Welcome to the NBA Rundown for FanDuel and DraftKings contests on Sunday, August 2, 2020.
I will readily admit I have struggled since the restart. I have taken chances on players I probably shouldn’t have and faded chalk I probably shouldn’t have faded. With that being said I am confident that I personally am going to get back on track and hope that you guys have even more success than I have seen from you guys.
Please note that due to the multiple position eligibility of most players on DraftKings we will be using FanDuel’s positions for this article.
Ja Morant ($7,300 DK/$7,500 FD)- I really like what we saw from Morant in the first game of the restart. In that overtime game against the Trail Blazers, Morant played 40 minutes and had a big stat line with 22/6/11 on his way to 45.7 fantasy points. That performance is just one of many great performances we have seen from Morant in his rookie season and I actually like him to build on that game today against the Spurs. The Spurs were not a great defensive team against point guards before the season shut down ranking 28th in defensive efficiency to the position and got destroyed in their restart opener against a similar player in De’Aaron Fox. Fox went for 39 points and six assists in that game.
Shabazz Napier ($5,400 DK/$5,300 FD)- Napier was not that great in the Wizards’ first game of the bubble against the Suns with only 22.1 fantasy points but I am expecting him to bounce back in a big way today for two reasons. The first reason is we have seen Napier have big games for the Wizards several times this season and his numbers with Bradley Beal and Davis Bertans off the court are spectacular. This season when not sharing the court with those two, Napier has a usage rate of 31.4% and is averaging 1.11 fantasy points per minute. The second reason I am expecting a bounce-back game is due to the match-up against the Nets. The Nets team that came to the bubble is almost as bad as this Wizards and they always have struggled against point guards. This season the Nets are allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to the point guard position.
Caris LeVert ($7,800 DK/$7,800 FD)- If you look at LeVert’s 28.9 fantasy points against the Magic you will think that he is not a great option today but I promise you he is. Looking beyond just the total number of fantasy points you will see that as expected LeVert was the man for the Nets on offense as he had a usage rate of 33.9%. LeVert also played really well even with just 28.9 fantasy points as he produced 1.07 fantasy points per minute in that game as he only played 27 minutes due to the blowout loss. The Wizards do not have the talent to blowout the Nets so we should see LeVert play his full allotment of minutes in this one. The Wizards also are really bad on the defensive side of the ball and rank in the bottom ten in both fantasy points allowed per game and defensive efficiency to wing players this season.
Lonnie Walker ($3,500 DK/$4,400 FD)- I promise you that Walker is not in this article just because he is FantasyCruncher’s favorite player in the NBA. Walker is in this article as he is one of the best values on this slate. With all the players the Spurs are missing and with virtually no chance to make the playoffs Coach Pop has decided to let Walker loose. In their first game of the restart, Walker played 32 minutes producing 16 points, three rebounds, and four assists on his way to 23.6 fantasy points. Today I don’t see why we don’t see Walker have similar production against a Memphis team that loves to push the pace.
Cameron Johnson ($4,300 DK/$4,200 FD)- Johnson started the Suns game against the Wizards and played well in his 24 minutes with 12 points, three rebounds, two assists, and a steal on his way to 20.6 fantasy points. Today I am expecting we see a similar outing from Johnson against a Dallas team that ranks 28th in defensive efficiency to power forwards which is the position that Johnson is getting his minutes at which would make him one of the better values on this slate.
Keldon Johnson ($3,000 DK/$3,600 FD)- Johnson is another young Spurs player that I really like on this slate as the rookie is going to see a lot of minutes to close the season. In the Spurs opener, Johnson played 30 minutes and went for eight points, six rebounds, two assists, and a steal on his way to 21.2 fantasy points. Johnson has now produced at least 18 fantasy points in three of his past four games.
Jayson Tatum ($8,200 DK/$8,200 FD)- The bubble was supposed to be Tatum’s time to jump to superstar status and he looked far from a superstar against the Bucks with only five points on his way to 24.9 fantasy points but don’t let that stop you from playing Tatum today. The Bucks are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA while the Trail Blazers are not. In fact, the Blazers are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA allowing the fifth-most points per game and fifth-most fantasy points per game to forwards. Last time that Tatum went up against the Bucks he went for 36/4/1 with two blocks on his way to 46.3 fantasy points and I am calling it now he has an even better game in this one.
Zach Collins ($3,400 DK/$4,600 FD)- I don’t love Collins’s salary on FanDuel today but am all over him on DraftKings where he is only $400 above the site minimum. That salary just seems like a big mistake for a player who played 37 minutes while producing seven points, nine rebounds, and 25.3 fantasy points in the Blazers’ first game of the bubble.
Jarrett Allen ($5,600 DK/$6,500 FD)- I was high on Allen on Friday and though he was not great he was solid with 24.5 fantasy points in 26 minutes of action. Today I like him even more than I did on Friday. The Wizards are just such a great match-up for Allen as they rank in the bottom ten in team rebounding rate, points allowed per game, and fantasy points allowed per game to centers. DeAndre Jordan is also not magically going to suit up for the Nets today and Allen has a proven history of putting up big games without Jordan in the lineup. In the nine games that Jordan has missed this season, Allen is averaging 12.8 points, 11.1 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 2.8 steals+blocks, and 36.22f fantasy points.
Jakob Poeltl ($4,000 DK/$5,900 FD)- Why exactly did Poeltl’s salary go down on DraftKings? I don’t think any reasonable person can actually answer that as it is ridiculous. Poeltl is one of like two Spurs big men on the roster and played 32 minutes in Friday’s game. In those 32 minutes, Poeltl had seven points, six rebounds, three assists, two steals, and two blocks on his way to 30.7 fantasy points. There is no reason to believe that he doesn’t play similar minutes against a big Memphis frontcourt or have similar production.
My entire player pool for today’s slate can be found in today’s Cheat Sheets.
|High||Russell Westbrook (9.8k / 51.54) (9.9k / 49.22) (48 / 49.72) (18.3k / 51.54)||James Harden (11.1k / 59.79) (10.9k / 57.11) (54 / 57.68) (20.3k / 59.79)||Giannis Antetokounmpo (11k / 64.29) (11.2k / 61.40) (56 / 62.01) (19.3k / 64.29)||Kristaps Porzingis (9k / 47.25) (9.6k / 45.13) (41 / 45.58) (16.5k / 47.25)||Nikola Vucevic (8.7k / 44.18) (8.1k / 42.20) (40 / 42.62) (15.9k / 44.18)|
|Damian Lillard (9.5k / 51.64) (9k / 49.32) (47 / 49.81) (17.5k / 51.64)||Luka Doncic (10.8k / 60.12) (10.8k / 57.42) (53 / 57.99) (18.8k / 60.12)||Jayson Tatum (8.2k / 43.74) (8.2k / 41.77) (42 / 42.19) (15.1k / 43.74)||Deandre Ayton (8.5k / 44.52) (8.1k / 42.52) (37 / 42.95) (15.4k / 44.52)|
|Devin Booker (8.6k / 42.51) (8.1k / 40.60) (37 / 41.00) (16.3k / 42.51)|
|Medium||De'Aaron Fox (7.9k / 42.52) (7.7k / 40.61) (35 / 41.02) (14.6k / 42.52)||DeMar DeRozan (7.6k / 42.40) (7.8k / 40.50) (36 / 40.90) (14.4k / 42.40)||Jaylen Brown (7k / 36.14) (6.2k / 34.52) (29 / 34.87) (13.1k / 36.14)||Aaron Gordon (7.5k / 33.79) (6.2k / 32.27) (34 / 32.60) (13.7k / 33.79)||Jonas Valanciunas (8k / 37.75) (7.1k / 36.06) (31 / 36.42) (14.7k / 37.75)|
|Ja Morant (7.3k / 40.38) (7.5k / 38.57) (32 / 38.95) (13.4k / 40.38)||Caris LeVert (7.8k / 39.27) (7.8k / 37.51) (36 / 37.88) (14.4k / 39.27)||Rui Hachimura (7.4k / 31.51) (6.1k / 30.10) (23 / 30.40) (13.7k / 31.51)||Jarrett Allen (5.6k / 36.82) (6.5k / 35.17) (24 / 35.52) (11k / 36.82)|
|Khris Middleton (7.8k / 41.97) (6.9k / 40.09) (32 / 40.49) (14.2k / 41.97)|
|Low||Derrick White (6.2k / 33.11) (5.5k / 31.62) (21 / 31.94) (12k / 33.11)||Marcus Smart (6.7k / 32.08) (5.4k / 30.64) (27 / 30.95) (12.3k / 32.08)||Evan Fournier (5.9k / 29.13) (5.5k / 27.82) (18 / 28.10) (11.4k / 29.13)||Jaren Jackson Jr. (5.2k / 35.56) (5.9k / 33.97) (21 / 34.31) (10.2k / 35.56)||Jakob Poeltl (4k / 36.66) (5.9k / 35.02) (14 / 35.37) (7.6k / 36.66)|
|Shabazz Napier (5.4k / 28.41) (5.3k / 27.13) (25 / 27.41) (10.4k / 28.41)||Dillon Brooks (5.1k / 28.21) (5.1k / 26.94) (18 / 27.21) (10k / 28.21)||Mikal Bridges (5.3k / 29.80) (5.1k / 28.46) (20 / 28.75) (10.7k / 29.80)||Robert Covington (6.4k / 36.51) (5.9k / 34.87) (30 / 35.22) (12.6k / 36.51)||Thomas Bryant (4.8k / 32.89) (5.4k / 31.41) (16 / 31.72) (9.9k / 32.89)|
|Ishmael Smith (3.8k / 24.16) (5k / 23.07) (15 / 23.30) (7.4k / 24.16)||Donte DiVincenzo (5.6k / 29.15) (4.7k / 27.84) (18 / 28.12) (11k / 29.15)||Joe Harris (5.8k / 27.19) (5k / 25.97) (14 / 26.23) (11.7k / 27.19)||Zach Collins (3.4k / 24.53) (4.6k / 23.43) (15 / 23.66) (6.7k / 24.53)||P.J. Tucker (4.2k / 23.77) (3.9k / 22.70) (13 / 22.93) (8.3k / 23.77)|
|Tyler Johnson (3.2k / 21.55) (4.2k / 20.58) (10 / 20.79) (6.3k / 21.55)||Lonnie Walker IV (3.5k / 26.20) (4.4k / 25.03) (10 / 25.28) (7.1k / 26.20)||Troy Brown (4.5k / 26.98) (4.9k / 25.77) (10 / 26.03) (8.6k / 26.98)||Rodions Kurucs (3.1k / 18.27) (3.9k / 17.45) (14 / 17.62) (6k / 18.27)|
|Chris Chiozza (3.5k / 21.83) (3.9k / 20.85) (10 / 21.06) (7.3k / 21.83)||Kent Bazemore (4.4k / 19.29) (4.6k / 18.42) (14 / 18.61) (8.5k / 19.29)|
|Danuel House (4.4k / 25.87) (4.2k / 24.71) (12 / 24.96) (8.6k / 25.87)|
|Cameron Johnson (4.3k / 22.39) (4.2k / 21.38) (10 / 21.60) (8.2k / 22.39)|
|Keldon Johnson (3k / 25.41) (3.6k / 24.27) (10 / 24.51) (6k / 25.41)|