DraftKings MMA Mixed Martial Arts DFS Analysis Picks Plays Advice Strategy

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 157 – August 31, 2019


The UFC heads to China making for early morning action for DFS players out West. As happens when fights are scheduled in Asia, the card brings a lot of newcomers to the octagon. It can be a challenge to fill lineups with so many unknown Asian fighters competing. This does present opportunity, however, in the chance for these fighters to fight before home crowds and in regions where they have the advantage of time zone and fan base. Let’s examine three of these fighters that I like in DFS contests on Saturday.

SONG KENAN (DK $8,200) – Despite being a very slight underdog with the oddsmakers, Song Kenan fights in his home country on Saturday and brings both UFC experience and a winning record in the octagon with him. He carries the 6th best FPPF of all fighters on Saturday and will face Derrick Krantz who is 0-1 in the octagon. His salary is only a bit over $8K and is low enough to give Song decent value in this one.

Caveman’s advice: It is no secret that fighters do better in their home countries. Song is in a good place to score here at a moderate salary. Krantz has yet to prove himself a winner against UFC competition and will find it difficult to do half way around the world before a hostile crowd. Give Song 30-40% exposure in DFS contests for his fight in his native China.

(At the time of this writing, Kenan Song is -108 with the oddsmakers and has a projected score of 57.40 on Fantasy Cruncher.)

HEILI ALATENG (DK $7,700) – Alateng is a very slight favorite in his home country on Saturday. He fights Danaa Batgerel of Mongolia who brings in a higher price tag while being the dog in this fight. These fighters have both been successful in regional competition. Batgerel has just one loss in seven professional fights and two first round finishes to his credit. Alateng is more experienced with a record of 12-7-1. He is 8-1-1 over his last ten fights with four early finishes over that span. This fight is favored to end before the final bell and looks to score an early conclusion bonus for the winner.

Caveman’s advice: Alateng is a favorite priced under $8K and is a great option for a below average salary. He is fighting in his home country and will be favored in a fight likely to score a conclusion bonus. Batgerel deserves some play too in multi-entry contests. Give Alateng 50-60% exposure in these contests based on his value price.

(At the time of this writing, Heili Alateng is -118 with the oddsmakers and has a projected score of 57.44 on Fantasy Cruncher.)

ZHANG WEILI (DK $7,500) – The Chinsese faithful have a true heroine in Zhang and the crowd on Saturday will be in full support of one of the UFC’s most exciting fighters. Her opponent, Jessica Andrade, is the champion and brings dangerous potential into the octagon and will not give up her belt easily. Zhang is on a tremendous streak of 19 straight victories with 16 early finishes, however, and is a legitmate threat to the champ. This is going to be a thrilling matchup. Zhang is priced as low as she will ever be on Saturday in China.

Caveman’s advice: In her last fight against Rose Namajunas, Andrade was being shown up by the former champ until Andrade was able to get a hold of Namajunas and slam her to the mat. Zhang will be much harder to get a hold of on Saturday. I like Zhang’s ability to strike and dictate the fight to Andrade. If she can avoid Andrade’s power she has a very good chance to win. She has the highest FPPF of any fighter on Saturday and has so much potential for a fighter at this price while fighting in her home country for the title. I would give her 50-60% exposure in multi-entry contests. If she can get the decision, she will score well over five rounds of championship action.

(At the time of this writing, Weili Zhang is +147 with the oddsmakers and has a projected score of 65.58 on Fantasy Cruncher.)

That’s all for this week. Good luck with your lineups!

About Rob

Since getting out of the casino business, Rob has been playing DFS regularly with a focus on MMA and NASCAR. He now lives in Denver, CO.

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