The 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open: The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The Waste Management Phoenix Open! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open!

This week, while we won’t have the usual crowds – it should be a fun week of PGA action as the players head to TPC Scottsdale to tee it up at The Waste Management Phoenix Open!  The Par 71 track checks in just over 7200 yards and while not overwhelmingly long, we’ll be looking for ball strikers here who have the ability to handle the Bermuda greens.  The field here is pretty strong (it always is), and this tournament regularly marks an uptick in the field quality on tour – and while we’ve been a little bit spoiled in terms of the quality of the fields since the break in 2020, there’s no shortage of talent teeing it up here this weekend.  Let’s dive in and look at my favourite plays on the board for this week’s tournament, and hopefully we’ll see a bounceback from last week which was full of landmines!

Last Week’s Picks

  • Harris English – MC
  • Matthew Woff – MC
  • Ryan Palmer – T2
  • Cameron Champ – MC
  • Wyndham Clark – T32

The Best of the Best

  • Xander Schauffele, $11,000

He’s a little more expensive than I’d like, but I think that will cause him to be lower owned than the likes of Rahm, JT and Berger – who I expect to be the most popular golfers priced over $9,500.  And to me, Xander has as good of a chance of taking it home this week than any of those options.  He ranks 2nd in SG: Total, partly due to his great ball striking (9th in SG: TTG) and partly due to running hot on the green (4th in SG: Putting).  All in all, he’s playing great – and from a DFS standpoint this week – he’s my favourite high priced option on the board factoring in ownership levels this week.

  • Will Zalatoris, $9,000

I expect him to be popular, but I think this is some good chalk this week.  He’s made 4 straight cuts, two top 10’s and another top 20 finish.  Now, sure – they haven’t been the strongest field events, but I think he’s going to have a time this week at The Waste Management.  All parts of his game so far in a tiny sample have gained strokes on the field, and while it could simply be a function of him running hot – I have no problem riding the hot hand (see: Hughes, Mackenzie in the late summer/fall of 2020).  Zalatoris ranks 5th in SG: APP, 4th in SG: TTG, and 5th in SG: Total so far this season – and I think he’s worth getting into a significant number of your line-ups this week.

Others to Consider…

  • Russell Henley, $8,200

The sample size is small, but the metrics for Henley are off the charts so far this season.  He ranks 4th on tour in SG: APP, 9th in SG: TTG and 12th in SG: Total.  To put it simply – if there is any validity to how well he has been playing and if he can even play somewhat near these levels, this price point is a steal.  Looking back to where he ranked in these stats last year (3rd in SG: APP, 14th in SG: TTG and 21st in SG: Total) – and now I think there’s a big enough sample here to be onto something.  Sure, he isn’t a good putter, but if he can putt somewhat competently this week, I’d expect him to be in the mix on Sunday.

  • Si Woo Kim, $8,100

There’s risk here – you never know exactly what you are going to get with Si Woo, however – he’s been playing quite well over the past few months.  He’s been playing great golf, ranks 25th in SG: TTG so far in the 2020-21 season and 29th in SG: Total.  He has shown the ability to play in strong field events in the past – when he’s playing well, his game can hang with the best of them.  He checks in this week at a reasonable price, and while I don’t think he’ll be low owned – I do think he’ll be lower owned than he should be for this week’s event.

Do Not Forget About…

  • Sebastian Munoz, $7,100

A late addition who wasn’t on the cheat sheet this week, Munoz makes for a much safer option than going down into the mid $6k range for a guy like Doc Redman (who I don’t hate as a dart throw with upside for $6,600).  Munoz, however – is a much safer option and one who has a similar ceiling, if not higher.  He’s a below average putter, but ball striking wise, and even around the greens, he’s better than the field – and since the PGA Championship in early August – he has only missed two cuts and has 7 top 20 finishes.  The price point here is outstanding, and I think he’s a great value option for line-ups this week.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

Check Also

2021 Genesis Open: DraftKings PGA DFS Daily Cheat Sheet

DraftKings PGA DFS GPP Cheat Sheet for The 2021 Genesis Open.  Featuring top plays, high …