Welcome to the FanDuel NFL DFS core plays column for week 11 of the 2020-2021 season.
We’re gearing you up for a great week 11 slate (Sunday, November 22, 2020) with our top recommendation for each position to help you start building out your weekly lineups.
Lamar Jackson vs TEN, $8,400
This is a combination of value, match-up, history and usage leading up to Jackson being a top QB play in week 11. He’s surely been a shell of his 2019-2020 self so far this season, but has still been rather productive when you look at his game logs.
There are plenty of reasons to be excited heading into his Sunday match-up with the Titans.
When it comes to value – that’s pretty self-explanatory. He’s the third most expensive option at a position where he should arguably be the #1 priced guy on just about every slate thanks in large part to his immense ceiling.
When it comes to match-up and history – he threw for 365 yards (1 TD) and rushed for over 140 against TEN when they last met (playoffs last year) – and BAL only managed 12 points in that loss. They’ve also allowed the 8th most FPPG to opposing QBs this year, and outside of Josh Allen, haven’t really faced a run-oriented QB like Jackson.
And finally, when it comes to usage – things are trending in the right direction. To be a highly effective fantasy QB, he needs to use his legs. Well, after a 4 game stretch where he failed to reach the 10+ rush plateau, he’s now done so in 3 straight outings (against PIT, NE, IND – good defensive groups). And to complement that, he’s thrown at least 1 TD in all but one game this year (2+ in 5/9).
He has serious 25+ point potential here for a very fair price – especially with the likes of Aaron Rodgers being a $600 price premium on this slate.
Kalen Ballage vs NYJ, $5,800
One area you can save some cash this week is at running back – or at the RB2 slot (in the very least). Dalvin Cooks looms large as a high-end option (but pricey, at that). However, it’s hard to argue with the combination of workload, price and match-up for Ballage as you look into the numbers further.
Last week marked the second straight outing in which Ballage eclipsed the 15 rush and 17 touch mark, clearly settling in as the lead back while Justin Jackson’s been hurt.
Well, put him in front of a 26th ranked NYJ defense vs the RB position this year in fantasy (allowing nearly 27 points per game), and you’ve got yourself a tasty little situation for yet another 17-20 touch performance at a fantastic price point.
He doesn’t have an immense amount of talent, but protects the ball, is reliable for ~4 YPC right now, and is in a great spot to 2x his salary-based fantasy output needed to be a positive play. Don’t be shy to have exposure here, particularly in cash games.
JuJu Smith-Schuster @ JAX, $6,500
I’m loving the way JuJu lines up as a high-end WR2 with WR1 upside at this salary. The Jags have been a below average defensive group against opposing receiving corps all year, and when you break down how JuJu’s workload has also been trending lately – you can see that the mid-season breakout is happening before our eyes.
He’s averaging 10.5 targets per game in his last 4, going for at least 67 yards in each and finding the endzone the last couple weeks, too. He’s also held at least a 25% target share in 3 of his last 4. Big Ben is finally starting to prioritize him in the passing game now that Chase Claypool and Diontae Johnson are really establishing themselves in the offense.
He’s expected to see a lot of Tre Herndon for the Jags (their primary slot cover) who grades out per PFF as one of the weaker corners in the game – netting out to a +25% advantage in a plus situation for PIT for a pass-heavy offense (PIT) who have aired it out 42+ times in 3 of their last 4 games.
For his salary and workload trend, he should be at least $500-$700 more expensive in my books (and I’d still be considering him at that price). So at $6,500 (WR2 and maybe even WR3 territory), he’s a high-end option for me in week 11.
SUNDAY UPDATE: At the time of writing Taysom Hill was not decisively noted as a starter (or partial starter). Now that this is far more firmed up and established – it’s going to be awfully tough to develop lineup(s) without a $4,500 TE in your mix. He could easily register as the goal line back, throw the ball 7-10 times and even rush 6-8 times as well. That could put him in line for a MASSIVE game, and pull the value of the likes of Jameis Winston and even Alvin Kamara down in the process. I love him as a TE option or even as a FLEX if you want to get a little contrarian. But the 40-50% ownership level in GPPs is still even worthwhile having solid exposure to. He could easily pop off 15-20 points in a good match-up with major touch upside.
Mark Andrews vs TEN, $6,500
This is as good a week as any to spend up a little at the TE position, especially with the likes of Travis Kelce off the main slate. Andrews is an ideal pairing with Jackson in a cash game or GPP stack, thanks to the great correlation they play to with one another – but also the top 3 target share% that Andrews possesses in the Ravens’ offense.
He’s had at least 21% share of his team’s passing targets in each of the last 3 weeks, holds a 21.2% share mark year to date, is tied for second most in the league in TDs amongst TEs, has a great match-up against Kenny Vaccaro as the primary defender vs opposing TEs, and is very reasonably priced at $6,500 compared to the other options out there in a fairly low-quality TE week.
Unless you’re looking to punt with the likes of Taysom Hill (risky, albeit some upside with Drew Brees out), I think Andrews is a wise play to have exposure to given his price won’t cash-strap you, and he’s as good a candidate as any at the position to have a multi-TD week. He’s done it twice this year and twice last year – and given his red zone volume – can easily do it again in a plus situation.