NHL DFS Primer | Wednesday, May 19th, 2021 on DraftKings
Looking for help building line-ups for NHL DFS on DraftKings or FanDuel tonight? Let’s take a look at some of the best plays on the board for tonight’s action!
Wednesday gives us four games on the slate, as the Oilers/Jets join the teams that were in action on Monday as the North Division’s first round starts. With them on the slate, and the lack of defence in that division – I’m expecting the North Division game to have high levels of ownership and be the chalk by a pretty wide margin tonight – but that game isn’t alone…there are a few different ways that you can go when it comes to building line-ups. Lets have a look at some ways to approach the four game NHL DraftKings slate for May 19th!
Washington @ Boston (-175), Total: 5.5
The Bruins check in as larger favourites than I was expecting tonight – sitting at -175 as they play on home ice. This will allow them to match the Bergeron line up against their choice of lines for the Caps, and I am expecting it to be the Ovie line, which really puts a damper on WAS1 for me tonight, and I think you can make a strong case to fade them outright. Of course, if you think that Ovie will be able to break free from the elite shutdown line, you’ll be able to get him with what will be rock bottom ownership levels compared to his usual standards. I do prefer other options on the board though than WAS tonight on the 4-game slate.
For Boston, even though they are healthy favourites – I do think that given the price to stack BOS1, I think they’ll have a fraction of the ownership levels that we will see on both EDM1/EDM PP1 and COL1, putting them in an interesting spot. They were fantastic in game 2, and should get to play most of the night in a match-up that the Bruins like with the last change – and while there is some risk involve – it could pay off if they have a big night, or either of the two chalk lines fall short. They are intriguing to consider going over-weight exposure on in MME formats, or to use in single entry contests tonight, and I like their chances of having a solid night….but I do think they have a lower ceiling than the big guns for the Oilers or COL1. The second line for Boston, however – I do think will be a popular value stack. Krecji-Hall-Smith have fantastic advanced metrics, and priced affordably, I expect most to focus on them as a compliment to a high spend stack for their other line, and using them as their approach to getting exposure to Boston tonight. Even though they will be popular, I think you’ll want to use them in a fair number of builds tonight.
Nashville @ Carolina (-190), Total: 5.5
I think that this game has the potential to get lost in the weeds in terms of ownership levels with so many elite lines in great spots tonight. The Preds are very cheap up front, and if you like any of their lines, you should be able to get them with single (and in many cases, low single digit) ownership levels. The spot for them is a tough one though, so outside of sprinkling them in a handful of lines, I don’t like the chances of them being involved in a large field GPP win, so I don’t think you have to go too heavy on Nashville up front tonight. I do like keeping Josi and Ellis in the player pool on the back-end, however.
As for the Canes, I love that they have put Aho/Svechnikov/Teravainen together, and they are a great stacking option tonight. They haven’t played too much together, but at times in prior seasons have been a DFS powerhouse, and I like the spot for them tonight and they will have much lower ownership levels than some of the other top lines on such a star studded short slate. Don’t sleep on CAR2 either. Ownership levels will probably be less than 5% – but the Trocheck/Necas/Niederreiter line is affordable (only Trocheck is expensive) and if the Canes go on a deep run this post-season, they will likely be getting solid production from this group. They are a little more pricey, but make for an interesting game theory pivot away from BOS2 tonight. If you are looking for a high floor option between the pipes, Nedeljkovic is a great option – and the usual suspects on the point are in play for defence options to keep in your player pool.
Winnipeg @ Edmonton (-150), Total: 6
This game will be popular, and I think for good reason. It has the highest projected total on the board and no shortage of firepower on both sides. The big guns for the Oilers will probably be the highest owned on the slate – led by McDavid, who routinely broke NHL DFS slates with remarkable consistency this season. While the playoffs are usually tougher to rack up points in bulk – it’s hard to argue with the idea of having heavy exposure to both EDM1/EDM PP1 in your builds tonight, even though they will be popular. That is my preferred way to play Edmonton, with an over-weight position on them on most slates. A match-up with the Jets shouldn’t probably scare you away – though Hellebuyck is capable of stealing a game or two and is worth mixing into builds in my books. Darnell Nurse is an option on the back-end that I actually like better than Tyson Barrie, but both are worth keeping in your player pools.
As for the Jets – I really like the spot for them too. The North Division was well documented as the NHL’s equivilent of shinny this season, with goals going up on the board at a remarkable rate – and both of these teams have plenty of weapons. For the Jets, I like the idea of getting exposure to the Scheifele/Connor/Wheeler line along with Pionk on the back-end and while I’m not expecting them to be low-owned tonight, I do think they at least have the potential of being lower owned than I think they should be in what should be a back and forth, run and gun game. I don’t have too much interest in going too far down the depth chart for them tonight – I think a good approach would be to make them a key core part of your MME builds and seeing where the chips fall.
St. Louis @ Colorado (-333), Total: 5.5
The largest favourites on the board – and likely the second highest owned team tonight, the Avs are massive favourites for game two, playing at home against the Blues after picking up a 4-1 win in game 1. MacKinnon led the way with two goals and a helper, and showed no rust, something that seems to be a league-wide theme for anyone that was sitting down the stretch, at least early in the playoffs. I like the same approach for Colorado tonight, the top line/PP unit will be a popular stacking option (probably second only to the Oilers) and are an interesting game theory pivot from them with similar upside in my opinion. In single entry formats, MacKinnon will be right up there with McDavid in terms of ownership levels. I don’t have too much interest in going too far down the depth chart – but on the back-end, in addition to Makar, I think you can sprinkle in Toews and a bit of Graves into your player pool for MME formats.
For the Blues, it’s hard to envision them lighting the lamp to the point where they have a line that is worthy of stacking in large field GPP’s. They are heavy dogs, so even a 5-7% allocation could get you over-weight the field – but the Avs are a tough defensive club – and I don’t have too much interest in stacking with STL in this match-up tonight. As is usually the case in what should be tilted ice match-ups, Binnington, assuming he gets the call is worth mixing into your builds in case he gets peppered with shots and happens to steal a game.
This article focuses mainly on stacking – if you want to see my favourite one-off plays, please look out for the NHL Daily Cheat Sheet that will be out a little later on this afternoon!