The American Express – The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2020 American Express. Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2020 American Express! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

The Best of the Best

  • Scottie Scheffler, $9,500

You’ll notice no one over $10k in this week’s Primer….not to say that the likes of Rickie Fowler, Sungjae Im and Tony Finau are bad plays – they aren’t.  However, I really like some of the mid-priced option this week and as a result from a line-up construction standpoint – I like the risk/return profile for some of the tier 1B golfers this week, Scheffler included.  He has yet to tee it up on the year, but ended the 2019 season in great form, including two T10 finishes in his past three finishes and in a relatively weak field tournament, I like his chances of being relevant by the time the weekend rolls around.

  • Kevin Kisner, $9,900

I have a feeling that Kisner will fly under the radar with respect to ownership levels yet again this weekend at this inflated price point, but love it from an opportunity standpoint.  Historically, when he has been rolling, he tends to get on heaters, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him carry it over into this weekend’s event, fresh off of a T4 finish a week ago.  He has three straight T15 finishes, and I think there is a high probability that he makes it a fourth this weekend.

The Next Tier

  • Alex Noren, $8,400

Noren is too cheap.  I expected him to check in around $9k in this quality of field, and I love his rock solid game this weekend.  It’s been quite a while since he cracked the top 10 in a tournament, and while that may not sound like a rousing endorsement – I wouldn’t be shocked if he manages to do that this weekend.  Even if he doesn’t, he is a consistent top 25 finisher, which gives as high of a floor as you can to a golfer in this price range.  He’s a fantastic core mid-priced option this week.

  • Vaughan Taylor, $7,900

Taylor comes into this one with three straight finishes in the top 12, including a 12th at last week’s Sony Open.  The price point is reasonable and I think he is a high floor option with a great chance of making the cut and a reasonable shot at being relevant on the weekend.  He has a steady all around game, and I like how he fits the course for the American Express this weekend.  He’s one of my favourite dollar for dollar options this week.

Do Not Forget About…

  • Harold Varner, $7,000

Varner hasn’t missed a cut since mid-June of 2019, giving a great floor for a low-priced option this week.  He’s a great source of salary relief with the type of game that can rack up the birdie points, something often lacking from golfers that can grind their way to play on the weekends.  My only concern here is that he has yet to tee it up in 2020 – but I think he’ll be solid this weekend and is a great option for your 6th golfer when building line-ups for this week’s event.

It should be a fun week of PGA action as we start to hit our stride for the 2020 PGA season! Here’s to hoping it’s a good one for you!  If you have any questions at all, you can find me on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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