The 2021 Masters : The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 Masters! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 Masters! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2021 Masters here!

Well, spring is in the air as the players head to Augusta National to tee it up at the 2021 Masters!  In what is the premier golf event of the year in many people’s minds, the players will be fired up to try and take home the first major of the year.  Augusta is a challenging track, one that usually sees the best players in the world rise to the top – and also one that tends to have minimal volatility year over year for players…..making it a course that it usually pays off to pay very close attention to course history, as players who play here tend to do it year after year after year.  Ball striking, with an emphasis on approach and of course course history/track record at The Masters in combination with recent form will be what I’m paying attention to – so let’s dive in and look at some of my favourite options on the board this week!

Last Week’s Picks:

  • Jordan Spieth – win
  • Corey Conners – T14
  • Zach Johnson – MC
  • Joel Dahmen – 74
  • Patton Kizzire – T9

The Best of the best…

  • Bryson DeChambeau, $10,800

The track record here for Bryson is not great – but I do think that it is only a matter of time before he ‘figures out’ Augusta.  The metrics here are elite – he leads the tour this season in SG: OTT, SG: TTG, SG: Total, and ranks 15th in SG: APP.  While he won’t be low owned this week, I do think he’ll check in lower owned than he should be, given his struggles at Augusta in the past.  I love this spot for him and in a week with plenty of soft pricing and some quality golfers that you can roster sub $7500 – I do like the spot for Bryson this week.

The Next Group

  • Patrick Reed, $9,300

With a win here in the past, he has shown the ability to successfully navigate Augusta National – and he comes into this one playing some pretty good golf, including a win at the end of January at The Farmers.  While I wouldn’t expect rock bottom ownership levels here – I do think that he has the potential to check in with lower ownership levels than I think he should have in this spot.  He has been the best putter on tour so far this season, and checks in with above average metrics in all the ball striking stats, leading to a 8th place rank in SG: Total.  I like the spot for Reed this week.

  • Daniel Berger, $8,500

He has shown signs of great play lately, including his win at Pebble Beach, his 9th place finish at The PLAYERS and his round robin first game against EVR that saw him just blow him out of the water.  All in all, an elite ball striker at an affordable price, I like the spot for Berger this week.  He ranks 20th on tour in SG: Total this season, 16th in SG: Putting, 28th off the tee and 37th with his approach game.  With four top 10 finishes so far in 2021 – I feel like there’s a pretty decent probability of him being able to add to that this week.

  • Corey Conners, $6,900

Conners comes into this one with three straight top 15 finishes including two top 10 finishes – and he finished 10th at the Masters last November, and made the cut in 2019 as well, which looks encouraging in terms of his ability to consistently navigate his way around Augusta.  I like his chances of keeping his strong recent form going, and checking in at under $7k – I think there’s a lot of upside here.  He ranks 12th on tour in SG: TTG, 14th in SG: Total, 10th in SG: OTT and 12th in SG: APP.  An elite ball striker, if he is able to put things together around and on the green somewhat – he should be in the mix this weekend, and I think he’s an outstanding play for sub $7k.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Ryan Palmer, $6,500

This is really all about the price.  While I’d be shocked if he had a top 5 finish here, he is too good of a golfer and has been playing too well to be priced so low.  I don’t think that you have to go this low in order to get the requisite high calibre golfers into your line-up, but it can certainly help if you find yourself tight for salary relief.  He ranks 40th on tour in SG: TTG – and while he doesn’t have a track record here, I do think that he should be able to put together four strong rounds this weekend and he makes for a great punt with upside this week.

 

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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