Welcome to the Daily Rundown for DraftKings KBO DFS contests on Wednesday, July 1, 2020.
We have 5 games on the Wednesday slate, with DFS contests locking at 5:30am EST.
The Wednesday slate features some pretty good pitching match-ups for solid talents, and with only one double-digit total (DOO/KIW) the chalky formula should be fairly easy to predict.
We do have a couple heavy favourites too, with NC at -338 over LOT and KIA at -248 over HAN.
Let’s take a closer look at how things shake out the rest of the way.
The key question you’ll ask yourself on this slate is if you’re going to pay up for Chang Mo Koo. Last time out against KT he was knocked around for the first time in 2020 (4 IP, 8 H, 4 ER), and he’s a season-high price-wise at $11,000. This is a really good situation for him against a LOT team that he hasn’t faced this year – but boy is that a hefty price tag for a KBO SP. With solid arms elsewhere on the slate, I’m leaning towards a fade recommendation even though a 20+ DKP game shouldn’t surprise us one bit. I just worry about the limitation it’s going to have on your hitting options.
Ki Young Im didn’t go on Tuesday as expected originally thanks to the rainout, so the expectation holds over to Wednesday. He has one of the best opponent totals (3.6 runs) and gets HAN again with a 71.2% win%. His 2.91 ERA / 8.2 K/9 / 1.15 WHIP are all excellent for a cool $8,000 price tag, too. It’s easy to find room for him as a rock-solid SP1 or SP2 on this slate depending how you approach it.
The other two names that you’ll want in your player pool here are David Buchanan against SK and Seung Won Moon against SAM. While they oppose each other, they both have appealing skills and recent metrics, with Buchanan getting the win probability and opponent total edge thanks in large part to throwing at home.
Moon despite the run total of nearly a full 1.0 higher than Buchanan is where I’m going to put my money here. He’s $100 more than Buchanan ($7,700 vs $7,600) and has been a far better pitcher of late with 19+ DKP in 5 straight starts. He also has strong K% metrics on the year and lower WHIP/ERA numbers when you stack them up against one another. He may be a little under-owned because of the 4.64 run total – but don’t sleep on him.
Hitting Stacks to Target
The three teams that I want primary exposure to on this slate are NC thanks to a really good match-up against Won-sam Jang and his generally awful skills (3 IP, 10 H, 5 ER in his last outing and really bad numbers across the board in 2019) and then DOO/KIW as a game stack as well.
For NC, my recommendations for higher-end exposure goes 5-deep:
- Sung-Bum Na – he’s an RBI machine out of the 3 hole but hasn’t had an xBH in his last 3; don’t let the LvL match-up worry you
- Eui-Ji Yang – hasn’t really paid off at his elevated price tag lately, but skills are still great for a C if stacking
- Suk-Min Park – hits in 4 straight but not a ton of power; a bit over-priced but still worthy of inclusion in a stack
- Aaron Altherr.- elite LvR match-up and he’s one of the hottest hitters in the KBO right now with tremendous power potential; will be highly owned
- Hee-Dong Kwon – continues to be criminally under-priced at $2,400; 16+ DKP in 3 straight and now hitting consistently in the 2-hole
KIW/DOO has a 10.5 run total to lead the slate, and even though DOO’s share of that is 4.77 runs with how the money line breaks it down – I’m still very much into a game stack as a viable strategy.
For KIW, I’m looking at Dong-Won Park, Jung-Hoo Lee, Keon-Chang Seo and Hye-Sung Kim. On the DOO side, I’ve got Jose Fernandez, Jae-Hwan Kim, Jae-Il Oh, Joo-Hwan Choi and Kyoung-Min Hur on my short list.
Fernandez has been very consistent over his last couple weeks, with multiple multi-hit games in that time and although he hasn’t gone deep since June 13th, is an excellent play at 1B or 2B. Jae-Hwan Kim and Jae-Il Oh are in plus splits as well here, and have some very appealing ISOs to work with (Oh in particular at .244 – especially with a $3,900 price tag). Oh is one of my favourite options on the slate, and you can easily plug him in at 1B with Fernandez occupying 2B. Hur at 3B is a great option for $2,900 especially with the fact that he’s now hit leadoff in 4 straight while performing well out of that slot (2 hits in each game across 3 of his last 4 GP).
Make sure you check out the full cheat sheet below for the rest of the guys in our player pool tonight.
Best of luck out there in your contests!
$ Tier P C 1B 2B 3B SS OF High Chang Mo Koo (11k / 25.69) Eui-Ji Yang (5.6k / 9.99) Jae-Hwan Kim (5.4k / 7.81) Jose Fernandez (5.9k / 8.54) Jeong Choi (5.3k / 6.45) Mel Rojas Jr (6.1k / 8.49) Dong-Won Park (5.1k / 7.52) Baek-Ho Kang (5.8k / 8.07) Aaron Altherr (5k / 8.04) Preston Tucker (6k / 10.35) Sung-Bum Na (5.7k / 10.18) Medium Ki Young Im (8k / 16.89) Ja-Wook Koo (4.9k / 6.29) Jae-Gyun Hwang (4.6k / 6.40) Jung-Hoo Lee (4.5k / 7.38) Hyung-Woo Choi (4.7k / 8.11) Suk-Min Park (4.3k / 6.06) Ho-Ryeong Kim (4k / 5.45) Keon-Chang Seo (4.1k / 6.72) Won-Seok Lee (4.1k / 5.27) Low David Buchanan (7.6k / 13.16) Yong-Hwan Baek (3.2k / 0.33) Jae-Il Oh (3.9k / 5.65) Kyung-Soo Park (3.2k / 3.52) Kyoung-Min Hur (2.9k / 3.31) Ji-Hwan Oh (3.4k / 4.79) Eun-Sung Chae (3.1k / 3.93) Seung Won Moon (7.7k / 11.79) Do-Hwan Hur (2k / 0.16) Joo-Hwan Choi (3.1k / 4.04) Hye-Sung Kim (2.7k / 2.92) Hee-Dong Kwon (2.4k / 4.28) Jeong-Dae Bae (2.7k / 3.76)
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