The Primer – DFS NHL Edition – Thursday, December 5th

The Primer – DFS NHL Edition for Thursday, December 5th

Games on the Main Slate: 9

Games with Projected 6.5 goal totals: COL/MTL, MIN/TB, SJ/CAR

Favourites that are -165 or greater: BOS, TB

Where to Expect Chalk

  • With nine games tonight, ownership levels will be fairly spread out, however – we do see a few teams that are large favourites that I expect to be fairly chalky.
  • The top two lines and top PP unit for TB will likely see the highest ownership levels for the Main Slate tonight.  They are -220 favourites, playing at home in a game with a projected total of 6.5 goals.  I expect them to be fairly popular tonight.
  • The top PP unit for the Bruins will be another popular stack.

Some Edges to Attack

  • I like the spot that the Canes are in tonight, playing at home against the Sharks in what should be a high scoring game.  My favourite stacks here are CAR2 and the top PP unit for Carolina.
  • I like going over-weight with respect to TB exposure tonight.  I think they have a big night in a plus match-up on home ice.

Some Places/Players I’ll be Fading

  • Boston has split their top line, moving Marchand to the second unit.  I’ll take an under-weight position with respect to exposure here, waiting to see how the new-look lines produce for Boston tonight.
  • I’ll be crossing out exposure to the three games with projected totals of 5.5 goals (outside of the goalies and individual players).  I won’t be stacking lines here however, as I don’t expect them to be relevant in large-field GPP’s tonight.

Best of luck for those playing today and here’s to hoping it’s a good week for you in your NHL DFS action! 

If you have any questions at all, you can find me on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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