Welcome to the FC Insights Running Back Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the RB position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.
In this article, I am going to give you the top eight running backs in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.
Last Weeks Results
Based off of DraftKings scoring
- N/A will return next week
Nick Chubb ($8,200 FD, $8,100 DK)
Even with Kareem Hunt in the fold, Chubb is still getting a ton of touches. Chubb has at least 20 carries in both of the games since Hunt has made his debut and is averaging 104 rushing yards in those games. For the season, Chubb has at least 20 touches in all but one game and is averaging 101.1 rushing yards per game. This week I have no doubt in my mind that Chubb goes off once again as he gets a great match-up against the Dolphins. The Dolphins are allowing 148.3 rushing yards per game which is second-most in the NFL and are allowing the seventh-most fantasy points per game to running backs this season.
Derrius Guice ($5,400 FD, $4,700 DK)
This Guice pick is not going to be for most people as Guice is still likely to be limited as the Redskins take it easy on what they hope to be a future star running back after most of his career has been spent on the trainer’s table. With that being said I love Guice this week as he looked excellent in his eight touches last week. In those touches, Guice had 69 total yards and a score on his way to 13.9 fantasy points. This week we should see Guice with a slight uptick in touches to what I would think the 12 touch range and I don’t see why we can’t see Guice have another big performance as he takes on the Lions. The Lions have been hot garbage in stopping running backs from racking up fantasy points as this season they are allowing 32.6 fantasy points per game to the position which is second-most in the NFL.
Josh Jacobs ($8,000 FD, $7,400 DK)
All Jacobs has seen to do lately is produce. Jacobs has at least 100 total yards in six of his past seven games. In those games, Jacobs is averaging 99.3 rushing yards and two catches for 16.6 yards. Jacobs has five scores in those games and has produced double-digit fantasy points in each of those games. With the Raiders being a run first team I like Jacobs to continue to find success this week despite a tough match-up against a Jets team that is allowing the fewest yards per carry and fewest rushing yards per game this season.
Bo Scarbrough ($6,400 FD, $4,200 DK)
I have been burned by the Lions enough this season with who their running back is going to be with Kerryon Johnson on the shelf and I would not be shocked if I am burned again this week with Scarbrough who looks to be the Lions lead back now. Scarbrough saw 14 carries last week and I would expect him to see similar carries this week. Unlike last week where Scarbrough didn’t do much minus a touchdown, I am expecting Scarbrough to have a big game this week as the Lions take on the Redskins. The Redskins have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards per game this season and the eighth-most fantasy points per game to running backs.
Christian McCaffrey ($10,500 FD, $10,500 DK)
McCaffrey has at least 100 total yards in each of his games minus his two games against the Bucs and has produced at least 29 fantasy points in each of his games besides the Bucs games. McCaffrey going off is not the question mark. What is the question is if you can afford him or not as his salary is now above $10,000 on both sites. While I personally think it is easy to afford McCaffrey this week in cash games I am also okay with being underweight on the field on him in GPPs as that salary really is a lot to swallow.
Alvin Kamara ($8,300 FD, $8,200 DK)
It is hard not to like Kamara this week after seeing him in his two games since his return from injury. Kamara has ten targets in each of those games and is averaging nine catches for 48.5 receiving yards. That is over 13 fantasy points a game just on Kamara’s work in the passing game and does not include anything he might add on in the rushing game which is normally a lot. I especially like Kamara this week as he faces a Panthers team that ranks in the bottom six in both rushing yards allowed per game and fantasy points allowed per game to running backs.
Saquon Barkley ($7,900 FD, $7,900 DK)
Barkley has not done much in his past two games and is dealing with a nagging injury and is probably a bad play compared to some of the other running backs in his salary range. With that being said we don’t get to roster Barkley at this salary often if ever and I am going to take advantage as the match-up with the Bears is perfect for Barkley to get on track. The reason why I say this is due to Barkley’s involvement in the passing game and the Bears struggles in that department. This season the Bears have allowed the second-most catches to running backs while also allowing the tenth-most fantasy points per game to the position.
Derrick Henry ($8,400 FD, $6,900 DK)
I think my hate of Henry has a little to do with why Henry is so low in my ranking as he probably shouldn’t be as Henry has been good. Henry is ninth in the NFL in rushing yards per game with 83.2 and is tied for fourth in touchdowns with ten. Henry has at least 17 fantasy points in three of his past four games. Henry is not just putting up big numbers weekly but the Jaguars are a really good match-up for Henry. This season the Jags have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards to running backs and the ninth most fantasy points per game to the position.
David Montgomery ($6,600 FD, $5,500 DK)
I am only rostering Montgomery this week after he has burned me so many times this season due to the match-up against the Giants. The Giants are allowing 122.7 rushing yards per game which is tenth-most this season and have allowed 12 rushing touchdowns which is third-most this season. I not only like the match-up but I also have a feeling that the Bears come to their senses and try to run the ball instead of putting the game in the hands of whichever bad quarterback they are going to start this week.