MLB DFS Picks: Daily Home Run Picks for FanDuel & DraftKings on June 22, 2022.
Every day this season, our team shares who we believe has the best chance to leave the yard. From one-off plays to core parts of daily stacks, we hope this fun article will help you build winning MLB DFS lineups along the way.
As always, FantasyCruncher has several daily articles from pitching to stacking, to home run picks, to general cheat sheets to help you build your daily lineups. And the best news, it is all free! This year for 2022, we are changing up the scoring for the home run calls to be weighted based on the player’s salary. If one of our writers chooses a player with a salary over $5,000 it will be worth 0.5 points. Between $4-$4.9k is 1 point, $3-$3.9k is 2 points, and anyone $2.9k or below is worth 3 points. In terms of salary, we are going off of DraftKings salary for this article. Again, the scoring system is just a fun and friendly competition between our MLB content writers.
James: Trey Mancini ($3,300) – Patrick Corbin day. This is just home run meta at this point. 35 of 37 homers allowed in 2021 to right-handed hitting. Eight of the 11 allowed this year also to righties. Righties are hitting .301 on the year and Corbin has allowed four homers over his last 9.1 innings. That also comes with 15 hits allowed. Corbin is simply not good. On the road he is somehow worse, allowing opposing hitters to bat .350. The 1.78 WHIP is just crazy for an MLB starter. Mancini hasn’t flashed the muscle so far this season, but we know it is there. There is some rain in the forecast in Baltimore on Wednesday. If this game gets rained out, my pivot play is Nolan Arenado again. Eric Lauer has been solid this year but has allowed six long balls over his last 11 innings.
Zach: Nolan Arenado ($5,100) – James has Arenado as his pivot play for when the Orioles game gets rained out. While Arenado might be a second choice for James he is my top choice as Eric Lauer really has been that bad in his past two starts. Lauer has not only allowed the six home runs in his past two starts but his Statcast numbers are also bad with an average launch angle of 13.7 degrees, a barrel rate of 15.8%, and a 47.4% hard-hit rate. Arenado despite what has been a down year for him is also still one of the best in the business against left-handed pitching and for his career he has an OPS of .984 with an ISO of .284 against left-handers.
Jared: Jack Suwinski ($2,200) – Yes, I am going to stick with Suwinski for the third consecutive day. The fact is he continues to produce for the Pirates and has another really solid matchup tonight against Keegan Thompson, who, in his last 5 starts, has a 4.87 SIERA, 44.3% fly ball rate and 16.6 degree average launch angle. Very homer-friendly. Plus, the likelihood of going more than 4 or 5 innings is quite low, which would help get the Pirates into a below-average CHC bullpen. Suwinski continues to crush RHP and despite not leaving the yard each of the last 2 days, has continued to put up DFS points (11 and 8 respectively). He has great power potential and is worth the roll of the dice yet again. If rain interferes here, I’ll pivot to Franmil Reyes at $2,900.
|James||18.5 (16 total home runs)|
|Zach||19 (14 total home runs)|
|Jared||20.5 (14 total home runs)|