DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS – Bank of America 400 – October 11, 2020

DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS – Bank of America 400 – October 11, 2020

Core Plays

Martin Truex – DK: $10,300 | FD: $13,200 – Starting 7th

When it comes to road racing, there is going to be a handful of guys who just have proven track records over the rest of the field. This week we are at the Charlotte Roval for its third-ever race on this road course adaptation. The two past winners of this race have been Ryan Blaney and Chase Elliot, and both are formidable options this week. In fact, Chase Elliot may be the best road course driver in this circuit with four road course wins since the start of 2018. Elliot is a hair more expensive than Truex and him starting 2nd is a double-edged sword for me as he has the chance to lead laps, but he also will need to stay upfront with little differential wiggle room. Truex’s best two graded tracks are at Watkins Glen and the Daytona Road Course, though those are extremely small samples it shows how strong he has been on road courses. There isn’t a ton of Roval data as this is just the third race it has held, but Truex has an average start of 10.5 and an average finish of 10.5. There is some space to gain differential here and this was really a toss-up between Elliot and Truex. I will just leave this video here if you need a reminder on how the 2018 race here ended, with Jimmie Johnson wrecking Martin Truex on the final lap.

Christoper Bell – DK: $7,500 | FD: $7,600 – Starting 35th

I was going to write up Ricky Stenhouse here, but even though he is extreme value starting 38th, I just can’t bring myself to have to stomach a road race with Stenhouse and praying he doesn’t wreck. Instead, Christopher Bell’s price has fallen back to earth despite him still starting in the back. We are just a few weeks removed from this being between a $9,000-$10,000 play. Bell has a road course victory under his belt at the Xfinity level, winning at Road America last season. In two career races at the Roval, Bell has an average finish of eighth, though again, that is at the Xfinity level. Bell has been inconsistent lately and that is a bit worrisome, but it is hard to not target the differential potential here.

Cheat Sheet

$ TierD
High
Ryan Blaney
(10.9k / 63.82)
(12k / 63.82)
Chase Elliott
(10.6k / 49.37)
(13.5k / 49.37)
Martin Truex
(10.3k / 55.45)
(13.2k / 55.45)
Kevin Harvick
(9.9k / 51.00)
(13k / 51.00)
Medium
William Byron
(8.6k / 36.84)
(9.7k / 36.84)
Erik Jones
(8.2k / 34.48)
(8k / 34.48)
Ricky Stenhouse
(7.7k / 39.59)
(6.6k / 39.59)
Christopher Bell
(7.5k / 45.22)
(7.6k / 45.22)
Low
Chris Buescher
(6.9k / 23.59)
(7k / 23.59)
Matt Kenseth
(6.2k / 31.31)
(6k / 31.31)
Gray Gaulding
(5.1k / 6.90)
(3k / 6.90)

About James Smizek

James is a daily fantasy sports veteran dating all the way back to his days of writing content on DraftStreet.com for contest tickets. James specializes in College Football - qualifying for the CFB World Championship in 2018, though you can find his content for NFL, NBA, MLB, and NASCAR on FantasyCruncher. James also shifted his focus to ESports during the sports shutdown - carving out his niche in League of Legends, Call of Duty, and Rocket League contests. You can find James 150 entering every mini-max under the sun. James currently resides in La Crosse Wisconsin and is a huge Wisconsin sports fan. If you have any questions you can reach out to James @iKezims on Twitter.

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