The 2021 US Open : The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 US Open! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 US Open! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2021 US Open here!

This week the players head to Torrey Pines for the 2021 US Open!  We have course history, and as we know – Torrey Pines is a place to target ball strikers and a course where we usually see the cream rise to the top of the field.  Pricing is soft, as per usual in majors – and there are a number of ways that you can go when it comes to building line-ups, so let’s have a look at five options to consider having significant exposure to in your MME GPP builds for the 2021 US Open on DraftKings!

The Best of the best…

  • Brooks Koepka, $10,100

I’m expecting the Xander/Cantlay price range to be popular, so I like the idea of spending up a little bit to get into the upper tier of options.  He missed the cut last week at the Palmetto – but we all know by this point that Brooks really only cares about the big ones, and he’ll be geared up and ready to go for the 2021 US Open.  He has been inconsistent on tour so far this season – but we have seen flashes of brilliance, led by his 2nd place showing at the PGA Championship.  I’m hoping that the round last week sees him check in with lower ownership levels than the four golfers more expensive than him – and with Xander likely being very popular at $9,300 – I like the spot for Brooks this week – part due to his track record at US Open’s and majors, and part due to the fact that I think he has the potential to be lower owned than I think he should be.

The Next Group

  • Will Zalatoris, $8,600

He has two strong showings in both majors this season – and while I’m not expecting low ownership levels on him this week due to his elite ball striking metrics, I do think he could potentially check in with lower ownership levels than I would have him at.  He has already shown in both of 2021’s majors that his game can play anywhere…not shocking as he ranks 3rd on tour in SG: APP and 7th in SG: TTG – and I think he’ll be able to hold it together on the green enough to like him at this price point.  If he checks in with high teens ownership levels, I’ll regret having him written up in this piece – but I think you can get over-weight exposure on him in the 20% range, and I like the idea of being over-weight exposure to him for the 2021 US Open.

  • Tyrrell Hatton, $8,300

He finished T2 last week, and while it wasn’t the strongest field at the Palmetto, the fact he is $8,300 is quite shocking.  He’ll be chalk, but his game is too good and I think this is a time where you can consider going significantly over-weight the chalk in builds.  The argument for a game theory fade is in play here – but I really like his chances of being in the mix on Sunday, and love what I have seen from his game lately – we have seen his ball striking metrics sky rocketing (4th in SG: APP, 13th in SG: TTG – trending towards his elite numbers from the 2019-20 PGA season).

  • Joaquin Niemann, $7,500

He finally missed a cut in his last time out – and I hope that helps drive his ownership level a couple of percentage points here.  Being able to get a player of his calibre for $7,500 is pretty comical (though not as much as getting Hatton at $8,300).  His game can play anywhere and I’ll repeat what I’ve written about Niemann any time that I’ve touted him this season – I really think he becomes one of the elite options on tour, and think it’s a good approach to get significant exposure to him anytime he is under-priced until we see that breakthrough.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Max Homa, $7,300

Sure – his track record at majors leaves a lot to be desired – but he has historically played quite well on tough courses/in tough conditions, and based on the fact that there are some other strong plays in his price range, I think he has the potential to fly under the radar and check in with lower ownership levels than I think he should…largely driven by the fact that he hasn’t been in contention in many majors during his career.  I love what I have seen from his game this season – at times he has looked as good as any emerging talent has on tour, and he comes into this one fresh off of a 6th place finish at the Memorial, and I like the upside here to include him in player pools in large field GPP’s this week.

 

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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