The Starting 5: Expert Fantasy Football Lineup Picks to Build a Winning NFL DFS Roster on FanDuel for Week 6 of the 2018-2019 Season.
In this post, we highlight 5 key plays (one at each position) that we recommend for the given week of the 2018-2019 NFL DFS season.
QB – Andy Dalton, CIN vs PIT, $7,500
After a couple weeks that paying up for QB seemed like an absolute must, I’m not entirely sure that’s the case for week 6. We have quite a bit of value available to consider this week, even though that is not to say that paying up is an awful strategy (with the likes of Deshaun Watson, Cam Newton, Big Ben, and so on in good spots). That said, I’m having a hard time avoiding Dalton for only $7,500. His game with the Steelers is currently projected for 53 points – one of the highest on the main slate. In 3 of his last 4 starts, he’s been in tough against some good teams and needed to throw the ball over 41 times. In those games, he scored between 18 and 27 FanDuel points with at least 265 yards and multiple TDs (9 total). If I project out how I expect this to go, a 300+ yard, 2-3 TD day is within scope. You’ll take that all day long for this price – so go ahead and get him active (despite how chalky I expect him to be).
RB – Todd Gurley, LA @ DEN, $9,500
There are only 5 RBs on the main slate over the $8,000 mark – and the one I have the most confidence in from a DFS perspective is Gurley. Even though he’s nearly $10,000 to roster. With Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp both questionable, this could be a week that he sees 25-30 touches for the Rams. Even at lofty price points of $9,100 and $9,300 earlier this year, he has still outproduced his value target with 22+ FDP in each of his first 5 games of 2018. He plays nearly 100% of snaps (a thing of beauty and rarity in today’s NFL), and faces a Denver club that has allowed 28.3 FDP to opposing RBs in the last 4 weeks (153 rush yards, 1.25 rushing TDs and another 26.5 through the air). The ground is where I expect we’ll see him do the majority of his damage here (and big damage at that) – so pay up in your RB1 slot and move on.
WR – A.J. Green, CIN vs PIT, $8,800
If you’re rolling with Dalton, the right thing to do is make Green a priority for your WR1 slot, too. Particularly in cash games where this strategy is going to be not only popular, but a pretty high floor combo. The Steelers have allowed the most receiving yards to opposing WRs in 2018 the last 4 weeks, averaging 230 per game and 1.75 TDs in that span. While Tyler Boyd could have a nice role for CIN (and makes for a nice pivot off Green in GPPs if you want to go contrarian), I expect Green to see 10+ targets and has a high percentage chance of hitting the 100+ yard mark for the second straight week in a game that lines up nicely to be a shootout you want exposure to in week 6.
TE – Austin Hooper, ATL vs TB, $5,600
I like going after more value-focused TEs when I can find one in a good spot, and as much as I do like Tyler Kroft or even C.J. Uzomah for a deeper CIN stack – Hooper is in a game that is ripe for exposure as well. Last week he exploded for 12 targets and 9 receptions for 77 yards against the Steelers ($5,000 price tag) – and the Bucs are ranking dead last in production to opposing TEs over their last 3 games (and by last I mean best for DFS exposure) with 118.7 yards allowed and just shy of 1 TD per game on average. It could be a day that Julio Jones explodes as he should have in week 5 – but you’ll want some shares of ATL at worst and this is a nice value-focused way to do so. He should see at least a handful of receptions and has a very good shot at scoring considering his very solid role in the red zone for the Falcons YTD.
DEF/ST – Houston Texans vs BUF, $4,700
I am more than happy to go back to the “play the defense against the Bills” strategy in week 6. It may not have been the “perfect” way to go last week, but with the Titans finishing with only 13 points allowed, 1 sack and 1 INT against Josh Allen and the Bills – you’ll still be happy with a solid 7 points from your DEF/ST in what can be a pretty tough position to handicap in DFS. Houston does a really nice job getting pressure on opposing QBs and has multiple sacks in 3 straight games with 2 TOs in back-to-back weeks. I see high single digit points as a nice floor, and with Allen’s propensity to turn the ball over, 3+ sacks, 2+ TOs and maybe a DEF/ST TD is in scope for a talented defense on home turf this week.