The 2021 John Deere Classic : The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 John Deere Classic! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The John Deere Classic Classic! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2021 John Deere Classic here!

The field heads to TPC Deere Run this week for The 2021 John Deere Classic, and on first glance, while there isn’t an exciting field – if you choose to build line-ups this week, someone still has to win!  Many of the big names on tour are taking this week off as they head oversees to prepare for next week’s The Open.  The course is pretty standard, and one where the players can rack up birdies and eagles – so we’ll be looking for the best ball strikers in the field as they try to navigate the Par 71 course that checks in at over 7200 yards.  Let’s have a look at five options to consider adding to your player pool for significant weight this week!

The Best of the best…

  • Daniel Berger, $11,000

Paying $11k for Berger may be tough to swallow – but to me, he’s clearly the class of the field this week, and as this is a lower quality field than a normal week with many players preparing for The Open, I think you can still build a pretty solid line-up with Berger in it.  I love using him in weaker field events (or as a ~$9k option in stronger field events) – he’s an elite ball striker that has the ability to rack up birdies, even on tough tracks, and I think that his game will play very well at TPC Deere Run this week.  I don’t think you necessarily ‘have’ to use him, but I do like the idea of what rosters you are able to construct in an event that will likely be quite unpredictable due to the field that are teeing it up this week.  If you are looking to save a bit of salary, Russell Henley is a fine option to sub in and is my favourite option out of the ‘next tier’…but admittedly, using him and Berger will be tough to do.

The Next Group

  • Maverick McNealy, $8,800

His approach game leaves some to be desired, but he’s shown the ability to score with ease (ranked 34th on tour in birdie average), and I think he’s one of the more talented golfers that is teeing it up this week at the tournament.  The price point is affordable and if you do opt to use Berger in builds, you will likely need to shed some salary rather than using someone in the $9-9.9k range.  McNealy fits that bill.  He comes into this one playing quite well, with top 30 finishes in each of his last three tournaments, all of which had better fields than this week’s tournament will have.  I like his chances of keeping things rolling this week, and wouldn’t be surprised to see him in the mix heading into the weekend.

  • Hank Lebioda, $8,400

He keeps playing well, and yes – I still like him with the price bump in a field like this one.  He’s a very good ball striker, a very strong putter, and I like his chances of keeping things rolling this week, even priced in the mid $8k range – which is a big bump from when I was touting him in the $6.8k-$7.2k range…but in this week’s event, I think the pricing is fair and have no problem continuing to play the hot hand here.

  • Scott Stallings, $7,400

Desperate times.  He’s got the ability to pop, evidenced by his 3rd place finish at The Byron Nelson and his 11th place finish at the Zurich – both of which were lower quality fields (though not this bad).  He’s priced cheap, and while there is risk in using him, that’s the case for ~80% of the field this week.  He’s a great ball striker (31st on tour in SG: APP) and when he’s dialed in, he can go low.  The risk/reward trade-off is here to make him a significant part of your builds as a value play this week at The 2021 John Deere Classic.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Matthew NeSmith, $7,200

His recent form has been pretty poor – but he did right the ship to play into the weekend last time out at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him turn the corner over the next little bit and rattle off some strong showings.  He’s got plenty of talent, but can be remarkably inconsistent, especially on the green.  He’s an elite ball striker who ranks 10th on tour in SG: APP and offers plenty of upside as a value play this week to include in builds.  I’m hoping that he will be largely ignored due to many missed cuts over the summer – but I did like what I saw from him last week.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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