The Primer NBA DFS Fantasy Cruncher

The Primer – NBA DFS Expert Analysis – April 17, 2019

Featuring in-depth analysis to help you crack the winning code for the NBA DFS slate on April 17, 2019.

Pacers @ Celtics

Projected total: 203.0 with the Celtics 7.5 point home favorites

Celtics lead series 1-0

Pacers

The Pacers went into half time leading Boston but laid a dud in the third quarter only scoring eight points and ended up scoring 74 points which was the least in the playoffs so far. While I doubt the Pacers score just eight points in a quarter again this series does look like it is headed to be a low scoring series. With that being said on this three-game slate I am fine fading the Pacers completely as there is not a single player that stands out to me as an even solid play.

Primary players to target: None

Secondary players to target: None

Celtics

As I mentioned this should be a low scoring series and while I am fine passing over the Pacers tonight I like some of the Boston players. With Marcus Smart out Boston is going to use what is basically a seven-man rotation with Terry Rozier being the eighth man off the bench but not playing many minutes. Kyrie Irving who did not have the best game one is obviously your top choice on Boston but I also love Gordon Hayward and Marcus Morris. Hayward has been cooking for the past month or so and Morris even though he is coming off the bench is going to play more minutes than Arron Baynes and had a huge game one with 20 points and seven rebounds.

Primary players to target: Kyrie Irving, Marcus Morris, Gordon Hayward

Secondary players to target: Jayson Tatum, Al Horford

Pistons @ Bucks

Projected total: 212.0 with the Bucks 15 point home favorites

Bucks lead series 1-0

Pistons

The Pistons are without Blake Griffin in this series and have no chance to keep up with the Bucks as they showed in game one as they trailed by as many as 43 points and were down from start to finish. Andre Drummond is the only player that really interests me on the Pistons as he is a double-double lock but he is just a secondary option as I don’t see him playing much in what should be another Bucks blowout victory. Luke Kennard is also likely to be popular on this slate after he had a big game one but rostering him tonight just seems like point chasing to me.

Primary players to target: None

Secondary players to target: Andre Drummond

Bucks

The Bucks are going to cruise through this series as they did in game one. The blowout victory lead to Pat Connaughton leading the team minutes-wise with 28 as no other player played over 25 minutes. While this game is likely to be closer than last game I still see it being a blowout with the Bucks limiting the minutes to their starters once again. While the likely limited minutes is bad for their players’ fantasy production Giannis Antetokounmpo is still the best player on this slate. Mr. ABC is going to be able to do whatever he wants all series long and in game one in just 23 minutes he had 24 points and 17 rebounds for 52.4 fantasy points.

Primary players to target: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Sterling Brown

Secondary players to target: Eric Bledsoe, Khris Middleton, Pat Connaughton

Jazz @ Rockets

Projected total: 212.5 with the Rockets 6.5 point home favorites

Rockets lead series 1-0

Jazz

Hard to take anything from game one as the Jazz were blowout losing by 32 points which I don’t think happens again this series. I am forgetting game one and acting like it never happened. Instead of focusing on that one game I am going to look at their regular season meetings against the Rockets. Looking at those games you will see that Jae Crowder grades out well in this series. Crowder was second on the Jazz in points per game against the Rockets in the regular season and second in rebounds per game as well. Another thing that stands out is how much Rudy Gobert struggled against the Rockets only averaging 24.3 minutes, 10.5 points, and 10 rebounds in their four regular season games.

Primary players to target: Donovan Mitchell, Jae Crowder

Secondary players to target: Derrick Favors, Rudy Gobert

Rockets

Rockets are an easy team to figure out as James Harden and Chris Paul are going to dominate the usage for them with all the other players chipping in when asked. Obviously, Harden is one of your top players on this slate but if I could only roster one between him and Giannis Antetokounmpo it would be Giannis.

Primary players to target: Chris Paul, James Harden, P.J. Tucker

Secondary players to target: Eric Gordon, Clint Capela

About Zach Qualtieri

Zach is an accomplished fantasy player who has had success in multiple sports across multiple platforms. Zach specializes in cash games where he can often be found playing $25 H2Hs but has also had a lot of success in GPPs as an 11-time winner of a large field GPP. When not talking about fantasy sports, Zach enjoys hanging out with his son. If you have any questions about fantasy or sports in general Zach can be found on Twitter @zachsgotmoxy.

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