MLB DFS DraftKings Tournament Monday Review on May 24, 2022.
In this article we’ll take a deeper dive into the lineup that took down the 100K to first Relay Throw on DraftKings.
Congratulations to “ghost49” as he turned his one entry (15$) into 100K last night! Let’s dive into his lineup and examine how he did it!
Monday May 24, 2022.
MLB $300K Relay Throw [100K to 1st]
I have to say if you are going to throw one entry into the DraftKings main GPP of the night this is the kind of lineup you should be entering purely from an ownership perspective. Rostering Gerrit Cole at 70% ownership or even the highest owned SP2 in Marco Gonzales at 34% last night is almost pointless when you’re competing against such a large field with one entry.
Just by leaving out Cole last night gave you the flexibility to stack up any team you wanted and still get different. In baseball DFS, volatility and randomness are at play more so than arguably and other DFS sport. Embracing this (and a little luck) is the way to give yourself a shot at your lineup reaching the top 1% of lineups, which at the end of the day is all you can ask for.
The 5 man Mets stack came through in a big way, as the Mets poured it on Alex Cobb and the Giants putting up 13 runs. Ghost rounded out the stack with the 2 man DiamondBacks stack against Zach Grienke. The DBacks were under-owned relative to their top stack probability as this is not the Grienke of old. Throw in 24 points from Whit Merrifield and he was able to squeeze out first place by two points. A common theme through these first handful of slates we’ve looked at has been the one offs rostered usually batting at the top of the order. It makes sense purely from a number of at-bats perspective. These players are averaging half an at bat more than players from the bottom portion of the lineup and can see 5-6 plate appearances in high scoring games. Just a quick thing I’ve noticed here in the early going.
Pitching as a whole on the slate centered around Gerrit Cole at 70% owned as referenced above. The Wheeler play was a good pivot in a similar price range off of Cole at less than half the ownership. The Triston McKenzie roster choice is a great example of finding that needle in the 20 pitcher haystack. Every night depending on the slate there are 20-25 pitchers we can roster. There’s always going to be that sub 5% pitcher that goes for 20+ points, most nights there will be multiple. You’re passing a large portion of the field when you’ve rostered this player and you don’t need the super low owned stack to go off like you would if you had rostered Cole.
Dig deeper at Pitcher. It’s not always going to payoff bypassing the highest owned ace or SP2 on the slate when they have a ceiling game. The key is when it does pay off though you will be rewarded much more when you get the lower owned pitcher “right” than getting a 70% owned pitcher “right” in your lineup.
Salary Used: $50,000
Pitcher Ownership: 25.9%
Lineup Construction | Place in the Batting Order
5 man: 3-4-5-7-9
2 man: 2-5
1 off: 1