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February 12, 2018 – FanDuel NBA DFS Expert Lineup Picks – The Starting 5

FanDuel Expert NBA DFS Cash Game & GPP Lineup Picks for the Monday, February 12, 2018 main slate.

Daily fantasy basketball lineup advice, picks and plays (2/12) to help you win your NBA DFS contests.

Let’s take a closer look at some FanDuel plays for tonight’s contests with our “Starting 5” picks for the day’s main slate.

For those of you new to Fantasy Cruncher Insights or new to this column, welcome. And for those of you who have been reading with us over the last few years, welcome back!

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In this column, we give you a play to consider at each position and then our Sixth Man, who is a key play we believe you should spend up for on the slate.

Note that on a busy Sunday in the NBA with the slates pretty weirdly split into 2 – I decided to write up a Starting 5 column for you all. We typically don’t do this on days with a 4 game main slate, but we hope you enjoy this article as you sweat out the games tonight!

PG – Rajon Rondo, NOP, $5,500

It will be awfully difficult to fade Rondo on tonight’s slate, considering his FanDuel price is still way lower than it should be as he’s coming off a 55 FDP game vs the Nets. Not only is the last game one to keep in mind, but a 33.6 and 28.8 FDP run his previous 2 are excellent baselines as well. The Pistons are a solid team but not one that you should fear on the defensive end for guards, and it’s clear that he’ll continue to feed Anthony Davis as much as possible on the offensive side of the ball. He’s going to play 30+ minutes here and has a shot at a 20%+ usage rate as he’s flashed in 2 of his last 3, too. As a PG2 in cash games and a high upside guy in GPPs, he’ll be popular but a very solid play on tonight’s docket.

SG – Lou Williams, LAC, $6,800

I recognize his price has dropped quite a bit over his last couple games (from $8,400 on Feb 5 down to $6,800 today) – which is a big reason that I want to recommend him for exposure tonight. He continues to play 30+ minutes off the bench for the Clippers and does so with an elite usage rate (38% in his last game and 28% or higher in each of his last 8). At this price, given that he’s going to give you 30+ FDP with a high degree of certainty, there’s not much to argue against him here. He should be at least $7,500 in my opinion, and in a high total game against the Nets who allow plenty of production to opposing guards, there’s an elite ceiling you’ll want to take advantage of in all formats.

SF – Michael Beasley, NYK, $6,500

Beasley should probably the first guy you pencil into your lineup on Monday night. With Kristaps Porzingis out of the lineup for the Knicks, Beasley takes the wheel and is the key offensive driver for New York. If playing him, you’ll probably want to avoid Tim Hardaway Jr and Enes Kanter (both have strong negative correlations with Beasley on the whole), but it’s hard to argue a 30 minute outlook and a mid to high-20s usage rate (36+ FDP in back-to-back games for him). He’ll be productive yet again and is far too cheap on FanDuel right now (just at his DraftKings price as some evidence). There’s an elite floor/ceiling combo here.

PF – Quincy Acy, BKN, $3,900

Acy has quietly been one of the better DFS values of late as a sub-$4,000 name who has been a darn good performer for the Nets the last week and a bit. He’s missed some time, but when healthy since late January, has hit the 15-23 FDP mark in each of his last 7 outings. The minutes are up nicely as well, all the way to 39 in his last game against the Pelicans (a bit of an aberration), but into the low to mid-20s with regularity prior to that. He’s beat value in 5 straight for the Nets, and should see 22-25 minutes with a low-teens usage rate here. At the price, he’ll chip in with 17-20 fantasy points and be a fine cash game punt. Fade in GPPs.

C – Robin Lopez, CHI, $4,500

I want to give you a historical match-up asset in his spot (vs ORL) to complement our Sixth Man. While Drummond (below) is a guy that I want plenty of exposure to on the slate in all formats, Lopez makes for a very sneaky lower-own value to consider as well. He regularly sees minutes in the high-20s for the Bulls, and has scored at least 25 FDP against the Magic in each of his last 4 games in the match-up while playing nearly 30 minutes a night in the process (20%+ usage rate average in his last 3 for the split). He won’t blow the doors down and drop 40+ very often, but look for quality minutes out of the Bulls’ big as his price is down to a great spot and the opportunities continue to be there for production. He makes for a very sneaky GPP option and cash game value if your spend strategy supports it.

The Sixth Man

C – Andre Drummond, DET, $10,800

Drummond’s price keeps on rising, but the production follows suit. He has now scored at least 45 FDP (on the low end) in 7 straight games for the Pistons, reaching as high as 72.9 in that span an eclipsing the 52 point mark in 5 of those outings. The Pelicans make for an interesting match-up for Drummond here, as DeMarcus Cousins being out of the lineup will demand Davis to guard both Drummond and Blake Griffin at times (and he’s far better-suited to go up against a guy like Blake than Andre). Not only should that mean plenty of bench attention for Drummond to face in the post on the Pelicans, but a ton of minutes and rebounding opportunities against low-quality defensive and offensive opponents. Look for a fairly vintage 20+ (real) points, 17-22 rebound, 2-3 assist, 2-4 block, 1-3 steal kind of night from one of the game’s most dominant bigs. He’ll be an asset no matter where you deploy him contest-wise with an elite consistency level and ceiling to back it up for GPPs.

About Jared Kwart

Jared is an expert fantasy sports player for both DFS and season-long formats. Specializing in DFS Baseball, Football & Basketball, with tens of thousands of dollars in career DFS earnings. Active player on FanDuel, DraftKings & FantasyDraft. Annual NFBC high stakes league participant.

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