The Hitting Rundown: Featuring stacks to target for the FanDuel & DraftKings MLB DFS slate on July 7, 2019.
Number of Games: 11
Teams with high projected run totals (5.0 or above): TOR (6.0), BOS (6.3), ATL (5.7), WAS (5.6), HOU (5.9), CHC (6.0)
Games with weather concerns: None as of this writing
Twins vs. Jose Leclerc/Joe Palumbo (Projected total: TBD)
There are a ton of great teams to stack on this slate but the Twins stand out as my favorite of the group as they take on the Rangers. The Rangers are going to be starting Jose Leclerc as an opener with Joe Palumbo getting the majority of the work behind him. It is the match-up with Palumbo that really stands out to me as he has been god awful in his short career. Palumbo has only pitched six innings in his career but in those innings, he has allowed 11 runs on 12 hits with three home runs and three walks. Palumbo is allowing hitters to slash .429/.515/.893 with a .563 wOBA and a 37.5% hard-hit rate. The rest of the Rangers bullpen which the Twins should also see a lot of today is no better as they rank in the top six in team WHIP, team FIP and team HR/9 this season.
Yesterday’s Results: Early Slate Top Stack Nationals 6 runs, 12 hits, 2 walks, 1 home run
Blue Jays vs. Asher Wojciechowski (Projected total: 6.1)
The Blue Jays started the season off poorly but have been on fire recently. Over the past 30 days, the Blue Jays have the third highest team ISO and ninth highest team wRC+. The Blue Jays are not only hot but they are in a great match-up as they take on Asher Wojciechowski. Wojciechowski was allowed four runs in 5.1 innings in his first start of the season for the Orioles and for his career he has an ERA of 6.64, an HR/9 rate of 1.82 and a WHIP of 1.51. The Orioles bullpen also sets up well for the Blue Jays as they are the worst in the majors. This season they rank dead last in team FIP, team HR/9, and team WHIP. What I really love about the Blue Jays today are their salaries. While the Blue Jays have a couple of expensive guys they are very affordable on both sites.
Yesterday’s Results: Main Slate Top Stack Mets 6 runs, 12 hits, 1 walk, 0 home runs
Rays vs. James Paxton (Projected total: 3.9)
When I first looked at this slate I crossed the Rays off of my list of teams to stack. The Rays just struggle against left-handed pitching ranking 26th in team ISO and 21st in team wOBA against them. James Paxton the lefty they are facing is also really good and has started to regain his form since missing some time due to an injury. It was my second glance that put the Rays on my radar today as I saw Paxton’s numbers on the road this season. Paxton has really struggled on the road with an ERA of 5.12, an HR/9 rate of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.71. Hitters are slashing .320/.380/.523 with a .380 wOBA and a 39.8% hard-hit rate in his road starts. If those road struggles continue today the Rays could be in for a huge day at what is likely to be sub-five percent ownership.
Yesterday’s Results: N/A
Good luck today! If you have any questions, you can follow and send me questions on Twitter @zachsgotmoxy.