Welcome to the Daily MLB Rundown for DraftKings contests on Sunday, August 2, 2020
Sunday afternoon sees six games on the slate with one being removed (MIL/STL) due to the positive cases that we’ve seen come out of the Cardinals locker room. The pitching is pretty ugly and you may be forced to eat some chalk on the mound with plenty of dismal options and pretty high projected totals across the board. Let’s have a look at some options this afternoon!
Approach to Pitching
There isn’t going to be a whole lot of statistical support for ‘great’ pitching options this afternoon….it’s slim pickings. Instead, I think a good approach is to find pitchers who have the ability to generate some swings and misses, preferably ones facing poor line-ups.
For me, two pitchers stand out for Sunday’s slate:
- Jon Lester ($9,000) vs. PIT
Lester draws a match-up against the Pirates this afternoon, who remain one of the worst hitting teams in baseball, as was expected. In his first start of the season, Lester threw 5 no-hit innings, and although he only registered one strike-out, last year he managed to miss bats at a healthy clip of 8.63 K/9 and while his SIERA of 4.46 is nothing to write home about, on this slate – I think Lester is at or near the top of the list of pitchers to lock and load for the slate as a significant weighting in your builds due to his ability to miss a fair amount of bats, in combination with the match-up against one of the worst line-ups in the game.
- Yonny Chirinos ($8,600) vs. BAL
Everyone has their warts in the pitcher’s pool today – for Chirinos it is the lack of length for the majority of his appearances. He threw 4 innings in his first start of 2020, and I wouldn’t expect him to clear 5 innings in this outing….but like I said, they all have their warts. The match-up is a good one against a below average O’s offence, and Chirinos does a good job enough job of missing bats with a career K/9 of 7.65 – but what he really does is limit baserunners, which gives him a high floor in most of his match-ups (he has a career WHIP of 1.12). The ceiling isn’t too high, but on this slate, I don’t think that matters too much.
I’ve included a couple other options that I think are worth mixing into your builds on the cheat sheet below!
Approach to Hitting
Overweight on Coors Field
For hitting today – we have Zach Davies and Antonio Senzatela toeing the slab in Coors Field….so it shouldn’t take a whole lot of analysis to know that the Padres and Rockies are both in great spots in the game that has the highest projected total on the board. I could write up more about this, but honestly – I think it would be wasting your time. I like an over-weight position on stacks from both teams today, and have included my favourite options from them on the cheat sheet below.
Another Team to Mix in…
If you are looking for another stack to mix into your builds heavily, I love the spot for the Rays yet again today, even though they were a bit of a letdown yesterday. They have a potent line-up that is affordable against LHP – and Tommy Milone is an attractive pitcher to go stacking against. Milone was hit hard in his only start so far this season, and has given up over 2 HR/9 over parts of the past two seasons that he’s pitched…putting the Rays in a great spot. Milone has struggled against hitters from both sides of the plate over his career – but I do expect the Rays to load up their RH bats when it comes to their line-up for this afternoon.
My three favourite options from TB that I think should be a significant and core part of your player pool are 3B Yandy Diaz ($4,100), 1B Jose Martinez ($4,500) and OF Hunter Renfroe ($4,300). They have all had pretty slow starts to the season – but it should only be a matter of time before they break out – and a match-up with Tommy Milone could be what is needed to cure their early season woes.
If you are looking for a couple of other options to sprinkle in, SS Willy Adames ($3,900), 1B/2B Mike Brousseau ($4,100) are my two favourite options…Brosseau being of particular interest as the RH stick was hitting 2nd in yesterday’s line-up and has been swinging it well so far in the early season.
|High||Aaron Civale (9.6k / 12.57)||Francisco Mejia (4.7k / 8.91)||Freddie Freeman (5.5k / 15.54)||Jurickson Profar (4.9k / 10.77)||Manny Machado (5.2k / 17.93)||Fernando Tatis Jr. (5.9k / 20.34)||Tommy Pham (5.1k / 18.13)|
|Peter Alonso (5.1k / 13.72)||Ozzie Albies (5k / 1.40)||Nolan Arenado (5.5k / 17.26)||Trevor Story (6k / 18.71)||Charlie Blackmon (5.6k / 17.26)|
|Ronald Acuna (5.5k / 15.04)|
|David Dahl (5.3k / 16.35)|
|Medium||Yasmani Grandal (4.2k / 11.06)||Wil Myers (4.8k / 13.37)||Ryan McMahon (4.7k / 11.48)||Jose Ramirez (4.7k / 11.25)||Francisco Lindor (4.7k / 10.47)||Michael Conforto (4.8k / 12.14)|
|Willson Contreras (4.3k / 11.33)||Daniel Murphy (4.5k / 12.43)||Cesar Hernandez (3.9k / 8.50)||Yoan Moncada (4k / 11.87)||Jorge Polanco (4.1k / 10.29)||Marcell Ozuna (4.7k / 13.72)|
|Brandon Nimmo (4.1k / 10.72)|
|Max Kepler (4.2k / 10.15)|
|Low||Kyle Wright (6.2k / 6.52)||Mike Zunino (3.6k / 4.22)||Jose Abreu (3.9k / 11.22)||Manuel Margot (3.7k / 7.75)|
Good luck in your contests tonight!