DraftKings and FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Targets & Picks – 2017 US Open
We have the second major of the year taking place this week as the best in the world head to Erin Hills to take on the behemoth of a course that should be playing just under 7,700 yards. The fairways here are wide – but if they are missed, disaster looms with the long fescue waiting to wreak havoc with the field. Distance will be important, but ability to hit quality shots from 150-100 yards for make-able scoring chances will be paramount this week.
The picks will be focused on some of my top plays for each price level, quickly noting their DraftKings and FanDuel prices – and rationale for why I like the play.
Rory McIlroy ($11,200 DK; $10,300 FD)
I am hoping that McIlroy will have lower ownership than some of the other big names this week, given the fact that he has really hasn’t challenged for a title this year. Sure, he has had a number of T10 finishes, but fresh off of a 35th place finish at The Players, I believe that Rory will be at lower ownership levels than any of the other elite spends this week. The course is a perfect fit for him, and it is only a matter of time before he finds his way into a final pairing on Sunday. I would not be shocked to see that happen this week.
Brooks Koepka ($9,000 DK; $8,400 FD)
Koepka’s game fits this course to a tee, and while I wouldn’t expect low ownership levels on him, it would not shock me to see him lower owned than I feel he should be. He hits the ball a mile, is a great putter – and it is only a matter of time in my opinion before he competes for a major title. He has finished in the top 25 in each of the last seven majors, and I think he puts it all together for a major run this weekend. It is rare to see a bomber like him putting as well as he has been this year. He ranks 21st on the tour in putting average.
Kevin Kisner ($7,500 DK; $8,100 FD)
Kisner is an accurate golfer that has 3 top 10 finishes, including a win in his last 7 starts. He has had a great season in 2017, and I am a big fan of his at his price-point. He usually flies under the radar in marquee events with respect to ownership levels, and while I wouldn’t expect him to be extremely low owned, I do like his chances of being around 10% ownership levels this week. It would not shock me to see him in contention come Sunday with his accurate, consistent game.
Lee Westwood ($6,800 DK; $6,800 FD)
Westwood burned me a year ago, blowing up in round 4 and costing me my dreams of winning the Milly – but I do like what he brings to the table at majors at this price point. He has back to back finishes in the teens, and I like his chances of being around when the weekend rolls around at Erin Hills. He’s a consistent player, and never seems to be highly owned, which is attractive given the top heavy formats for GPP’s this weekend.
Byeong-Hun An ($6,800 DK; $6,800 FD)
Byeong-Hun An shouldn’t be too highly owned this week – and I like him a lot as an under the radar play that should have single digit ownership levels. He finished T23 a year ago at the US Open, has done a great job of making it to the weekend – and has two top 10 finishes in his last 4 tournaments. He is one of my favourite value plays this week, especially when you factor in that he shouldn’t be highly owned, which creates a nice game theory narrative.
Below are good plays, but ones that I expect to be fairly popular. Unlike any chalk picks mentioned above, I will not be going over-weight with exposure here. That said, there is risk to going with zero shares of any of those listed below:
- Dustin Johnson
- Adam Scott
- Thomas Pieters
- Shane Lowry
- Martin Kaymer
Good luck this week!