James Robinson

Houston @ Tennessee (-10), Projected Total: 44.5 points

Texans vs. QB: 28th Titans vs. QB: 26th
Texans vs. RB: 26th Titans vs. RB: 7th
Texans vs. WR: 25th Titans vs. WR: 30th
Texans vs. TE: 30th Titans vs. TE: 11th

Houston – Projected Total: 17.25 points

QB Tyrod Taylor DK: $5,000 FD: $6,600
RB David Johnson DK: $4,400 FD: $5,500
WR Brandin Cooks DK: $6,000 FD: $6,600

No thanks. The Titans defence has looked very strong of late, and it’s hard to imagine the Texans getting things done offensively.  WR Brandin Cooks would be the guy that you’d want to roll with if you did want some exposure here to what is likely to be garbage time, but personally – I prefer other options on the board this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Tennessee – Projected Total: 27.25 points

QB Ryan Tannehill DK: $6,700 FD: $7,800
RB D’Onta Foreman DK: $4,900 FD: $6,200
RB Adrian Peterson DK: $4,800 FD: $5,700
WR AJ Brown DK: $7,700 FD: $7,200
WR Marcus Johnson DK: $3,500 FD: $5,600

The projected total here for the Titans is high, and there’s a fair amount of fantasy appeal for Week 11 for me.  WR AJ Brown is one of the best options on the board at a price point that doesn’t completely break the bank.  He has drawn very tough match-ups the last two weeks, going up against Jalen Ramsey and Lattimore – but this should be a bounce back game from him and even though he is much more expensive, relatively on DK this week – I think he’s an elite play on both sites.  The same could be said as a value play for WR Marcus Johnson on DK this week, where he is almost min priced.  With Julio Jones out, Johnson hauled in 5 passes for 100 yards a week ago and he’s an elite punt with upside on that site in a plus match-up this week.  Tannehill just misses the cut for me – I do prefer other options on the board, but if you did want to roll with a 3-man passing stack here, I could see the validity to it in a plus match-up.

As for the running game, I would expect the Titans to continue to split touches between Foreman and Peterson.  Foreman saw a little more work in Week 10, but I would be very surprised if we saw either of the options take a lead-back role and significantly out-touch and snap the other.  I think you can mix them into builds for modest exposure in large field GPP’s, but personally, I prefer other options on the board.

The Cruncher List

  • WR AJ Brown
  • WR Marcus Johnson (DK)

Good Plays

  • QB Ryan Tannehill
  • Titans DST

Green Bay (-1) @ Minnesota, Projected Total: 47

Packers vs. QB: 2nd Vikings vs. QB: 11th
Packers vs. RB: 6th Vikings vs. RB: 24th
Packers vs. WR: 3rd Vikings vs. WR: 21st
Packers vs. TE: 17th Vikings vs. TE: 5th

Green Bay – Projected Total: 24 points

QB Aaron Rodgers DK: $7,000 FD: $7,700
RB AJ Dillon DK: $6,200 FD: $7,000
WR Davante Adams DK: $8,400 FD: $8,400

This one is pretty straight forward for me:

  • RB AJ Dillon – elite play with Aaron Jones out.  Dillon has looked strong when given the chance, tough to bring down, and has even chipped in a little bit in the receiving game over the past two games.  In this one, I would expect him to clear 20 touches, making him an elite option without much in the way of competition this week.
  • WR Davante Adams – He ranks 3rd in the league in air yards despite missing a game, and going up against a below average Vikings secondary – I think he’ll be among the highest owned options this week, and for good reason.  He has seen 25 targets in the past two games, though one of them was with Jordan Love – and the other was with Rodgers making his way back from Covid.  I like his chances of having a breakout game this week.

QB Aaron Rodgers just misses the cut for The Cruncher List for me.  I think he’s worth mixing into your player pool – but unless you like the Packers to smash the over on their projected total, I do think you can probably get more ROI for your spend at QB this week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB AJ Dillon
  • WR Davante Adams

Good Plays

  • QB Aaron Rodgers

Minnesota – Projected Total: 23 points

QB Kirk Cousins DK: $6,100 FD: $7,400
RB Dalvin Cook DK: $8,200 FD: $8,400
WR Justin Jefferson DK: $8,100 FD: $7,900
WR Adam Thielen DK: $6,600 FD: $7,100
TE Tyler Conklin DK: $3,900 FD: $5,500

The Packers defence has been good enough for me to not love anyone for the Vikings this week – though I wouldn’t argue with anyone that wanted to get exposure to RB Dalvin Cook or WR Justin Jefferson, both of whom are elite players at their respective positions.  For me, I think I would only go there if I was stacking a couple of Packers for someone to run it back in hopes that this game turns into a high scoring affair.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Dalvin Cook
  • WR Justin Jefferson

Baltimore (-4) @ Chicago, Projected Total: 44.5

Ravens vs. QB: 14th Bears vs. QB: 19th
Ravens vs. RB: 20th Bears vs. RB: 19th
Ravens vs. WR: 11th Bears vs. WR: 29th
Ravens vs. TE: 25th Bears vs. TE: 4th

Baltimore  – Projected Total: 24.25 points

QB Lamar Jackson DK: $8,000 FD: $8,400
WR Marquise Brown DK: $7,100 FD: $7,300
WR Rashod Bateman DK: $4,500 FD: $5,800
TE Mark Andrews DK: $6,000 FD: $7,000

For me this week – I don’t love the spot for the Ravens, going up against the Bears.  I’d expect the Bears to throw all kinds of blitzes the way of Baltimore, following the blueprint that Miami layed out in Week 10 to see if they can adjust to it.  I think that all four of the options above are worth mixing into your player pools – but I don’t love the spot for the more expensive guys.  I do, however – really like the upside on WR Rashod Bateman as a value play at the WR position.

While a lot of it was in garbage time, he caught 6 of 8 targets for 60 yards against Miami a week ago and has hit double digit DKP in three straight games – all the while not finding the endzone over that stretch.  I’d expect similar volume for him again this week, and if he finds paydirt, he could be a great value option – and one certainly worth considering as a twist to some of the more chalky value plays on the board this week.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Rashod Bateman (DK)

Good Plays

  • WR Marquise Brown
  • WR Rashod Bateman (FD)
  • TE Mark Andrews

Chicago – Projected Total: 20.25 points

QB Justin Fields DK: $5,700 FD: $6,800
RB David Montgomery DK: $5,500 FD: $6,800
WR Darnell Mooney DK: $5,200 FD: $6,000
TE Cole Kmet DK: $3,400 FD: $5,100

It’s looking like WR Allen Robinson will be sitting this week, though with his lack of regular involvement in the offence, there aren’t too many targets that have to be shared as a result of his absence.  For me, I don’t have too much interest here as the Bears are going up against a pretty strong Ravens defence.  WR Darnell Mooney should see 6-8+ targets in this one, and RB David Montgomery will probably approach 20 touches, but they would be secondary plays at best in my books.  I like the pieces that the Bears have in place moving forward, other than….you know, the scheme.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB David Montgomery
  • WR Darnell Mooney

Cincinnati (-1) @ Las Vegas, Projected Total: 50.5

Bengals vs. QB: 10th Raiders vs. QB: 23rd
Bengals vs. RB: 25th Raiders vs. RB: 21st
Bengals vs. WR: 12th Raiders vs. WR: 7th
Bengals vs. TE: 10th Raiders vs. TE: 32nd

Cincinnati – Projected Total: 25.75 points

QB Joe Burrow DK: $6,600 FD: $7,400
RB Joe Mixon DK: $7,600 FD: $7,600
WR JaMarr Chase DK: $7,200 FD: $7,700
WR Tee Higgins DK: $5,400 FD: $6,500
WR Tyler Boyd DK: $4,800 FD: $5,600
TE CJ Uzomah DK: $3,500 FD: $5,200

The Bengals have a healthy projected total in this one, heading out on the road to take on the Raiders.  For me, WR JaMarr Chase is an elite option at WR – he comes into this one with two quiet games despite seeing 22 targets over those two outings.  I think this week will be a prime bounce back game for him in a match-up that I like – and I have him on The Cruncher List this week.  WR Tee Higgins also continues to see plenty of looks and it’s just a matter of time before he has a big game.  I have him just off ofthe c The Cruncher List as a mid-priced WR, though admittedly, I think the way to approach WR this week is to barbell it with a value play and two-three high spends.  Given that I like the top two WR’s here – it shouldn’t come as a shock for me to say that I love this spot for Burrow at his price point as well.

As for the ground game, RB Joe Mixon comes into this one with back to back two TD games.  The Raiders don’t have an elite run defence – but for me, he’s a little bit expensive to warrant that price tag, even though the upside of him as a receiver out of the back-field does intrigue me after seeing the damage that was done by Darrel Williams last week.  He narrowly misses the cut for The Cruncher List this week – but if you were looking for a high priced pivot at RB that should be lower owned than some of the other options, he’s an intriguing game theory pivot.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Joe Burrow
  • WR JaMarr Chase

Good Plays

  • RB Joe Mixon
  • WR Tee Higgins

Las Vegas – Projected Total: 24.75 points

QB Derek Carr DK: $5,900 FD: $7,200
RB Josh Jacobs DK: $6,000 FD: $6,900
RB Kenyan Drake DK: $5,200 FD: $5,900
WR Hunter Renfrow DK: $5,800 FD: $6,100
WR Bryan Edwards DK: $4,100 FD: $5,500
TE Darren Waller DK: $6,100 FD: $6,700

The Raiders offence has looked pretty dismal over the past couple of weeks as they continue to try to adjust without their deep threat that blew the top off of a lot of defences, opening up more room underneath.  For me, now that Renfrow is more expensive, I really don’t have any interest in here in anyone outside of TE Darren Waller, though given his lacklustre production, I won’t be putting him on The Cruncher List even though the price point is awfully tempting.  I was intrigued with the usage of WR Bryan Edwards, and if we see another strong game from him, I think I’ll be pretty high on touting him the rest of the way – but on a deep 12 game slate, I have no problem opting for a fade here on Vegas this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Arizona (-2) @ Seattle, Projected Total: 48

Cards vs. QB: 4th Seahawks vs. QB: 17th
Cards vs. RB: 5th Seahawks vs. RB: 30th
Cards vs. WR: 8th Seahawks vs. WR: 13th
Cards vs. TE: 2nd Seahawks vs. TE: 22nd

Arizona – Projected Total: 25 points

QB Kyler Murray DK: $7,900 FD: $8,200
RB James Connor DK: $6,100 FD: $7,200
WR Christian Kirk DK: $5,700 FD: $6,500
WR AJ Green DK: $4,600 FD: $5,400
TE Zach Ertz DK: $4,800 FD: $5,000

This game will largely depend on the status of Kyler Murray.  With Colt McCoy less than 100%, and with Kyler getting some practice work in, I suspect that he’ll probably be under center this week for the Cards, but I have no problem taking a wait and see approach with their passing game in this one, especially without WR DeAndre Hopkins, who has already been ruled out.  I don’t have enough faith in the receiving options to give them more than a couple percentage points of exposure in builds, I prefer other options on the board.

As for the ground game, if Murray is under center, I do think that RB James Connor is an elite play who should continue to see plenty of work for an offence that should be able to put up some points.  He was quiet last week against Carolina, but did salvage his day and avoided being a complete disappointment with a late score.  I like his chances of finding the endzone in this one, and I think he’ll be able to find more running room than he did a week ago.

The Cruncher List

  • RB James Connor

Good Plays

  • Cardinals DST

Seattle – Projected Total: 23 points

QB Russell Wilson DK: $6,500 FD: $7,300
RB Alex Collins DK: $5,000 FD: $5,600
WR DK Metcalf DK: $6,800 FD: $7,500
WR Tyler Lockett DK: $6,000 FD: $6,800
TE Gerald Everett DK: $3,100 FD: $5,000

The Seahawks looked like a mess last week against Green Bay in a 17-0 loss where they failed to get things going when they had the football.  It was Wilson’s first game back from injury – but he certainly did not look like his usual self.  Going up against a tough Arizona offence – I have no problem waiting to see them look like some semblance of their usual selves in the passing game before backing up the truck in terms of how many rosters I include them on.  With that said, if you did like this spot for them, you have a chance to get a couple pieces in the passing attack at rock bottom ownership levels as I am not expecting them to be popular this week after looking so poor a week ago.

The ground game here for me is a pretty easy pass, even with Carson ruled out for the season, which should open up plenty of work for Collins.  I don’t think he’ll be able to give the upside needed to be a part of a large field GPP win in this match-up.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Dallas @ Kansas City (-2), Projected Total: 56.5

Cowboys vs. QB: 13th Chiefs vs. QB: 31st
Cowboys vs. RB: 18th Chiefs vs. RB: 9th
Cowboys vs. WR: 19th Chiefs vs. WR: 18th
Cowboys vs. TE: 16th Chiefs vs. TE: 27th

Dallas – Projected Total: 27.25 points

QB Russell Wilson DK: $7,200 FD: $8,400
RB Ezekiel Elliott DK: $7,700 FD: $8,500
WR CeeDee Lamb DK: $7,600 FD: $8,000
WR Michael Gallup DK: $4,200 FD: $5,400
TE Dalton Schultz DK: $4,600 FD: $6,000

This game has no shortage of options, and with the highest projected total on the board by a wide margin, you can expect the key cogs in both offences to be very popular.  With WR Amari Cooper being put on the Covid list, there is one less mouth to feed through the air here in this one, which should be a nice boost to the other options in the passing attack for Dallas.

Starting there, WR CeeDee Lamb is an elite option this week.  This game should see no shortage of points going up on the board, and coming into this one fresh off of a two score game, making it the 4th game out of 5 where he has cleared 19 DKP, I love this spot for him.  He’s an elite play who will have to make plays if Dallas wants to pick up a win this week.  With Cooper’s absence, WR Michael Gallup and WR Cedric Wilson (assuming he plays), are worth keeping in your player pool.  Gallup should see plenty of snaps in this one – and while I don’t have enough trust in him to toss him onto The Cruncher List – he does make for a very intriguing cheap way to get exposure to this game through the air.  For me, Dak is an elite option if you are looking to spend up on QB this week.

TE Dalton Schultz has been pretty quiet over the past couple of games, but with Cooper’s absence, I think he’ll be relied on a little more than he has been lately for Dallas to try and move the ball through the air.  I think he’s an elite option at TE this week.

Finally, RB Ezekiel Elliott has had two weeks in a row where he has not seen his usual number of touches that we’ve come accustomed to.  I think the main reason for that is both games were lopsided (last week in a win against Atlanta and the week before in a loss to Denver).  I’d expect him to approach 20 touches in this one and I think he’s an elite option here for the Cowboys, even though KC’s defensive front has been better this season against the run.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Dak Prescott
  • RB Ezekiel Elliott
  • WR CeeDee Lamb
  • TE Dalton Schultz

Good Plays

  • WR Michael Gallup

Kansas City – Projected Total: 29.25 points

QB Patrick Mahomes DK: $7,600 FD: $8,300
RB Darrel Williams DK: $5,400 FD: $6,300
WR Tyreek Hill DK: $8,200 FD: $8,500
WR Mecole Hardman DK: $4,000 FD: $5,500
TE Travis Kelce DK: $7,100 FD: $7,300

The Chiefs looked like their usual selves last week in a lopsided win over the Raiders – and we’ll see if they can build on that for a second straight week here against Dallas.  They check in with the highest projected total on the board, and while I don’t think you have to roster them this week, fading them does pose significant risk.  The price point on Mahomes is great compared to where he usually checks in at – and I think he’s an elite play here.  He looked much better last week, and while I’m not 100% convinced that all trouble is in the rear view mirror for the Chiefs, I do think he’s one of the best options on the board at QB this week.

WR Tyreek Hill leads the league in air yards and is a fantastic option at WR for a high spend.  To me – this week, him and Davante Adams are on their own tier at the top of the WR class.  I think he has a big game on Sunday.  TE Travis Kelce is the top choice on the board if you are looking at spending up at TE this week.  I prefer him to some of the options that are in the $5k-6.5k range at the position.  I like the idea of just paying more to get up to Kelce from a pricing standpoint.  Over the past two weeks, he has seen 18 targets and has cleared 40 DKP between the two games.

As for the running game, keep an eye on the status of Clyde Edwards-Helaire.  If he suits up, I don’t have much interest here as I think they will be in a timeshare.  If he does sit, I do think that RB Darrel Williams is an elite option this week, mainly due for his prowess that he has shown in the passing game.  He didn’t do much against GB through the air, but in two other recent games, he posted lines of 6-61 on 6 targets, and last week’s 101 yard effort through the air with a score against the Raiders.  I’d expect Mahomes to continue to look his way on Sunday.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Patrick Mahomes
  • RB Darrel Williams (if CEH is out)
  • WR Tyreek Hill
  • TE Travis Kelce

Good Plays

  • None

Best of luck in your Week 11 DFS action!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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