The Cruncher List for Week 14: FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice & Picks | Game-By-Game Analysis

The Cruncher List | Week 14 FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Week 14 Line-up

Carolina @ Atlanta (-3), Total: 47.5

Carolina – Projected total: 22.25 points

The Panthers travel to Atlanta this week as small road dogs, in a game with a high projected total.  The Panthers continue to funnel most of their offence through a couple of main contributors, RB Christian McCaffrey and WR D.J. Moore getting most of the looks.

With respect to McCaffrey, the only downside to rostering him is the price point, as he continues to have the most expensive price tag of any player by a wide margin.  The Falcons have done a good job at defending the pass against RB’s this season, and this isn’t my favourite spot for McCaffrey, though I would recommend mixing in some exposure for those max-entering.

As for WR D.J. Moore, he’s an elite option, continuing to be a high volume target of QB Kyle Allen.  He’s a great high floor, high ceiling option this week.  WR Curtis Samuel is worth sprinkling in, but he is much more dependent on the big play.

The Cruncher List

  • WR D.J. Moore

Good Plays

  • RB Christian McCaffrey
  • WR Curtis Samuel

Atlanta – Projected total: 25.25 points

The Falcons are in one of the better spots this week, evidenced by their projected total of just over 25 points.  WR Julio Jones looks like he will suit up, and is an elite option this week against a Panthers secondary that has allowed the 11th most fantasy points per game (PPR, as is the case of the whole article) – and trending worse as the season rolls along.  He’s an elite option this week, and I prefer him to WR Calvin Ridley, who I expect to be relatively popular with respect to his recent performance.

TE Austin Hooper is back in the fold this week, and while I recommend some exposure to him, Carolina does do a pretty good job at defending the TE position, and I think there are better options on the board.

RB Devonta Freeman has an attractive price point this week, but he continues to be a RB that I under-weight, and it has yet to hurt so far this season.

QB Matt Ryan is a strong option to mix into your MME builds, but I do prefer some other options available on the slate as I don’t think this game will turn into a true ‘shoot-out’.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Julio Jones

Good Plays

  • QB Matt Ryan
  • WR Calvin Ridley

Baltimore (-6) @ Buffalo, Projected total: 44

Baltimore – Projected Total: 25 points

QB Lamar Jackson remains likely to be the highest absolute scorer at the position most weeks, due to his dual threat attack.  He is priced up this week, and though it is dangerous, I’ll be under-weight exposure to him this week given the fact that I think Buffalo’s defence will do a good enough job against him to keep him from lighting up the fantasy scoreboards.  With that said, given what he has shown all season long, I won’t argue with anyone that pays up for him this week.  In the same breath, I don’t have any interest in any passing weapons at Jackson’s disposal this week.

RB Mark Ingram is a great option against a funnel Buffalo defence that has been victimized by opposing RB’s this season.  If you want a contrarian low-owned approach, you can sprinkle in Gus Edwards, and this move could pay off in spades if Ingram went down, or if Edwards happens to find pay-dirt multiple times, which is in the range of outcomes…but I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure here.

The Ravens DST is worth getting some exposure to this week, though I do prefer some other options on the board.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Mark Ingram

Good Plays

  • QB Lamar Jackson
  • RB Gus Edwards
  • Ravens DST

Buffalo – Projected Total: 19 points

Playing at home against a tough defence this week, iI have no problem fading the Bills offence, something I haven’t done much of this season.  If you think that Jackson will lead the Ravens to score at will – it could be worth getting some exposure to WR John Brown, who would have a big day if this one turned into a shoot-out.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Cincinnati @ Cleveland (-7), Projected Total: 42.5

Cincinnati, Projected Total: 17.75 points

The price points are attractive on a couple of Cincinnati options (RB Joe Mixon and WR Tyler Boyd) – but in a tough match-up against a defence that has been playing pretty well, I don’t think that either of them have a good chance of being a part of a large-field GPP win this week.  I’ll be fading them.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Cleveland, Projected Total: 24.75 points

The match-up is a great one for Cleveland this week, with the Bengals giving up over 20 PPG to the QB position and the 7th most PPG to opposing RB’s.  They have done a good job against WR’s, but I think a lot of that has been game script dependant with fewer passing attempts being thrown against them versus many other teams in football.

QB Baker Mayfield is an elite play this week at his price point.  There isn’t much that I love in terms of high spends at the position, and I think he’s an outstanding play at his price.

Turning to his WR’s, both Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. are worth consideration.  Keep in mind that there is some game script risk here if Cleveland gets up big, which is enough to keep both of them off of The Cruncher List for me, but I do think they are worth including in your player pool for MME this week.  TE David Njoku is probably worth including as well as a punt with upside in his return from injury.

RB Nick Chubb is an elite play – I expect him to clear 20 touches in this one, and the big-play back always has a ceiling that is rivaled by few in the game.

The Browns DST is an elite option this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Baker Mayfield
  • RB Nick Chubb
  • Browns DST

Good Plays

  • WR Jarvis Landry
  • WR Odell Beckham Jr.
  • TE David Njoku

Washington @ Green Bay (-13), Projected Total: 41.5

Washington, Projected Total: 14.25 points

Despite the big play ability of RB Darrius Guice, they are an easy fade in my eyes this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Green Bay, Projected Total: 27.25 points

WR Davante Adams is one of my favourite big-spend WR’s this week as he goes up against a Washington secondary that has been victimized all season long by the deep ball, especially when Josh Norman has been covering.  He’s an elite option this week, and QB Aaron Rodgers fits the bill as well if you want to spend up for him.  Outside of Adams, i don’t have interest in any of the Packers’ WR’s though.

RB Aaron Jones is one of the most intriguing options on the board at RB.  He has a lower floor than you’d like for a player that costs as much as he does, but he has shown the ability to break the slate on more than one occasion this year.  I think he has a strong Week 14 in this match-up.

If you disagree with the above, it could pay off for you to roster RB Jamaal Williams at his price point – in fact, I’d recommend doing so if you disagree as the Packers have shown they will feature Williams if Jones can’t get it going.

The Packers DST is an elite option this week going up against rookie QB Haskins.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Aaron Jones
  • WR Davante Adams
  • Packers DST

Good Plays

  • QB Aaron Rodgers
  • RB Jamaal Williams

Denver @ Houston (-9), Projected Total: 42.5

Denver Projected Total: 16.75 points

Unless you think that WR Courtland Sutton will break loose against a vulnerable secondary – I wouldn’t recommend rostering any of the Broncos options this week outside of TE Noah Fant as a punt with upside at TE.  I won’t be using Sutton this week, but I do like getting minimal exposure to Fant as a value TE.  He is far from a safe option, but if you see him heavily involved in the passing attack, he has the athleticism to make some noise as a receiving threat.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • TE Noah Fant

Houston, Projected Total: 25.75 points

Despite the high total here, I’m not too high on the Texans options on offence from a DFS standpoint.  Sure, I think you will likely see Watson and Hopkins have solid games – but I do prefer the spot that a few others are in at their respective positions.  Of course, if you think that this will the consensus out there from an ownership standpoint, it creates a great game theory opportunity to roster this pair – but I have a feeling they won’t be as low owned as you may think they will be…..they’re good plays, but don’t make The Cruncher List as they go up against a tough Broncos secondary that has given up the 5th fewest points to opposing QB’s and 6th fewest to WR’s.  TE Darren Fells is worth building into your player pool for MME formats as it has been clear that Watson likes to look his way when they get down near the goal-line.

I don’t have interest in RB Carlos Hyde or RB Duke Johnson.  I think this will be more of a ‘Hyde’ game, but don’t have a lot of interest in rostering him this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • QB DeShaun Watson
  • WR DeAndre Hopkins
  • TE Darren Fells

Detroit @ Minnesota (-13), Total: 43.5

Detroit, Projected total: 15.25 points

The banged up Lions are an easy fade for me this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Minnesota, Projected Total: 28.25 points

QB Kirk Cousins, WR Stefon Diggs and TE Kyle Rudolph are all elite plays against a Lions defence that has been dismal this season, especially of late.  With WR Adam Thielen likely out again this week, I expect Cousins to funnel plenty of his targets to both of these receiving options, and for them to be high floor, high ceiling options.  Detroit has allowed the 8th most fantasy points per game to opposing QB’s, 7th most to WR’s, and are a middle of the pack defence against TE’s.

As for the ground game, Detroit has allowed the 3rd most fantasy points per game against the position.  If you think that RB Dalvin Cook will be all systems go, and get a full-workload, he likely becomes the best RB on the slate.  If you are worried about him, you could mix in RB Alexander Mattison – even if Cook plays, which would be a very high ceiling type of move – but one that carries plenty of risk if Cook gets a bellcow workload Sunday.  As for me, I’ll likely be under-weight exposure to Cook, and will sprinkle in exposure to Mattison.

The Vikings DST is an elite option this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Kirk Cousins
  • WR Stefon Diggs
  • TE Kyle Rudolph
  • Vikings DST

Good Plays

  • RB Dalvin Cook
  • RB Alexander Mattison

San Francisco @ New Orleans (-2); Projected Total: 44

San Francisco, Projected Total: 21 points

This game is one of the best games on the slate – but I don’t think it will likely translate that way into the DFS world.  I expect a low-scoring, well defended game between two of the league’s best defences.  I don’t mind sprinkling in a little bit of exposure here for the likes of RB Raheem Mostert, WR Deebo Samuel – while I think that TE George Kittle is an elite play – but outside of Kittle, I will be keeping ownership levels to less than 5% this week for your MME builds.

The Cruncher List

  • TE George Kittle

Good Plays

  • RB Raheem Mostert (boom-bust)
  • WR Deebo Samuel

New Orleans, Projected Total: 23 points

RB Alvin Kamara and WR Michael Thomas are the only Saints players I have interest in this week.  Kamara is very affordably priced – and it is only a matter of time before we see him find the end-zone.  The match-up is tough, but I do like the spot he is in this week, especially on DK at his price point.

WR Michael Thomas should continue to see plenty of targets for the Saints – but he does draw a tough match-up.  He is coming off of his first dud game of the year, and while I expect him to out pace his Week 13 line, I do prefer other WR’s on the board this week.  With that said, I’d recommend keeping him in your player pool here.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Alvin Kamara (DK)

Good Plays

  • RB Alvin Kamara (FD)
  • WR Michael Thomas

Miami @ New York Jets (-5), Projected Total: 46

Miami, Projected Total: 20.5 points

I think that this game has the potential to be shoot-out.  I know it has a relatively modest total, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we see these teams air it out – and we see this game with one of the higher totals put up on the board.  Then again, both these teams suck – so it definitely may not play out that way.  If you like my thought, read on.  If you don’t – skip ahead to the next game.

I think that QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, RB Patrick Laird, WR DeVante Parker and TE Mike Gesicki make for a very intriguing stack.  Fizpatrick comes into this one with over 55 DKP in his last two games, much of which has been featuring Parker and Gesicki.  Many will balk at Parker’s newly inflated price, but I love what I have seen from him.  He has seen 10+ targets in each of the past four weeks – and has been balling out.  At their price points, I have Fitzpatrick, Parker as elite options, and Gesicki just missing the cut for The Cruncher List, but being a very strong play nonetheless.

As for Laird, no this is not a joke – I love him on DK this week.  With Ballage out, many snaps are up for grabs, and while I don’t expect Laird to grab them all, he has done a great job in limited snaps so far, and I think that he’ll see another 10-15 snaps this week.  He’s been targeted heavily in the passing game by Fitzpatrick, making him a strong option on DK this week.

So yea….there’s 3-4 Dolphins recommended here……and I’m sticking to it!

The Cruncher List

  • Dolphins Stack/Game Stack
  • QB Ryan Fitzpatrick
  • WR DeVante Parker
  • RB Patrick Laird (DK)

Good Plays

  • TE Mike Gisecki

New York Jets, Projected Total: 25.5 points

With Lev Bell ruled out, I expect RB Bilal Powell to see plenty of work in his absence, and priced at/near the minimum – he’s an elite option that really has his only downside being that he will be popular.  But in this match-up, I like his chances of having a very productive day.  He isn’t likely to see the volume Lev did – but he’s a strong punt with upside nonetheless.

QB Sam Darnold is in a great spot against a Miami secondary that has allowed the 3rd most fantasy PPG against opposing QB’s this season.  I prefer WR Robbie Anderson to WR Jameson Crowder – but if you are building out game stacks, I’d recommend some various combos including those two and WR Demaryius Thomas/TE Ryan Griffen (assuming he plays).  Like I said above, I love a game stack here, but if you are just looking for my favourite plays in a vacuum – they are Darnold, Powell and Anderson.

The Cruncher List

  • Game Stack
  • QB Sam Darnold
  • RB Bilal Powell
  • WR Robbie Anderson

Good Plays

  • WR Jameson Crowder

Indianapolis @ Tampa Bay (-3), Projected Total: 47

Colts- Projected Total: 22 points

The Colts passing game draws a great match-up this week – and really I am only interested in two options here, TE Jack Doyle and WR Zach Pascal – both of which should see close do double digit targets in this match-up against the Bucs.  They are really the only two somewhat established options at the dispoal of Brissett, and I expect him to look the way of each of them early and often in this one.  They are both elite options.  I don’t expect Brissett to do enough damage to be large-field GPP winning worthy due to how the Colts tend to play – which is enough to make me shy away from using him this week.

As for the ground game, TB is the league’s best team at limiting opposing RB’s, so this is an easy fade for me.

The Colts DST is worth mixing into your player pool for multiple-entry formats due to the turnover prone nature of Winston (even though Siege wrote a very thoughtful tweet behind the reason for these turnovers…he still does create opportunity for the opposing defence) – so I think we keep him them in the pool here.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Zach Pascal
  • TE Jack Doyle

Good Plays

  • Colts DST

Bucs, Projected Total: 25 points

I think the Colts will do enough to keep crooked numbers from going up on the board here – and even though there is some risk, I am going to fade TB this week….gulp.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Chargers (-3) @ Jaguars, Projected Total: 42 points

Los Angeles Chargers, Projected Total: 22.5

Something will have to give here as the Jaguars defence has been regressing arguably quicker than Philip Rivers has.  Honestly – its a tough call.  WR Mike Williams could bust out….but I have probably typed that 10 times this season.  He’s too talented not to include in your player pool, and did eclipse the century mark a week ago.  One week, Rivers will look his way as much as he should…..this is getting desperate.

RB Melvin Gordon is a fade for me, even in a plus match-up.  RB Austin Ekeler is worth including in your player pool on DK due to his prowess in the passing game, but I do prefer other options on the board this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Austin Ekeler (DK)
  • WR Mike Williams

Jacksonville, Projected Total: 19.5 points

The Jaguars have gone back to QB Gardiner Minshew, giving the rookie the start this week after the dud put up by Foles against the Bucs a week ago.  Minshew and DJ Chark are worth consideration if you think they will be able to re-kindle their magic – but the match-up is a tough enough one to steer me clear of that this week.

RB Leonard Fournette is a volume based, high floor option at RB on a week where most of the high spends have question marks.  He just misses the cut for me for The Cruncher List, but of the high spends, he is one of my favourites.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Leonard Fournette

Pittsburgh (-2) @ Arizona, Total: 43

Steelers Projected points: 22.5 points

The Steelers have a great match-up, but unfortuantely at this point in time with Hodges under center, I expect them to shy away from a QB’s dream.  With that said, I would recommend sprinkling in some WR James Washington and WR Dionte Johnson into your builds – as they both have dream match-ups.  You’ll have to decide if TE Vance McDonald can break out in Week 14 and do something for the first time all season.  Arizona has been the cure for many-a-TE this season, but I personally won’t be banking on it.

RB Benny Snell seems to be taking the majority of the carries at the RB position, something that will likely continue since Conner has been ruled out.  He’s an elite option this week for the Steelers at his price point, and someone that I think will have a strong week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Benny Snell

Good Plays

  • WR James Washington

Arizona, Projected: 20.5 points

The Cards go up against one of the better defences around as Pittsburgh comes to town.  Playing QB Kyler Murray intrigues me as a contrarian option – we have seen him move the ball against some of the best defences in football, but I would limit my exposure to him.  As for his weapons, I expect RB Kenyan Drake to continue to get the lead-back duties, and WR Christian Kirk to lead the team in targets, but I’m not too intrigued by either option this week.

Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • QB Kyler Murray

Kansas City @ New England (-3), Projected Total: 49

Kansas City – Projected Total: 23

I like the over here.  While the Patriots have an elite defence, they have been vulnerable in a couple games lately, and I think the Chiefs will be able to move the ball here and put up some points.  You have a shot to roster the likes of Mahomes, Tyreke and Kelce at lower ownership levels than they should have – and Kelce makes the Cruncher List for me in this one.  As for the running game, I think we’ll see a full-fledged committee, and have no problem fading it.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Travis Kelce

Good Plays

  • QB Patrick Mahomes
  • WR Tyreke Hill

New England – Projected Total: 26

I actually think the Patriots will move the ball well in this one too, so I am aligned more with Vegas than the annual ‘The Pats are done!’ crowd.  Brady is affordable and worth building into your builds.  WR Julien Edelman is an elite option at his price point.  Someone else will be heavily involved in this one, and my best guess is that we will see RB James White be heavily used for the Pats as they try and out-pace the high-powered Chiefs.  White makes The Cruncher List for me on DK this week.  Outside of that trio, I don’t have a ton of interest here – though RB Sony Michel is capable to have a 3-4 score game if the Pats move the ball at will and feature Michel on the ground (and near the goal-line).

The Cruncher List

  • WR Julien Edelman
  • RB James White (DK)

Good Plays

  • QB Tom Brady
  • RB Sony Michel

Tennessee (-3) @ Oakland, Projected Total: 47.5

Tennessee – Projected Total: 26.25

The Titans have been featuring Derrick Henry early and often in their past two games, something I expect them to continue to do as we enter yet another year of the annual second half of the season featuring of Henry by the Titans.  He has been crushing it for them, and even though he is priced up this week – I think he remains an elite option in a great match-up against a Raiders defence that has really been hit in the mouth the last two weeks.

QB Ryan Tannehill was quiet last week but is in a prime bounce-back spot against a vulnerable Raiders secondary.  WR AJ Brown remains a boom/bust option at WR, and is worth mixing into your builds, especially those that include Tannehill.

The Titans DST is one of my favourite options on the board this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Ryan Tannehill
  • RB Derrick Henry

Good Plays

  • WR AJ Brown
  • Titans DST

Oakland – Projected Total: 23.25 Points

This game is massive if Oakland has any desire to make the playoffs.  They are banged up, missing Renfrow and possibly missing RB Josh Jacobs as well. The only player I have interest in here is TE Darren Waller, who should continue to be leaned on in the passing game, especially if the Raiders are playing from behind like I think they will.  He’s an elite option – but outside of him, I don’t have much interest here this week.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Darren Waller

Good Plays

  • None

Best of luck in your Week 14 DFS action!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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