DraftKings NFL Strategy: Analyzing Winning GPP Lineups Week 4

NFL DFS: Breaking down tournament winning DraftKings NFL lineups and fantasy football strategy – Week 4

How do you win NFL tournaments on DraftKings? Let’s dig in and find out.


NFL 2021-week-4 $20 150 Max Entries 251238 Total Entries

The Millionaire Maker ended with 211 users max entering 150 lineups, while 29 turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, two were entered by a 150 max user. Ultimately JZinser won the day with 24 players used and six unique teams stacked. JZinser cashed six lineups and took home the million-dollar purse.

 

week2 winner

 

Breaking it all down.

In this series of articles, I’ll be referencing the players directly correlated to the QB as “primary stacks,” any other correlation will be counted as a “secondary stack.”

This lineup features a three-player DAL QB/WR/OPP-TE primary stack, spending $16,700. We’ll also be keeping track of the FLEX spot, and this lineup goes with an RB, spending $6,700. In total, the lineup used $49,900 in salary and carried an 88.5% ownership percentage sum.

Takeaways and observations.

This lineup goes light on correlation using only a small primary stack. QB/WR/OPP (14.2%) was the second most popular stack in this tournament compared to QB/WR (22.1%). This lineup scored 255.32 fantasy points compared to 242.38 from the Slant; there’s essentially no margin for error when it comes to winning in a field size as large as the millionaire maker.


NFL 2021-week-4 $9 150 Max Entries 39215 Total Entries
We’ll move now to a smaller, easier to analyze contest.  The Slant ended with 127 users max entering 150 lineups, while 20 turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, two were entered by a 150 max user. Ultimately Dudeoflife won the day with 147 entries, 127 players used, and 21 unique teams stacked. Dudeoflife cashed 34 lineups and took home the 30k purse.

8-22 winner

Breaking it all down.

This lineup features a three-player PHI QB/WR/OPP-WR primary stack, spending $20,600. For secondary stacks, we have a two-player WAS@ATL RB/WR stack, spending $11,000, and a two-player SEA@SF TE/WR stack, spending $9,100. For the FLEX, this lineup goes with a WR, spending $6,500. In total, the lineup used $50,000 in salary and carried an 82.2% ownership percentage sum.

Takeaways and observations.

This lineup utilizes multiple secondary stacks. As I’ve mentioned previously in this article, I believe this is a better alternative to onslaught primary stacks with numerous players from the same game. In this tournament, QB/WR/OPP (19.8%) was the most popular stack construction, followed by QB/WR (14.4%) and QB/2WR/OPP (11.4%).


Final Thoughts

In this weekly article, we will continue to try and answer the question,How do you win NFL Tournaments on DraftKings?

You won’t find Air Yards or recency bias in this article as we focus on what matters. Hopefully, the thoughts and ideas shared here inspire improvement in your own NFL DFS process, and as always, we’ll be here to run it back for week 5.


All data was gathered and analyzed using Lineup Study on FantasyCruncher. Lineup Study is an FC PRO add-on; gain full access to Lineup Study, our platform to research and learn about your opponents. Analyze how the top players are building their lineups to take your game to the next level. Stop guessing and start learning.

About Dustin Shook

Dustin is an experienced DFS player who has had success across multiple sports and platforms. Dustin is a GPP specialist focusing on game theory and data analytics. When he's not grinding daily fantasy sports contests, Dustin enjoys R programming and hanging out with his son. He can be found on twitter @dshook420

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