Four Core MLB DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Contests on June 23, 2022.
In this article, we cover four core plays for FanDuel & DraftKings daily fantasy baseball contests. These players are the ones we are going to have strong GPP exposure to for the main slate.
Let’s jump right into today’s article.
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Greene struggled to start his career but has been much better as of late. In his past three starts, Greene has allowed just five runs for an ERA of 2.65. Greene has also struck out 21 hitters in his 17 innings for a 33.9% K rate. Numbers such as those normally suggest that Greene would be one of your top pitching options on a slate, especially on a small slate such as today’s but I only have him as a great GPP play today due to his match-up against the Dodgers. The Dodgers are one of the best hitting teams in the majors and this season against right-handed pitching have the second-highest team OPS and team wOBA.
People are going to see the match-up against Clayton Kershaw for the Reds today and automatically avoid their hitters. While I normally would understand avoiding Kershaw I don’t think you need to do that today as Kershaw has been an average pitcher since his return from the IL. Pham is the hitter than stands out the most for me from the Reds if you are going to target a hitter from their team as Pham has been excellent at home this season against left-handed pitching. In those situations, Pham has an ISO of .258 with a wOBA of .361.
Gonzalez is my pick to go deep today in the Home Run article that will come out a little bit later this morning. I am going to stick with Gonzalez in this article as his ownership levels don’t project to be too high. I have pasted what I wrote about Gonzalez in the Home Run article below as I don’t really have anything else to add on to him today.
After not allowing a home run in each of his first four starts of the season Devin Smeltzer has allowed multiple home runs in each of his past three starts. All seven of the home runs he has allowed during these three games have come against right-handed hitting and he is allowing righties to slug .783. While Jose Ramirez would be an easy pick on the Guardians to go deep today due to Smeltzer’s recent struggles I am going with the cheaper Gonzalez. Gonzalez has an extra-base hit in three straight games with home runs in two of those games. Gonzalez has also been really good on the road this season against left-handed pitching with an OPS of .985 and an ISO of .200.
Picking a top stack that is projected to be lower owned on this slate that I like today was actually really hard. The chalk teams are chalky for a reason on this small slate. With that said I am going with the Guardians here as I feel they should have higher ownership than they are projected for as they take on the struggling Devin Smeltzer. In his three starts in the month of June, Smeltzer has an ERA of 6.91 with a FIP three runs higher at 9.97 runs. Smeltzer as I talked about earlier in this article has struggled to keep the ball in the park during this time frame with seven home runs which works out to be an HR/9 rate of 4.40. The HR/9 rate happens to be the same rate as his K/9 rate and his BB/9 rate in those three starts which are not good at all. For those of you who also want to know how high Smeltzer’s WHIP has been during this stretch it sits at an ugly 1.67.