DraftKings PGA DFS Cash Game Lineup Targets & Picks – 2016 Deutsche Bank Championship
The 2nd week of the Playoffs takes everyone to Boston where the top 100 (99, looks like Danny Willett will not play) will try to be one of the final 70 to make the BMW Championship next week. A couple of odd things: First, this event starts on Friday, and will end on Labor Day Monday. Second, this is the final event this season with a cut, and it’s still top 70 and ties.
Which has me leaning to cutting back on cash game plays a little bit. Unless a major chalk play misses the cut, I don’t think 5 of 6 will cash. With 70-75% making the cut, one missed cut will probably ruin your team. TPC Boston is a Par 71 with 3 par 5s, including the only par 5 on the back 9 being at 18. Could lead to some dramatic finishes. Plus 3 was the cut last year and Rickie Fowler won at -15. Here are my cash game picks this week.
Jason Day (12,500)
Early on this season, we saw the hot streak of Adam Scott. Then, this summer, we saw the hot streak of Dustin Johnson. Prior to last week, we saw the hot streak of Henrik Stenson. Yet, Jason Day is still #1 in the world and has probably flown a bit under the radar. He’s only missed one cut all year, 9 top 10s, a win at the Players, and his worst finish in the game log is a 27th. By the way, he’s 8/8 in making the cut, including 6 top 20s, 3 of which were top 10 finishes.
If you watched last Sunday, you saw why he leads the tour in strokes gained putting, making an incredible 70 foot putt that had to break at least 4 or 5 feet. He also ranks 11th in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, 3rd in Birdie Average, and 1st in Total Strokes Gained. There is plenty of value to choose from that you can easily fit Day into your lineups this week.
Top Middle Tier
Sergio Garcia (9,500)
Sergio is coming off a quiet 7th at the Rio Olympics, shooting 7 under par. It was a nice bounce back for him after missing only his second cut of the year at the PGA Championship. Of the 14 made cuts, he has an incredible 8 top 10 finishes. At the Deutsche Bank, he has made all 5 cuts in his 5 appearances, including 2 top 5 finishes.
Sergio is great off the tee, ranking 14th in Strokes Gained Off the Tee, 12th in Strokes Gained Tee to Green, and 16th in Total Strokes Gained. We saw Adam Scott produce nicely from this same price point last week, and Sergio should be able to do the same. His consistency to perform well (win is another story) makes him an ideal cash game play.
Emiliano Grillo (9,000)
For some reason, I’ve been very slow to play him in my games; however, his recent form is to hard to ignore. The PGA Tour rookie is 20/23 in making cuts, with 3 top 10’s (2 in the past 2 weeks) and started the season with a win back in October. Looking through the game logs, you see a lot of top 20 finishes, which has led him to be 6th in the current Playoff standings.
Grillo ranks 4th in Total Driving, 33rd in Greens in Regulation, and 54th in Total Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green. He hasn’t missed a cut since the Players Championship and is piquing at the right time of the season. This is probably a fair price for Grillo and makes him a great 2nd golfer in lineups this week.
Lower Middle Tier
Jason Dufner (7,800)
Dufner apparently has a thing for the number 22. He has finished 22nd 3 of the past 4 weeks in tournaments, and if he makes the cut this week, it will be his 22nd made cut this year in 25 starts. He has made his past 6 cuts at TPC Boston, with 4 top 20s, including 2 top 10s.
Dufner’s game is solid all around; 9th in Greens in Regulation, 18th in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, and 19th in Strokes Gained Approaching the Green. If he can get his putter to perform, he will probably be in contention to win. His last missed cut was at The Masters, and I don’t see a reason he will miss it this week. He’s a very solid cash game play at under 8k.
Brandt Snedeker (7,800)
9th in FedEx Cup Points, 23rd in the world, and he’s made 6 straight cuts, which includes 4 top 25 finishes, 2 of which were top 10s. Even in a field with lots of great golfers, why is Snedeker below 8k? He is 8 for 9 at the Deutsche Bank, including 3 straight top 10 finishes from 2010-2012.
Snedeker has positive strokes gained in all of the categories, including being 23rd in Total Strokes Gained. He is also 22nd in Birdie Average, so he can rack up some points quickly. He is my mispriced player of the week and should fit into all of your lineups.
Hudson Swafford (5,500)
How’s minimum salary for a cash game play? Swafford has made 11 cuts in a row (14th at the Canadian Open his best in that span) and not only has to make the cut, but post a decent finish to improve from 83rd in the playoff standings to make it to Crooked Stick for the BMW Championship.
Swafford is great off the tee, ranking 8th in Driving Distance and 3rd in Total Driving. He ranks 30th in Greens in Regulation and 33rd in Birdie Average. At this price point, you are simply looking for a made cut. Swafford has been able to do that and gives you very nice salary relief and a higher floor than we are used to seeing at this price range.