DraftKings Tennis DFS – Wimbledon – July 2, 2022 (7/2/22)
We head to England for The Championships – or more as we know it – Wimbledon. This Major takes place on grass courts and runs from 6/27 through 7/10. Absent from this year are Russian and Belarus players as they are banned from competition. Novak Djokovic opens this tournament as the favorite to repeat as he won here last year – as well as in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2018, and 2019. Rounding out the top four favorites are Matteo Berrettini, Rafael Nadal, and Carlos Alcaraz. On the Women’s side, Iga Swiatek is the favorite here after her huge winning streak and French Open title. Rounding out the top is Ons Jabeur, Coco Gauff, and Simona Halep.
Cheat Sheet w/Notes
Simona Halep ($10,800) – Halep gets a soft matchup with Magda Frech. Frech upset Giorgi in her opener and then got an easy draw against Schmiedlova. Halep has won seven of her last eight and hasn’t dropped a set here at Wimbledon. These two met earlier this year albeit on hard courts with Halep winning in straight sets. She is the slate’s largest favorite at -1400.
Brandon Nakashima ($10,600) – This may seem like a very high price to pay for Nakashima, but he gets a great draw here in Daniel Galan after he got a walk-over with Bautista-Agut having to WD due to Covid. Nakashima has had some good matches on grass recently with wins over Tommy Paul, Sam Querrey, and most recently Dennis Shapovalov and is 7-2 overall on the surface. Both likely hold their serve well here, but Nakashima’s all-around game translates way better to this surface. Realistically, Galan shouldn’t be here – but it opened the door for Nakashima as a large favorite.
Iga Swiatek ($10,300) – Swiatek appeared human in her second-round match, dropping a set to Lesley Pattinama. However, the winning streak marches on to 37 now. I mean, she is going to lose eventually, and grass isn’t the surface she has looked most comfortable on, but Cornet is a variable racket. In Cornet’s defense, she has looked very good on grass this year and this is going to present Swiatek the biggest test so far in this tournament. I can’t pick against the winning streak, but I would be lying if I didn’t say that in my set of 20 lineups that at least one wasn’t going to contain Cornet. Still, we have to focus on the reality though where the best WTA player in the world right now wins in straight sets at a *slighty* discounted price to what we have seen recently.
Others to consider: Nadal
Katie Boulter ($8,900) – Boulter pulled a dramatic upset over Pliskova on Thursday – the second time defeating the 2021 Wimbledon runner-up in the last nine days. Her opponent and Harmony Tan has taken out a rusty Serena Williams and then upset Sorribes Tormo. Boulter presents a different game than Tormo and she is still backed by a home crowd. The power of Boulter should win out here as nothing is going to actually convince me that Harmony Tan transformed into a real threat out of nowhere. The surface edge also greatly favors Boulter here.
Elena Rybakina ($8,500) – Rybakina has yet to drop a set and played very well against Bianca Andreescu. Her opponent Qinwen Zheng has also not dropped a set but hasn’t faced any real challenges yet. These two play a similar style, but at this point in a Major I have to look towards the experience here.
Nick Kyrgios ($7,900) – Kyrgios against Tsitsipas in the third round of Wimbledon is about as big of a banger as we can ask for. For the first time I may have ever typed this, Kyrgios seems mentally locked in. Both men are having good grass seasons, and they met earlier this month with Kyrgios winning in three sets. Overall they have met four times with Kyrgios holding a 3-1 H2H edge. I have no issue in rostering Tsitsipas here at $7,000 – that value is also very good on this slate, but I think a mentally focused (for now) Kyrgios wins on the back of his serve. No matter the outcome, this one is a must-watch.
Others to consider: Gauff, Sock
Ajla Tomljanovic ($7,100) – The odds here paint this as a near coin flip, yet we get Tomljanovic at a $600 discount over Krejcikova. I had injury concerns on Krejcikova, but it looks like those shouldn’t factor here as she has won her first two matches in straight sets, though they were against Zanevska and Golubic. I still wonder if any lingering effects catch up the deeper we get here. Tomljanovic made her presence known with an upset of Jil Teichmann and all in all she has only lost nine total games so far this tournament. Tomljanovic made the quarterfinals here last year and think for the slight discount here we are getting good value.
Petra Martic ($5,800) – Pegula enters this as a -250 favorite and rightfully so as she is having one of the best years of her career. That being said, she still fares better on hard and clay surfaces as the grass Elo actually lines up with these two. While they have never met on grass, Martic holds a 4-1 H2H advantage, win their last two matchups, both on clay, and one being in 2021 and the other in 2019. When it comes to talking about live underdogs, Martic fits the bill here.
Others to consider: Badosa, Anisimova