Welcome to The Daily Tennis Trio. The goal of this article is to provide you with building blocks for roster construction on DraftKings and FanDuel. I will attempt to highlight the players in this article at a high, middle, and value tier. Note at the time of typing this FanDuel does not have a Tennis slate up and I will only be focusing on Draftkings.
Top Tier – Grigor Dimitrov (DK: $9,300)
We have a slate today with Nadal, Wawrinka, Zvervev, and Isner as all top dollar options above Dimitrov, though I believe we can save a bit of coin here and start our building with the Bulgarian here. There isn’t really an eye-popping statistic to throw behind Dimitrov as he is just 3-3 on the year and doesn’t have a real resume defining win, but he is still a top 25 player in the world who has had success on hard courts in the past. For me, this is more of a knock on his opponent in Adrian Mannarino. Mannarino is just 2-6 on the year but was close to 1-7 before coming back to defeat Norrie to get to this point in the tournament. The Frenchman has dealt with some injuries so far into the season and withdrew from Montpellier just a few weeks ago. These two have met once before on hard courts with Dimitrov taking the victory, albeit being four years ago. Mannarino’s serve looked rough last time out, as he lost his serve six times. I am willing to bet against the form on Mannarino right now in every match he plays as long as his opponent is carrying a competent game, we get that here with Dimitrov.
Mid Tier – Felix Auger Aliassime (DK: $7,000)
This is way lower “mid-tier” than I usually prefer to go, but I think my favorite way to build this slate is with a few cheap options and then three of the higher-priced guys like Dimitrov, Wawrinka, and Isner. FAA has played a stunning 17 matches so far in 2020 and is so far 12-5 on the year, including back to back finals appearances and losses to Gael Monfils and Stefanos Tsitsipas. That puts FAA at 9-2 in his last 11 matches with his only losses being in title attempts. I was a little worried about burnout though the 19-year-old has shown no sign of issue or wear as he ran through Alex Bolt in straight sets on Tuesday. His opponent is Kyle Edmund who is on a terror of his own, coming off a title in New York ten days ago. This is not a knock on Edmund at all, as he sits at 8-3 on the year and is currently on a six-match winning streak. In reality, this will likely be the best match of the day as it is two of the hottest players on tour meeting. For me, getting a player like FAA at this price tag is almost a no-brainer to get exposure to. I think if you are MME’ing, it is vital to get some exposure to his opponent as well. Despite coming off of a title for Edmund, the biggest name he faced in his six-match winning streak is Kecmanovic, who ranks 50th in the world. Edmund is a slight favorite here which pushed FAA’s pricing down, but by the time this match rolls around don’t be shocked to see these odds closer to a pickem.
Potential Upset Tier -Soonwoo Kwon (DK: $6,400)
For the sake of not over-explaining, this price for Kwon is just simply a misprice on Draftkings. Lajovic is priced at $8,400 with Kwon at $6,400 while Vegas has their odds both at -115. If you are building for strict value, Kwon is the best value on the slate by far. Lajovic is also more of a clay player, as he went just 6-9 on hard courts at the main level in 2019. Kwon already has some impressive wins on the year, including knocking out Milos Raonic in New York. This is in no way stating the Kwon is a slam dunk play, just the misprice here by Draftkings is essentially giving us $1,400 more salary to work with to apply towards our higher-priced options while not losing out on the implied odds.