MLB DFS: Breaking down the top daily fantasy baseball hitters and team stacks on FanDuel & DraftKings for September 13, 2021
Digging into today’s MLB DFS slate to highlight your best bats to stack.
This article will cover two to three teams that we think are the most stackable for MLB contests. If you are newer to DFS or MLB or want a general refresher on the impact of stacking in MLB, check out our research done this off-season, where we analyzed over 2,000,000 lineups to determine how many times a team of four or five hitters stacked from the same team won contests. In brief, 80.3% of winning lineups across 71 Main Slate tournaments (from 2020) had a stack of at least four players. 71.9% of that 80.3% had a stack of five players. Stacking is the main strategy to focus on when it comes to MLB. Therefore we will be approaching our hitter’s content from a stacking perspective.
Red Sox (@ Mariners)
I like Logan Gilbert as a future ace in this league as the former top prospect has shown signs of being an elite pitcher. With that being said I am more than willing to target the Red Sox against him tonight as Gilbert is in a bit of a tailspin. Gilbert has allowed at least five runs in three of his past five starts. In those starts, he has an ERA of 8.59, an HR/9 rate of 2.45, and a WHIP of 1.73. Gilbert is allowing an average exit velocity of 89.4 miles per hour, an average launch angle of 20.0-degrees, and a 10.0% barrel rate in those starts. All of those Statcast numbers scream target hitters against me. The Red Sox are also a team that frankly I love to target against any right-handed pitcher as they are one of the best hitting teams against righties. This season the Red Sox rank second in the majors in team OPS at .785, third in team wOBA at .335, and second in team ISO at .198 against right-handed pitching.
Dodgers (vs. Diamondbacks)
This season Zac Gallen has an ERA of 4.32, an HR/9 rate of 1.38, and a WHIP of 1.30. While Gallen’s numbers don’t scream stack against me as they are pretty average numbers the Dodgers are my favorite team to stack tonight for a couple of reasons. First is even though Gallen has average numbers he has been pretty consistent in being just an average or bad pitcher and doesn’t have very many shut-down games. Gallen has allowed at least three earned runs in 10 of his 19 starts including in five of his last seven games. Gallen’s Statcast numbers also are numbers that I feel are stackable numbers against as he is allowing an average exit velocity of 88.9 miles per hour and an average launch angle of 12.1-degrees. Another reason why the Dodgers are my favorite team on this smaller Monday slate with lots of solid pitching is the Diamondbacks bullpen is a trash bullpen. This season the Diamondbacks relievers have a combined HR/9 rate of 1.34 which is the sixth-highest in the majors, an ERA of 5.26 which is the second-highest in the majors, and a WHIP of 1.53 which is the highest in the majors. Those numbers show me that even if Gallen manages to hold the great Dodgers lineup in check of five to six innings that the Dodgers will still have plenty of time to put up big numbers.