MLB DFS Picks: Daily Home Run Picks for FanDuel & DraftKings on May 14, 2022.
Every day this season, our team shares who we believe has the best chance to leave the yard. From one-off plays to core parts of daily stacks, we hope this fun article will help you build winning lineups along the way.
Welcome back MLB DFS grinders to the 2022 season! As always, FantasyCruncher will have several daily articles from pitching to stacking, to home run picks, to general cheat sheets to help you build your daily lineups. And the best news, it is all free! This year for 2022, we are changing up the scoring for the home run calls to be weighted based on the player’s salary. If one of our writers chooses a player with a salary over $5,000 it will be worth 0.5 points. Between $4-$4.9k is 1 point, $3-$3.9k is 2 points, and anyone $2.9k or below is worth 3 points. In terms of salary, we are going off of DraftKings salary for this article. Again, the scoring system is just a fun and friendly competition between our MLB content writers.
James: CJ Cron ($5,100) – We were on Cron yesterday and while we didn’t get a home run, we did get three hits including a double. I see no need to change as he faces Carlos Hernandez tonight. While Hernandez has only allowed two homers on the year, he has allowed some hard-hit balls at a decent Barrel%, and numbers against right-handed hitters on the year are atrocious with allowing .420 batting average and .640 slugging. KC and COL had 24 runs last night and while I am not expecting that, we should have the highest total on the board.
Zach: Will Smith ($4,400) – Home runs are harder to come by this year not only in the majors but in this article. I don’t think any of the three of us who make picks in this article has gotten a home run in a week. That is going to change tonight however as I know my pick in Smith is going deep. I know this due to the fact Smith is hitting the ball really well right now. Smith has hits in four of his past five games with an average launch angle of 13.0 degrees in those games. I also know that Smith is going deep due to his match-up against Ranger Saurez. Saurez has allowed right-handed hitters to slash .309/.383/.489 with a .386 wOBA this season.
Jared: Rafael Devers ($5,700) – He’s a pricey play for me here today, but I’m really liking the way this one shapes up. To date, Glen Otto has allowed 11 ER in 12.0 IP against LHBs, with opposing lefties holding a .376 wOBA and .451 SLG against him. Meanwhile, Devers is really starting to turn a corner after a relatively slower start to his 2022 season. In the last week of action, he has a .375 ISO, .610 wOBA, 317 wRC+ and 23.1% barrel rate. Not to mention the batted ball stats (18.5 degree launch angle and 95.9 mph exit velocity). For a guy as talented as him who is starting to round into form against a sub-standard opponent, I’m all in.
|James||11.5 (10 total home runs)|
|Zach||10.5 (6 total home runs)|
|Jared||16 (9 total home runs)|