Week 1 NFL DFS Quarterbacks (QB) Targets For FanDuel & DraftKings

Welcome to the FC Insights Quarterback Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the QB position for each DFS week of the 2021-2022 NFL DFS season.

Top Plays

Aaron Rodgers ($8,000 FD, $6,800 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Passing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Passing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to QBs
Saints 27.00 217.0 28 15.37

I am going to start with the negative when it comes to Mr. Doublecheck. First, Rodgers didn’t play a single down in the preseason after having an offseason in which he was fully prepared to retire. While I am sure Rodgers is ready to go there is a question on if he will have some rust to start the season at least in my eyes. The second negative for me is the match-up. The Saints’ defense last season was a really solid unit against the pass. The Saints allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards per game at 217.0 and the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game at 15.37 to quarterbacks last season. Their defense didn’t really make any major changes to make it seem like they are going to take a step back this season. With that said Aaron Rodgers is f*cking Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers is one of the best to ever play the game and is coming off a season in which he threw for 4,300 yards and 48 touchdowns on his way to MVP. Rodgers had at least 18 fantasy points in all but one game last season and averaged 25.5 DraftKings points. Rodgers also performed well against the Saints last season with 283 passing yards and three scores on his way to 24.52 DraftKings points. I also believe that the Packers might let Rodgers lose even more than normal as they try to appease him to try to get him to stay in Green Bay past this year.

Matt Ryan ($7,300 FD, $6,000 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Passing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Passing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to QBs
Eagles 25.50 237.4 27 17.95

Week one of the NFL season is always a weird week. We only have last season’s numbers to go off of and really don’t know how teams are going to perform. It really is a guessing game until about week four or five. One thing I am fairly confident in this season despite not really knowing is that the Falcons are going to pass the ball a lot. The Falcons just don’t look like they will have a great running game as their starting running back is going to be Mike Davis. While Davis is a solid back he is nothing special and excels mainly in the passing game. Besides the fact that the Falcons run game figures to be awful, they were already a team that liked to pass the ball as they had the fourth-most passing attempts last season at 39.25 a game. The sheer volume we are going to see from Ryan combined with his salary and elite skill position players that he has even with Julio Jones out of town makes him my favorite quarterback to roster this week.

Value Plays

Jameis Winston ($6,700 FD, $5,200 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Passing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Passing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to QBs
Packers 23.00 221.2 23 15.37

Winston won the Saints starting quarterback job after a great preseason. Winston threw for 219 yards and three touchdowns with a 72.7% completion percentage in his 22 attempts. What was even more impressive for me was Winston only threw one interception. Winston’s lack of ball control was the only reason his status as a starting quarterback has even been in question as Winston always puts up big passing numbers. While I am expecting Winston’s big preseason to carry over to week one I wouldn’t be doing my job if I didn’t tell you about some of the question marks I have with Winston. The first is the Saints will be without Michael Thomas this week. While the Saints have plenty of other excellent-skill position players losing a receiver as great as Thomas is a big blow no matter how you cook it. The second is while Winston is going to be starting we are still likely to see Taysom Hill in for the Saints especially in the red zone. Could Hill snipe a touchdown away from Winston? The last question mark I have is the match-up against the Packers. The Packers’ defense was really elite against the pass last season.

Mac Jones ($6,200 FD, $4,400 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Passing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Passing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to QBs
Dolphins 22.75 251.5 21 17.16

Playing rookie quarterbacks in week one in DFS rarely pays off for you especially when they are going up against a stout well-coached defense as the Dolphins have. With that being said I really like Mac Jones at his salary this week in GPPs. Jones is just different in my point of view. We saw it with the Crimson Tide last season and we saw it throughout training camp and the preseason. Jones just doesn’t play like a rookie and has a huge arm that helps him make all the throws. Jones also has an advantage that most rookie quarterbacks don’t have and that is the Patriots coach staff. Like him or not Bill Belichick is arguably the best coach in NFL history. Josh McDaniels is also one of the best offensive and quarterback coaches in the NFL. Just look at what McDaniels did with Tim Tebow to see how good of a coach McDaniels really is. Those two guys are going to make sure that Jones is in the best position to succeed each game starting this week. While I am probably too bullish on Jones I am going to call my shot and say Jones finishes as a top ten scoring quarterback in week one.

About Zach Qualtieri

Zach is an accomplished fantasy player who has had success in multiple sports across multiple platforms. Zach specializes in cash games where he can often be found playing $25 H2Hs but has also had a lot of success in GPPs as an 11-time winner of a large field GPP. When not talking about fantasy sports, Zach enjoys hanging out with his son. If you have any questions about fantasy or sports in general Zach can be found on Twitter @zachsgotmoxy.

Check Also

FantasyCruncher NFL Elo Ratings – Week 3 (9/26/21)

NFL DFS: FantasyCruncher NFL Elo Ratings – Week 3 (9/26/21) The Elo rating system is …