MLB DFS Picks: Daily Home Run Picks for FanDuel & DraftKings on July 3, 2022.
Every day this season, our team shares who we believe has the best chance to leave the yard. From one-off plays to core parts of daily stacks, we hope this fun article will help you build winning MLB DFS lineups along the way.
As always, FantasyCruncher has several daily articles from pitching to stacking, to home run picks, to general cheat sheets to help you build your daily lineups. And the best news, it is all free! This year for 2022, we are changing up the scoring for the home run calls to be weighted based on the player’s salary. If one of our writers chooses a player with a salary over $5,000 it will be worth 0.5 points. Between $4-$4.9k is 1 point, $3-$3.9k is 2 points, and anyone $2.9k or below is worth 3 points. In terms of salary, we are going off of DraftKings salary for this article. Again, the scoring system is just a fun and friendly competition between our MLB content writers.
James: Trevor Story ($4,600) – We get a rare slate without a real home run prevalent arm so now we get to be creative. Well, I am not I guess as I am sticking with Trevor Story, my same pick from yesterday. While Keegan Thompson hasn’t been bit by the home run ball he has allowed almost a 2:1 flyball to groundball ratio. Thompson also has struggled a bit more against right-handed hitting and six of the seven have been hit from that side. The Red Sox still lead the MLB in team average and the last time Thompson faced an AL East team he lasted just 0.2 of an inning.
Update – No Story today so I’ll pivot completely here to Christian Yelich. Jose Quintana was originally lined up to start here but with Thompson off the IL he makes one of our better stacking options against for power.
Zach: Ian Happ ($4,300) – Connor Seabold has pitched 7.2 innings in the majors in his career. In those innings, he has allowed four home runs with hitters having an average exit velocity of 92.8 miles per hour against him. Those are bad numbers and numbers that scream out that he is going to give up more home runs. Happ is just one of the Cubs players that I think goes deep against Seabold today as he has hit right-handed pitching well at home this season with an OPS of .888 and a wOBA of .386.
Jared: Rowdy Tellez ($4,100) – Tellez is on a hot streak right now with five home runs over his past six games. In those six games, Tellez has an ISO of .640 and is slugging .880. I believe that Tellz adds on to all of those numbers as he faces Zach Thompson who has allowed two home runs in three of his past four starts including in two straight games.
|James||22.5 (18 total home runs)|
|Zach||31.5 (20 total home runs)|
|Jared||22 (16 total home runs)|