The Primer – NBA DFS Expert Analysis – December 8, 2019

Featuring in-depth analysis to help you crack the winning code for the NBA DFS slate on December 8, 2019

In this article, we are going to go position by position breaking down the top plays and values for you. We will be using FanDuel’s pricing and positions due to the multiple position eligibility for most players on DraftKings.

Point Guard

Top Play

Luka Doncic

Last time out, Luka showed us he is a mortal and won’t just triple double every single game. That being said this is must win game against the Kings for the Mavericks who are fighting for a playoff spot. Look for Luka to play in the mid to upper 30’s in minutes which given his absurd 1.67 FPPM production this year makes him the top PG for me today.

Others to consider: Damian Lillard, Chris Paul

Top Value

Timberwolves Starting Point Guard

With Andrew Wiggins questionable again, the Minnesota situation is one to take note of. Wiggins didn’t even attempt to warm-up on Friday before being ruled out so I’d be surprised if he played today. Jeff Teague was fantastic in his place putting up 32 points in 40 minutes but he’s been added to the injury report with a sore ankle. If he can’t go I’m looking towards Napier over Culver but I’m all over whoever starts for the Wolves.

Others to Consider: Ish Smith, Kendrick Nunn

Shooting Guard

Top Play 

Jimmy Butler

Butler gets a fantastic match-up against the Bulls who give up points to everyone. Butler has been fantastic this year with a 25.6% usage rate and a 1.28 FPPM on the season. Butler gets a boost if Winslow misses again but either way he should have an advantage against the undersized Zach Lavine.

Others to Consider:  Bradley Beal, CJ McCollum

Top Value

Dennis Schroder

With Diallo and Ferguson out, we saw CP3, Schroder and Shai play a ton together and it worked really well. Portland with Rodney Hood out with an Achilles is going to be small team going forward which works fine for this three guard attack. Portland gives up the 12th most points to opposing SG’s so it’s a nice spot in what should be a really competitive game.

Others to Consider: Danny Green, Tyler Herro

Small Forward

Top Play 

Lebron James

Another really strong SF slate today is headlined by Lebron James who is well, Lebron James. He is sporting a 32.1% USG rate and a 1.51 FPPM. Minnesota gives up the most points to opposing SF’s and given how injury depleted the Wolves are that might be generous.

Others To Consider: Pascal Siakam, Paul George

Top Value

Kent Bazemore

With Rodney Hood out with an achilles, Bazemore is going to take the majority of those minutes. He’s not a high usage guy but he can produce in every category.

Others to Consider:  Josh Okogie, Abdel Nader

Power Forward

Top Play 

Anthony Davis

Much like Lebron, Anthony Davis is in a fantastic spot against the Timberwolves. Anthony Davis is sporting a 30.7% USG rate and a phenomenal 1.53 FPPM. In a game where his minutes could get extended he has a huge ceiling here. The most likely match-up for AD tonight is to be guarded by Robert Covington or Jordan Bell, so either one is a fantastic spot for him.

Others to Consider:  Kawhi Leonard, Bam Adebayo

Top Value

Jordan Bell

This is what I could classify as the CJ crazy play of the slate. Jordan Bell came off the bench against the Thunder and produced in 21 minutes playing next to Karl Anthony-Towns, in a match-up against the Lakers tonight who are super big at all times I expect to see to see Bell either as the first big off the bench or even a potential starter (would allow Covington to cover Lebron). This is a tournament only play but going to fire up some Bell at basically unowned.

Others to Consider: Rui Hachimura, Skal Labissiere

Center

Top Play 

Mo Wagner

Wagner is going to have to play all the minutes he can handle. He’s priced for a guy playing 20-24 minutes a night not the 30-40 that he is in line to play tonight. The match-up against Zubac and Harrell isn’t good but if he can stretch him out and make shots he should be effective on the offensive end of the floor. Bit more risk that people will have you believe but it’s worth taking.

Others to Consider: Karl-Anthony Towns, Kelly Olynyk

 

 

About CJ Kaltenbach

Check Also

DraftKings NBA DFS Core Plays & Cheat Sheet – January 17, 2020

Sharing core plays and a cheat sheet for January 17, 2020, NBA DFS slate on …