The FC 3 – Daily NBA DFS Free Picks – March 15, 2019

Our experts share 3 free daily NBA plays for FanDuel & DraftKings DFS contests (March 15, 2019).

Willy Hernangomez (CHA) @ WAS

Cody Zeller‘s expected absence tonight will give Hernangomez another opportunity to play meaningful minutes on Friday night. In their last game (and when he started for Zeller on Monday night), he finished with a very mediocre 2-6-4-1-1 line in 24 minutes of action (9.4% usage) – but enough to still net him over a 5.0 ROI on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Still just $100-$200 over site minimum tonight, this game enters the fray as one of the best for DFS exposure given its total over 230 points and a mere 3 point spread for the home Wizards.

Additionally, WAS has allowed the 9th most FPPG to Cs in their last 7 games, checking in at over 57 FP in that span.

All in all, the likelihood of another 22-25 minute game at a rock bottom salary is worth considering as a punt on both sites.

LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS) vs NYK

Despite owning the lowest game total on the slate tonight, I still think it’s a worthwhile consideration to roll with Aldridge on either site.

We’ve talked about how the Spurs need to really unleash their franchise players in order to make the playoffs this year, and they’ve done exactly that with both Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan of late. To that point, Aldridge has now played 38 minutes in 3 straight games and holds a usage rate average of 29.8% in that time (scoring 47.8, 62, 42.9 FDP along the way).

Couple that with the fact that the Knicks are an absolute dream match-up for opposing PF (4th highest in FPPG allowed over their last 7) and you are getting an elite talent with elite minutes/usage role(s) in a great spot that will generate high percentage opportunities for DFS contributions across the board.

The only slight drawback is the potential for a lower overall total – but keep in mind he’s still been able to eclipse the 45 FDP plateau in games with under 220 points scored with regularity both this year and across his career.

Buddy Hield (SAC) @ PHI – FanDuel bargain

At $300 less on FanDuel than DraftKings tonight, Hield pops off the page to me as someone you really want to set your sights on for FD exposure.

We’ve been urging patience with Hield lately, as a couple poor games in a row (sub-30 FDP) resulted in a sharp price decrease ($8,200 down to $6,800 today) – but he showed exactly how dangerous of a player he can be with 48.3 FDP in 35 minutes of 29.8% usage rate ball just last night.

This game features one of the highest game totals and projected paces on the slate, and the +9 nature of SAC’s underdog situation will result in plenty of shots once again from the breakout guard to go along with his mid-30s minutes and high-20s usage rate role.

Look for another 20+ FGA and high ROI potential tonight in what should be a very high-scoring affair.


About Jared Kwart

Jared is an expert fantasy sports player for both DFS and season-long formats. Specializing in DFS Baseball, Football & Basketball, with tens of thousands of dollars in career DFS earnings. Active player on FanDuel, DraftKings & FantasyDraft. Annual NFBC high stakes league participant.

Check Also

The Primer NBA DFS Fantasy Cruncher

The Primer – NBA DFS Expert Analysis – April 23, 2019

Featuring in-depth analysis to help you crack the winning code for the NBA DFS slate …