MLB DFS: Breaking down the top daily fantasy baseball hitters and team stacks on FanDuel & DraftKings for June 8, 2021
Digging into today’s MLB DFS slate to highlight your best bats to stack.
In this article, we will cover two to three teams that we think are the most stackable for MLB contests. If you are newer to DFS or MLB, or just want a general refresher on the impact of stacking in MLB, check out our research done this off-season where we analyzed over 2,000,000 lineups to determine how many times a team of four or five hitters stacked from the same team won contests. In brief, 80.3% of winning lineups across 71 Main Slate tournaments (from 2020) had a stack of at least four players. 71.9% of that 80.3% had a stack of five players. It is pretty clear that stacking is the main strategy to focus on when it comes to MLB, therefore we will be approaching our hitters content from a stacking perspective.
Oakland Athletics (vs Diamondbacks)
This is a huge Tuesday slate with a lot of bad pitchers taking the mound but none of them are as bad as Jon Duplantier is. Duplantier has pitched 8.2 innings this season and in those innings, he has allowed nine runs on 11 hits with four home runs and five walks. Now, I know that is a small sample size for Duplantier and his numbers in 2019 were not that bad but all of his underlying numbers this season show that Duplantier is a pitcher to pick on as he is allowing a 40.0% hard-hit rate and a 16.7% barrel rate. Besides even if we think Duplantier is better than he has pitched which he probably is the A’s are a team you want to target against right-handed pitching anyways. The A’s rank in the top 12 of the league in team ISO, team wOBA, team OPS, and team wRC+ against righties. The A’s are also one of the hotter teams in baseball over the past month ranking in the top seven in each of those four categories during this time frame. What I love the most about the A’s tonight is their salary. Only Matt Olson is going to cost you a big chunk of your salary. The most expensive five-man stack on DraftKings is only going to cost you $22,300 while the most expensive four-man stack on FanDuel is going to cost you $13,900. That is a lot of money that can be spent on both sites for one of the elite pitchers taking the mound tonight as well as your secondary stack.
Chicago White Sox (vs Blue Jays)
Robbie Ray is taking the mound for the Blue Jays tonight and while he is not normally a pitcher that people tend to pick on I really like the White Sox tonight. I like the White Sox for a couple of reasons tonight starting with the fact that while I think Ray is good I don’t think he is as good as he has pitched. Ray has a FIP that is over a run higher than his ERA and has an HR/9 rate over two. Those numbers follow a season in which Ray’s FIP was 6.50 and his HR/9 rate was also over two. The big change for Ray this season has been his control as his walk rate is down to 6.3% and he is only walking 2.33 batter per nine innings but I also think those numbers are a facade. The reason why I feel this way is due to the fact that Ray has walked around five batters per nine innings each of the past couple of seasons and has a walk rate in the teens during that period as well. When Ray’s control goes which I believe it will we are going to see the pitcher that really struggles. Another reason I really like the White Sox is due to Ray being left-handed. The White Sox as I have talked about in the past in this article just destroys left-handed pitching. This season the White Sox rank first in team OPS, team wOBA, and team wRC+ against them while also having the sixth-highest team ISO.