The Cruncher List for Week 10: FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice & Picks | Game-By-Game Analysis

The Cruncher List | Week 10 FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Week 10 Line-up

If you are new to the Cruncher List – thank you for reading our game by game breakdown of the Main Slate of action for the season’s first Main Slate! If you are returning, you know the drill.

I will be breaking down each of the upcoming NFL games, providing my thoughts on who makes for good cash game plays on FanDuel and DraftKings.

I will note good picks for the week, and the options I feel are the best of the best… the guys who make The Cruncher List.  

I will be updating this piece throughout the week – so please check back for updates as they become available!

Baltimore Ravens (-10) @ Cincinnati Bengals, Total: 44.5

Baltimore – Projected total: 27.25

The Ravens check in this week as large road favourites, going up against the winless Bengals – who have struggled all season in all phases of the game.  Largely due to game-flow, the Bengals rank 30th in the league at defending opposing RB’s, ranking 30th in the league – putting RB Mark Ingram in a prime spot for success this week.  There is some risk here that his production could be tempered due to RB Gus Edwards getting touches, particularly if the game gets out of hand, which is enough to keep him off of The Cruncher List for me in this one.  Edwards was oddly in the backfield for 4 series when the Ravens were inside the 10 yard line a week ago, giving him some contrarian appeal as a flier with upside.

QB Lamar Jackson is an elite option – the only thing that is a bit of a headwind to rostering him is his price point.  He missed Thursday’s practice with an illness, but I would fully expect him to suit up this week.  Due to his salary, he misses the Cruncher List – but fully expect him to be one of the top point scorers at the position this week.

As for the receiving game, I don’t have interest in any of the 3 TE’s seeing significant snaps right now.  WR Marquise Brown will bust out – and I think you’ll want exposure to him if you are mass multi-entering as he has the ability to break a slate if Jackson connects with him multiple times.  With that said, the floor is low with him, so I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure.

The Ravens DST is my favourite play on the board this week – the only question you will have to ask yourself is if rostering them is too restrictive on your over-all build.  Dollar for dollar, they are my second favourite option on the slate, but make The Cruncher List against Ryan Finley, making his first NFL start.

The Cruncher List

  • Ravens DST

Good Plays

  • QB Lamar Jackson
  • RB Mark Ingram
  • WR Marquise Brown

Cincinnati Bengals – Projected total: 17.25

The Bengals are an easy pass for me this week with a rookie QB making his first start, given how dismal the offence has looked for this entire season.  I could type more, but by doing so – I’d just be wasting your time and no one wants that.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns (-2), Projected total: 40

Buffalo Bills – Projected Total: 19 points

The Bills are road dogs this week, travelling to Cleveland to take on the Browns in what seems to me to be a puzzling line.  I expect this game to be played at a slow pace, and to be rather uneventful from a fantasy standpoint, but there are a couple of options worth considering.

RB Devin Singletary played the vast majority of the snaps in the Bills Week 9 win, and seems to have distanced himself from RB Frank Gore in the pecking order for RB touches for the Bills.  I expect this trend to continue this week – and at his price point, I think Singletary is an excellent play this week with a high floor and ceiling.  He’s on The Cruncher List as an elite mid-priced RB option for Week 10.

I’ll be off of the Bills passing game in this one.  QB Josh Allen has appeal if you think he will scramble often in this one – but I don’t envision him lighting it up through the air.  At his price point, I prefer other options on the board this week.  WR John Brown would be the target that you would want to roster if you do like Allen more than I do this week.

The Bills DST are my favourite dollar for dollar option on DK this week.  Priced at only $2,900 – I like their chances at forcing a couple turnovers from turnover prone QB Baker Mayfield.  I don’t like their relative price on FD as much – but they are in play and worth exposure for MME this week in my opinion on FD.  They have been a middle of the pack fantasy defence – but are due to force a turnover for a TD sooner or later.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Devin Singletary
  • Bills DST (DK)

Good Plays

  • Bills DST (FD)

Cleveland Browns – Projected Total: 21 points

The passing game for the Browns is an easy fade for me going up against an elite Bills secondary.  The price point may look appealing on the likes of Odell Beckham Jr., but I don’t have any interest in him going up against CB T.White given how poor the passing attack has looked for Cleveland the entire season.

RB Nick Chubb is worth consideration.  He has been known to post some monster games, and has proved he is able to do that even in match-ups that aren’t cupcake draws.  With that said, I think a lot of the noise about the Bills run defence has been overblown.  They rank 17th in the league in terms of fantasy points allowed against RB’s in full PPR, and they generally do a good job at preventing teams from putting points on the board for big scores.  There’s a bit of a risk to fading him, but I have no problem making a call to do so – I prefer other options on the board.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Atlanta @ New Orleans (-13), Projected Total: 51

Atlanta, Projected Total: 19

The Falcons are big road under-dogs this week as they travel to New Orleans to play in a tough environment.  There’s intrigue here with the full PPR scoring for the passing attack for Atlanta, but rather than make recommendations before we know the status of QB Matt Ryan, I will leave this one as a wait and see and will update when more news is available with respect to his status.

Edit: With Matt Ryan looking like he will start, I have some interest in the Falcons passing attack this week.  There is risk here – which shouldn’t come as a surprise given the projected total for the Falcons – but in a game script that should require the Falcons to turn to the air in order to try and keep pace, we could see Ryan along with WR Julio Jones and WR Calvin Ridley be relevant for large-scale GPP’s.  I wouldn’t classify any of them as elite options, but they are worth getting exposure to this week for MME GPP’s in my opinion.

The ground game is an easy fade here.  RB Devonta Freeman could be fired up as a contrarian play if you think he catches a ton of dump-offs as the Falcons pass, playing from behind…but I prefer other options on the board.

The Cruncher List

  • TBD

Good Plays

  • QB Matt Ryan
  • WR Julio Jones
  • WR Calvin Ridley

New Orleans, Projected Total: 32

The Saints check in with the highest projected total this week as they host the Falcons – which shouldn’t be surprising given how poor the Falcons have been defensively this season.

QB Drew Brees looked great in his return from injury before the bye.  Granted, he was going up against the Bucs – but I would expect more of the same from him this week.  He’s an elite option, as is WR Michael Thomas, who continues to be the most consistent fantasy WR in the game.  Both are high floor, high ceiling options this week that should be very popular.  WR Tedd Ginn is worth a little bit of exposure for MME formats, but his floor is very low and I would only use him in a stack (NO/Game).

As for the RB’s, everything lines up for RB Alvin Kamara to put up a monster week in this match-up.  I do have concerns that given the expected lack of competitiveness of this game that his touches may be limited, which is enough to keep him off The Cruncher List, though I do so full-well knowing this has the potential to blow-up in my face.  I do prefer some other high spends though in the interest of full disclosure.  RB Latavius Murray should see a fair amount of work in this one, and could be a great contrarian option that you could go over-weight on with respect to MME exposure without investing many of your line-ups in him from an absolute standpoint.  I’d sprinkle him in as there are paths to him smashing value in various scenarios – but it’s a contrarian approach.

The Saints defence is solid this week and would get an upgrade if Ryan is ruled out.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Drew Brees
  • WR Michael Thomas

Good Plays

  • RB Alvin Kamara
  • RB Latavius Murray (contrarian)
  • Saints DST

Detroit @ Chicago (-2), Projected Total: 41.5

Detroit, Projected Total: 19.75 points

The Lions passing attack has been outstanding of late – but they are in tough this week against the Bears defence, who have held opposing QB’s to the 7th fewest fantasy points per game on the season.  As such, I have no problem avoiding QB Matthew Stafford and WR Kenny Golladay this week.  I do like the idea for MME of getting minimal exposure to Marvin Jones, who has shown the ability over the years of thriving in tough match-ups.  I usually like taking a match-up agnostic approach to rostering him, knowing he can go off at any point, but also keeping exposure in check knowing he is prime for many weeks with minimal production.

The Bears have been vulnerable against opposing RB’s this season, particularly through the air, where they have allowed 54 receptions for 405 yards.  This could make you want to roster the likes of Ty Johnson, but I won’t be in that camp.  I prefer other options on the board.

The Bears have allowed the 4th most fantasy points to opposing TE’s, making T.J. Hockenson intriguing.  He makes The Cruncher List in this one at his price point and should have modest ownership at best.

The Cruncher List

  • TE T.J. Hockenson

Good Plays

  • None

Chicago Bears, Projected Total: 21.75 points

The Bears have one offensive player I have interest in – RB David Montgomery.  He has seen a heavy workload in back to back weeks, and has a match-up against a Lions front-seven that has allowed the most points to opposing RB’s on the season by 1.6 points.  Look for Matt Nagy to continue to involve the rookie heavily in the game-plan, and at his price point – he’s an excellent play this week.

Aside from that, the rest of the Bears offence is an easy spot for me to avoid.

The Cruncher List

  • RB David Montgomery

Good Plays

  • None

New York Giants (-3) @ New York Jets, Projected Total: 44.5

New York Giants, Projected Total: 23.75 points

The Giants are without TE Evan Engram this week, and with WR Sterling Shepard continuing to be sidelined in concussion protocol, expect QB Daniel Jones to look the way of WR Golden Tate plenty in this one.  Tate has been great since coming back from suspension for the Giants – and I think he has a big Week 10.  He has seen 42 targets in 5 games this season – and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him with double digit looks in this one.  Combine that with the fact that the Jets secondary has been brutal against the pass and there is plenty to like here.

RB Saquon Barkley is in a prime bounce back spot this week in this match-up as well.  The Jets have done a good job of limiting yardage on the ground (602 yards to opposing RB’s) – but they have allowed 8 TD’s.  I expect Barkley to find the end-zone and be significantly involved in the passing game, en route to a big day.  He makes The Cruncher List for Week 10.

I touched on Jones, and while I think he has a solid day – I would be surprised if he does enough to be a part of a large-field GPP winner this week.

The Giants DST is worth exposure against Sam Darnold and company, who looked dismal against the Dolphins in their Week 9 loss.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Saquon Barkley
  • WR Golden Tate

Good Plays

  • QB Daniel Jones
  • Giants DST

New York Jets, Projected Total: 20.75 points

Remember when Jets coach Adam Gase said he wanted to play with a fast-paced offence this year?  That just simply hasn’t been the case – and I don’t expect that trend to start anytime soon.  The Jets offence has looked dismal, and outside of WR Jamieson Crowder, who I consider a secondary option at WR this week on DK only – I have no interest in rostering them.

The Jets DST has appeal if you think they will be able to capitalize on the gunslinger approach of Daniel Jones, and while there is merit to that – after seeing them flop against another gunslinger in Ryan Fitzpatrick who has less talent around him than Darnold does, I have no problem not using the Jets DST in this match-up.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Jamieson Crowder (DK only)

Arizona @ Tampa Bay (-4), Total: 52

Arizona, Projected total: 24 points

This game will likely be the most stacked of the week – and for good reason.  Both teams can air it out, play at a quick pace, and have terrible defences.

Arizona has two players of interest to me, QB Kyler Murray and WR Christian Kirk.  Murray has shown promise in his rookie year, and while I’d like to see more TD’s through the air, it’s hard to ignore a player with his upside going up against a defence that has allowed the 2nd most PPG to opposing QB’s on DK this season.  He’s an elite option.

WR Christian Kirk is tied for 8th in the league in targets per game, and draws an incredible match-up.  He’s priced affordably on both sites, and I think he has a great ROI on each site this week against a horrible group of DB’s.

The Bucs have been tough on opposing RB’s this season – and I don’t plan on using RB David Johnson or RB Kenyan Drake in this very difficult match-up.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Kyler Murray
  • WR Christian Kirk

Good Plays

  • None

Tampa Bay, Projected Total: 28 points

To put it pretty simple – QB Jameis Winston, WR Mike Evans and WR Chris Godwin are all elite options in this game against an Arizona defence that has allowed the most fantasy points per game to QB’s and 9th most to WR’s.  I do prefer Godwin to Evans this week due to the fact that I think that CB Patrick Peterson (even with his poor form in 2019 so far) is a tougher match-up than Godwin will draw – but I wouldn’t be surprised if both of the WR’s had huge days.

TE O.J. Howard is in a prime spot this week against the league’s worst team against TE’s.  He has yet to see more than 5 targets in a game, which is a headwind to his ceiling, and enough to keep him off The Cruncher List for me.

RB Ronald Jones got a public vote of confidence from Bruce Arians this week, and should see an increased snap count in Week 10.  The Cards are in the middle of the pack against RB’s on the season, but I do expect them to trend down as the year goes along.  Jones at his price point is a great value play this week.  I think he will find the end-zone in this one, which would make him a great value at his price point.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Jameis Winston
  • RB Ronald Jones
  • WR Chris Godwin
  • WR Mike Evans

Good Plays

  • TE O.J. Howard

Kansas City (-6) @ Tennessee, Projected Total: 49.5

Kansas City, Projected Total: 27.75 points

The Chiefs should have QB Patrick Mahomes under center this week, and have one of the higher projected totals on the board.  RB Damien Williams saw the vast majority of the snaps in the backfield a week ago, and remains an affordable option at the position.  There is risk here as his usage has been very inconsistent over the course of the 2019 season – but I think he’ll be given a shot at being the lead dog from hereon out, as long as he produces.  He’s a high-risk, high-reward play, but one that I like for Week 10.

Mahomes, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are all secondary plays to me this week.  I think you’ll want minimal exposure to each of them for their ceilings in MME contests, but I wouldn’t go nuts here as the Titans are stout against the pass.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Damien Williams

Good Plays

  • QB Patrick Mahomes
  • WR Tyreek Hill
  • TE Travis Kelce

Tennessee, Projected Total: 21.75 points

The Titans check in as six point dogs at home, in a game that should be one of the highest scoring of the week.  There are three options here worth considering to me:

QB Ryan Tannehill is one of the best value plays on the board at QB this week.  The Chiefs will put points on the board, and there is a good chance the Titans are playing catch-up against the defence that has allowed the 11th most points to QB’s this season.  WR A.J. Brown is the only target of Tannehill’s that I like, and I love the upside to using him at his price this week.  With WR Corey Davis banged up and looking questionable at best to suit up, Brown should be able to play more snaps than he usually does, which is my only knock on the rookie WR.

RB Derrick Henry will have to produce in order for the Titans to have a successful home game.  The Chiefs have allowed the 2nd most points to opposing RB’s on the season, and I expect the Titans to make a point of running Henry early and often.  If they get up in this one, his ceiling is as high as any RB not named Christian McCaffrey for this week…but there is game flow risk here as his snaps may take a significant hit if they fall behind multiple scores.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Derrick Henry
  • WR A.J. Brown

Good Plays

  • QB Ryan Tannehill

Miami @ Indianapolis (-11), Projected Total: 44

Miami Dolphins, Projected Total: 16.5 points

The Dolphins are big road dogs this week with a low projected total.  RB Mark Walton is suspended for four games, forcing us to watch RB Kalen Ballage lead the way for the Dolphins backfield in Week 10-13.  He is dirt cheap, but I really don’t like his chances of doing much of anything in this one.  If you like him, he’s cheap – but I have no problem fading him this week, even at his price point.

TE Mike Gesicki hauled in 6 of 6 targets for 95 yards in Week 9’s win over the Jets.  The 2018 second round pick has a rare combination of speed and size, and is a tough cover in open space for linebackers and safeties.  I expect him to continue to be featured for Miami with the ACL tear to Preston Williams while the Dolphins find out if they have a core player at TE in Gesicki.  At his price point, he’s an outstanding punt with upside in a game where the Dolphins should be passing a lot.

WR Davante Parker at his price point is a great option as well.  He has scored in 4 of the past 5 weeks, and while I expect him to have heavy attention of the Colts secondary this week – it’s hard to argue his production along with what should be an increase in targets in Week 10.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Davante Parker
  • TE Mike Gesicki

Good Plays

  • None

Indianapolis, Projected Total: 27.5 points

QB Brian Hoyer was announced as the Week 10 starter for the Colts, who are hosting the 1-7 Dolphins, who have struggled to defend in all phases of the game.  He’s a viable option in this one – but I do prefer some other options on the board in his price range.  Look for Hoyer to turn to WR Zach Pascal, who is priced affordably and is an elite option at his price point to me.  The Dolphins will struggle to cover him in this one.  TE Eric Ebron and TE Jack Doyle have some appeal, but I don’t particularly love either of them this week as they both have seem limited usage over the course of the season.

RB Marlon Mack is an elite play.  He has historically dominated in game scripts like Vegas projects for this one, and I like his chances of having a great day against a poor front seven.  I do prefer him on FD to DK due to the scoring format and relative price, but that does create the opportunity to get him at lower ownership levels on DK, which has appeal.

The Colts DST is an elite option this week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Marlon Mack
  • WR Zach Pascal
  • Colts DST

Good Plays

  • QB Brian Hoyer
  • TE Eric Ebron

Carolina @ Green Bay (-5), Projected Total: 47 points

Carolina, Projected Total: 21 points

The Packers defence has been tough against the pass all season long – a trend I expect to continue this week.  I don’t expect Allen to be able to light up the scoreboad, leaving the likes of WR D.J. Moore and WR Curtis Samuel as secondary options this week in my books.

RB Christian McCaffrey continues to defy statistics with his production, and the only downside to rostering him would be the price point and limitations on what rostering him does for your overall roster.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Christian McCaffrey

Good Plays

  • WR D.J. Moore

Green Bay, Projected Total: 26 points

The Packers are projected for a high total this week, playing against a Panthers defence that has been rather poor this year at defending from a fantasy perspective.  They have allowed the 6th most DKPPG to RB’s and the 8th most DKPPG to WR’s on the season – putting RB Aaron Jones and WR Davante Adams in great spots this week.  If you are looking for a contrarian way to approach the Packers backfield and think that RB Jamaal Williams will continue to find the end-zone, he is an attractive pivot at a significantly cheaper price point than the aforementioned Jones.  I love the spot that both Jones and Adams are in.  Adams drew 11 targets last week and while his production was rather pedestrian, I think he has a great Week 10 in this match-up.

QB Aaron Rodgers is a viable play to stack with Jones and/or Adams.  His price point is a little expensive for me and I prefer others on the board price around the same – but I’d recommend some exposure for MME GPP’s in Week 10.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Aaron Jones
  • WR Davante Adams

Good Plays

  • QB Aaron Rodgers

Los Angeles Rams (-3) @ Pittsburgh, Projected Total: 44 points

Rams, Projected Total: 23.5 points

Pittsburgh’s defence has been very strong of late (more on that in the Steelers section).

The one weakness for the Steelers defence has been their defence of the slot, a place where WR Cooper Kupp excels.  I don’t expect his ownership levels to be too high this week – and he’s a sneaky option that should be lower owned than some of the other WR’s in his price point.  I think he has a very nice game – but I do worry about his ceiling going up against a Steelers defence that has been playing outstanding, which is enough to keep him off The Cruncher List for me.

Outside of Kupp, I don’t like this match-up at all for the Rams, and I think their offence will struggle a lot in this one.  WR Josh Reynolds has some appeal on DK at his price point as he should see almost every down usage in the Rams base 3 WR set without Brandin Cooks.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Cooper Kupp
  • WR Josh Reynolds (DK)

Pittsburgh, Projected Total: 20.5 points

The Steelers passing attack is a pretty easy fade for me in this one.  This game doesn’t project to see the scoreboard lit up, and QB Mason Rudolph has really struggled at connecting with his WR’s, unless the defence decides to send 8 while playing their DB’s 20-30 yards off the line.

RB Jaylen Samuels is a viable option with his use in the passing game on DK with the full point per reception.  RB Trey Edmunds wasn’t on the final injury report and got a practice in on Friday, which is enough to keep Samuels off of The Cruncher List for me this week.

I like the Steelers DST against QB Jared Goff, who struggles mightily to execute while under pressure.  Over the last five weeks, the Steelers defence has 23 sacks, has forced 15 turnovers, scored twice and has blocked a kick.  I think they’ll be a unit that many sharp players are on this week in this match-up.

The Cruncher List

  • Steelers DST

Good Plays

  • RB Jaylen Samuels (DK)

Best of luck in your Week 10 DFS action!  If you have any questions at all, please feel free to find me @bradsgotmoxy!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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