The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – April 28, 2021 (4/28/21)
In this article, we will be breaking down some of our favorite plays on the slate at their positions. Please note that players on DraftKings have multi-position eligibility and may not always match their position on FanDuel. Remember to always keep your eye on the news as the day progresses as NBA news changes the slate frequently.
Russell Westbrook – Not much I can really say here, besides Westbrook is having one of the best seasons that no one is really talking about. The price is very high here, but he has remained one of the most consistent fantasy performers this season. Westbrook is averaging a triple-double on the year at 21.8/11/11 and has triple-doubled in 18 of his last 23 games. Westbrook has triple-doubled in 18 of his last 23 games. Do I need to type it again? The matchup in LA isn’t the greatest on paper, but the Lakers are still missing a lot of key pieces, aka, LeBron and Davis not at full strength. Truth is, blowout or not, Westbrook is on the court as he has averaged over 35 minutes per game this year.
Tyrese Haliburton – The last two games are the first time it actually looked like Haliburton wasn’t hesitant to attempt to take over the Kings offense. With no De’Aaron Fox, it goes without saying how big of an opportunity this is for the rookie, but he has come through big the last few games with an average of 36.5 minutes and 18 shot attempts. In his last two games combined, Haliburton has attempted 36 shot attempts, while he only attempted 28 shots in his previous four games combined. The assist totals are way up as well, as he has averaged 5.2 assists per game on the year, but has averaged nine per over his last two starts. On paper, the matchup with the Jazz looks tough, but the Jazz will be without Mike Conley and Donovan Mitchell, so the defensive pressure won’t really be there for the guards in this one. The price is catching up here, but I still think there is room to manage.
Paul George – George left Monday’s game with an ankle injury but he is not on the injury report here against the Suns tonight. Kawhi Leonard carries a doubtful tag, so it should be another night of big usage for George. Without Kawhi, George carries a 35.5% usage rate and a 1.34 fantasy point per minute average. The matchup here is a tough one on paper, but the pure usage and volume we should see here for the Clippers to keep this one close will fall solely on George’s shoulders. Because of this, I view him as a high upside tournament play, but the Suns defense has the ability to lock teams down and their offense the ability to blow them out. While the Clippers are a good team, they are off a loss to the Pelicans, and a five-point win against the Rockets and one-point win over the Blazers.
Jordan Clarkson – The Jazz will be down Mike Conley and Donovan Mitchell in this one so the usage and volume is going to shift Clarkson’s way. With no Conley or Mitchell on the floor, Clarkson carries a 30.7% usage rate and averages 1.09 fantasy points per minute. Recently Clarkson has been doing it all regardless of who is on the court, as he is averaging 31.9 fantasy points per game over his last ten days. The matchup here is great with a De’Aaron Fox-less Kings team who already struggles defensively – allowing 118 points per game. We can likely expect Clarkson to be pretty chalky here.
Marcus Smart – Adding Smart as a quick add here, with no Kemba Walker, Smart will continue to play heavy guard minutes. On Tuesday against the Thunder, Smart played 38 minutes and scored 32 fantasy points all while having a very bad shooting night, shooting just 4-of-17 from the field. Five steals is what really propelled this stat line, but we can expect better shooting here as well. Tonight’s matchup is against the Hornets, who have been towards the back of the NBA since all of their injury issues started. Smart is shooting over 40% of the year, so lets get another go at it tonight when he isn’t shooting 10% from three and 23% from the floor.
Joe Ingles – While Jordan Clarkson gets the biggest overall boost here, Joe Ingles should slide into the starting five. With no Conley or Mitchell, the usage spike doesn’t exist much here, but we still get Inglis as a 1.09 fantasy point per minute guy. Assuming we get starters minutes here around 32-36, we are looking at a modest 33 fantasy points with the upside to go much higher with the matchup boost here. If Ingles stays at the three he draws the toughest individual assignment, but the Jazz should score well into the 110+ area. Harrison Barnes is questionable here, so if he misses, Ingles gets a large matchup boost.
Cedi Osman – I wrote last week that Cedi Osman was going to be a tough variable to peg down as he has either played big minutes or gotten DNP-CD. Well, the hands were finally forced here with injuries to give Osman minutes and nothing should change for this game against the Magic. Osman has played 37 and 38 minutes over his last two games, scoring an average around 29 fantasy points. The Cavs will be without Sexton, Nance, Prince, and some fringe bench guys, so minutes shouldn’t be an issue here. The price is elevated a bit, and a Cavs/Magic game doesn’t scream pace, but regardless of the lower fantasy point per minute, Osman still carries dare I say easy 6x value floor.
Jayson Tatum – Warning off the rip here, Tatum did not play in Tuesday’s game with an ankle injury, so we have some injury concern here and will need to watch this moving into tonight. However, if Tatum is available to play, he has a dream matchup against a Hornets team that is allowing the second-most fantasy points to Power Forwards on the year and with Kemba Walker being injured, there is the need for some shooting and offense that should fall to Tatum. Tatum carries a 33% usage rate with no Kemba Walker and a 1.32 fantasy point per minute average.
Chuma Okeke – Okeke has played 29 or more minutes in five straight games now and has double-digit shot attempts in all five. Over the last three, it has been a consistent 12 shot attempts per game and if we remove the 1-for-12 shooting game from a week ago, Okeke has had a shooting percentage at exactly 50%. The fantasy output has been a little inconsistent, but as a 19 fantasy point per game average player on the year, he is well above that over the last 10 days (five games) averaging 25 fantasy points per game. The Cavs have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to Power Forwards on the year, but admittedly a lineup with Cedi Osman and Kevin Love may drop the defensive needle a little bit, giving Okeke a decent matchup on paper.
Andre Drummond – The one position that actually doesn’t have a ton of injury concern tonight is the center position as we really have our full array of options to us. There are a lot of different ways I could go here, and throwing another Jazz player in Rudy Gobert here was tempting. So before I jump in, Jokic, Embiid, Randle, Adebayo, and Gobert are all people I would suggest getting exposure to tonight – truthfully they are way safer than Drummond. However, from a raw upside standpoint, I love Drummond as a tournament play tonight. The return of Anthony Davis will move ownership away from Drummond in what normally would be a chalky spot against the Wizards. The Wizards rank second to last in defense against the position and are mismatched greatly with Drummond and Davis on the court. We have no real data yet of how these two will be able to play together and once Davis’ minutes are elevated, how much of a strain does it put on Drummond’s rebounding numbers. These are legitimate concerns, but in a game against the Wizards, I think it is fair to not over-run Davis and let Drummond crash the boards. Drummond has played 28 or more minutes in four of the last five games, though the last game only saw Drummond getting 25 minutes of court time with Davis seeing the most in his return with 31. Even in 25 minutes, Drummond posted a double-double and 35 fantasy points. The price is low here compared to other centers on the slate, and while there is a risk here with no injuries giving Drummond more minutes, I think he can absolutely dominate the minutes he does get.