Welcome to the Daily MLB Rundown for DraftKings contests on Sunday, September 13, 2020.
DraftKings figured that most people will be focusing on NFL today so decided to run a smaller main slate than the other sites at just eight games. Luckily for us, those eight games don’t include Coors so we don’t have to make that always tough decision and also include no games with weather threats.
Approach to Pitching
Pitching is pretty cut and dry for me on this slate as there really are only four pitchers that I want on my rosters. Each of the four guys also should be the highest owned players at their position. I listed each of the four guys in today’s cheat sheet and wanted to focus on my favorite pairing of the two in J.A. Happ ($8,900) and Sixto Sanchez ($6,200).
Happ had a really rough start to the season but has bounced back nicely since missing a couple of starts due to the Rona in the middle of August. In the three starts since the Yankees return, Happ has pitched at least six innings in two of his three starts, has an ERA under three at 2.89, a WHIP under one at 0.96, and a nice K rate of 27.1%. Happ has produced at least 24 fantasy points in two of those three games. Happ is not only pitching well but I really like the match-up for him against the Orioles. The Orioles have some solid numbers against lefties this season but are starting to come back to earth and have been ice cold over the past week. Over the past seven days, the Orioles rank 21st in team ISO and 23rd in team wOBA while having a 25.0% team K rate.
Sanchez is not in a good match-up like Happ is as he has to take on the dangerous Phillies lineup but the rookie is too cheap for the way he is pitching. In his four career starts, Sanchez has an ERA of 1.80, a K rate of 26.6%, and a WHIP of 0.92. Sanchez has pitched at least six innings in three straight starts and has at least 18 fantasy points in each of those starts. The Phillies lineup also could be weaker than normal with it being Sunday and players like J.T. Realmuto dealing with some minor nagging injuries that could lead to them getting the day off.
Approach to Hitting
The chalk on today’s slate from a stack perspective is going to be the Yankees and White Sox as they both have projected run totals over five. I am personally fine being at the field on both teams and might possibly be overweight on the Yankees as they take on a pitcher in John Means who has a FIP of 7.20, an HR/9 rate of 3.12, and a WHIP of 1.23 this season.
As far as low owned stacks on this slate, there are several that I really like with the Cubs standing out to me. The Cubs only have a projected run total of 4.5 today and I believe that has to do with the fact that they are ice cold and doesn’t have anything to do with their match-up. Over the past seven days, the Cubs have the second-highest team K rate, second-lowest team ISO, and third-lowest team wOBA. As far as match-up goes it is an excellent one against a struggling Adrian Houser. Houser has allowed at least four runs in five of his past six starts including in each of his past four starts. In those starts, Houser has an ERA of 7.34 though his FIP of 4.89 does suggest he might be due for some positive regression, an HR/9 rate of 1.47, and a WHIP of 1.66.
Good luck with your contests today & if you are looking for some more players to include in your player pool – check out today’s Cheat Sheets!