Welcome to the Daily MLB Rundown for FanDuel MLB DFS contests on Sunday, August 2, 2020.
In this column, we’ll be walking you through the top pitchers and hitters (including stacks) to target for the day’s slate (8/2/2020).
Core Pitchers to Target
Jon Lester vs PIT – $8,900 – The Pirates rank dead last in OBP, second to last in slugging, and dead last in OPS. They are collectively hitting just .177 as a team and right now mark the easier team to choose a pitcher against in the MLB. Tyler Chatwood was listed here yesterday and Darvish the day before. The results on both were near-optimal and though Lester doesn’t have the strikeout ceiling he once had, he is a game manager and still an out-match for Pittsburgh.
With just a six-game slate, and one of them being at Coors, pitching for this slate is pretty restricted. I do not think Aaron Civale is a core play, though he has strikeout upside – just any matchup with Minnesota worries me. Yonny Chirinos is the next closes thing to a core play for me, the only issue is he typically doesn’t get out of the fourth or fifth. Lester will be my overwhelmingly high owned pitcher on Sunday.
GPP Pitcher to Target
Dylan Cease vs KC, $5,800 – Cease got knocked around in his season debut against the Indians, allowing seven hits and four earned in the loss. What we benefit from here is a massive price drop to just $5,800 against the Royals. Cease is going to give up his runs, but he did have 81 strikeouts in just 73 innings last year. The matchup is right for Cease as the Royals have the fourth highest K rate on the young season.
Core Stacks to Target
The Rockies and Padres top the list of stacks for me on Sunday as both pitchers are soft tossers who rely on location and this game opened with a massive 13.5 implied run total. We will have to wait to see the starters here, though it shouldn’t matter much for the Rockies side. Zach Davies actually has allowed right-handed hitters to hit for a higher average against him and he has given up near equal home run numbers to each side of the plate. Daniel Murphy and Ryan McMahon remain affordable options, with prices at $3,300 or below. Charlie Blackmon tops my list of players to pay up for at $3,900. Senzatela falls on an equal mark as Davies, as he has allowed both RHH and LHH to hit .280 exactly against him and has allowed equal home runs to each side as well. A pitcher who allows a career batting average of .280 against him in a hitters ballpark is a nightmare scenario and it shows in career numbers as he has given up 29 career home runs at Coors, as opposed to 18 elsewhere. Trent Grisham, Tommy Pham, Fernando Tatis, and Josh Naylor if he starts are four of my favorite plays here.
“GPP” Stack to Target
If it wasn’t for a Coors matchup this likely wouldn’t be a GPP stack, but against Tommy Milone I am going to have big ownership to the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday. The Rays actually are currently fifth in the MLB for runs scored and are in the top 10 for doubles and RBI’s. Tampa is a team that will strike out a lot, but against Tommy Milone who averages well under a strikeout per inning, we should see heavy contact out of the Rays here. Right-handed hitters are hitting a home run against Milone once every 24 at-bats, while lefties are every 22. RHH are hitting 0.23 points higher in batting average here so everyone is in play here, though a small edge to RHH. Yandy Diaz is elite value at just $2,600 and Hunter Renfroe ($2,800) and Jose Martinez ($2,900) are right there as well. These guys fit nicely with our core stack above for salary relief with high upside.
Check out our cheatsheet below for the full list of players in our player pool today
$ Tier P C1B 2B 3B SS OF High Jon Lester (8.9k / 28.49) Peter Alonso (3.6k / 17.89) Ryan McMahon (3.3k / 14.97) Nolan Arenado (4k / 22.51) Trevor Story (4.3k / 24.40) Tommy Pham (3.9k / 23.64) Jurickson Profar (3.2k / 14.04) Manny Machado (3.7k / 23.37) Fernando Tatis Jr. (4.2k / 26.53) Charlie Blackmon (3.9k / 22.51) David Dahl (3.7k / 21.32) Medium Yonny Chirinos (7.9k / 18.78) Daniel Murphy (3.1k / 16.20) Jeff McNeil (2.8k / 15.83) Dansby Swanson (3.3k / 17.46) Ronald Acuna (3.6k / 19.61) Jose Abreu (3k / 14.63) Wil Myers (3.6k / 17.43) Whit Merrifield (3.5k / 15.10) Trent Grisham (3.3k / 22.32) Low Jake Junis (6.6k / 16.75) Robinson Cano (2.5k / 11.66) Yandy Diaz (2.6k / 14.53) Adalberto Mondesi (2.5k / 8.16) Jose Martinez (2.9k / 16.04) David Peterson (6.6k / 13.67) Hunter Renfroe (2.8k / 13.85) Dylan Cease (5.8k / 15.99)