USFL DraftKings DFS – Core Plays and Cheat Sheet – Week 5 (5/13/22)
The USFL is back and with it comes some slight rule changes that you may not be used to with the NFL. You can check out our Introduction to the USFL article which will serve as a quick learning piece for the league in general.
Kyle Sloter ($10,800) – Vegas odds took the biggest hit this week with all four games having a total of 36.5 or below. This is becoming a “find the touchdown” kind of DFS sport. To put this all into perspective, the passing, rushing, and receiving leaders for yards are all New Orleans Breakers players. With that knowledge, you can likely bet that weekly Kyle Slotter is going to be our preferred play until he tells us he is not. Slotter has 1,071 passing yards on the year. The next closest is 627. So with roughly 70 yards per game passing more than the next closest guy, Sloter is the highest upside arm on the slate. Now, he doesn’t have the legs some other quarterbacks have but those guys are also falling into timeshares so I prefer the sure thing here. Sloter has 39 or more pass attempts in each of his last three games and had a whopping 397 yards passing last week.
Case Cookus ($8,000) – Cookus started for the injured Bryan Scott last week and filled in nicely with a 190 yards passing and two touchdowns while adding 35 yards rushing on the ground. Bryan Scott could return this week, but he is dealing with knee and ankle injuries so I would strongly believe that he will not. Cookus’ price here still falls on the lighter side of the QB ranks and while Philly is the largest underdog on the slate at +6, that should also keep the passing attempts up. We are battling inconsistency weekly here, but with Michigan, Birmingham, and New Jersey all in potential timeshares, I prefer to avoid those.
Jordan Ellis ($8,000) – While TJ Logan was the hot name out of New Orleans to start the year, an injury has ended his season and he has been released. That leaves Jordan Ellis and Larry Rose to share the backfield (and newly signed Anthony Jones). Ellis has seen the majority of the usage here with at least 18 carries in each of his first four games and an average of 86.8 yards per game. TJ Logan was a big part in the passing game to start the season and it was kind of a wait-and-see to see if Rose would take over that role with Ellis the primary ball-carrier. While that verdict is still out there a bit, Ellis out-targeted Rose last game 7 to 2. Ellis seems like the complete package right now in the league’s most efficient offense.
Reggie Corbin ($5,500) – Corbin had a massive week three against Pittsburgh when he took 20 carries for 133 yards and a touchdown. With Stevie Scott still in the picture I was a little hesitant on how to approach Corbin going into week four. Well, Scott saw eight carries in week four for just seven yards while Corbin took 13 for 154 yards and a touchdown including an 88-yard scamper. Corbin is averaging over eight yards per carry over the last two weeks and projects out to take over the lead in the backfield here with these performances. However, just note the one thing we have definitely found in this USFL season is that week-to-week success is not guaranteed so make sure to note the inactives before Friday.
Wide Receiver / Tight End
Victor Bolden Jr. ($10,200) – The stats at face value aren’t that great for Bolden with 23 receptions for 214 yards and no touchdowns. But that being said, while he has just 23 receptions on the year he does have 43 targets. Those 43 targets are a league-high by 12 over the next closest in Lance Lenoir at 31. So while Bolden hasn’t found the end zone, touchdowns are in general a bit of a random stat – especially in a league where teams are battling to just put 2 or 3 on the board a week. While the price is high, the targets are baked into it and I rather know the guy I rostered is being consistently looked at than hoping the carousel spins in my favor.
New Orleans WR/TE – I am taking the easy way out here but this one is too difficult to just give you one specific name. Johnnie Dixon has 18-208, Jonathan Adams has 13-213, Taywan Taylor has 12-169, and Sal Cannella has 18-215. That isn’t even including Shawn Poindexter who is actually the most expensive of this group. As mentioned, Kyle Sloter has over 1,000 yards passing and over 400 yards more than the next closest quarterback. The receptions, targets, and yards are all pretty even here, though tight end Sal Cannella has seen 19 targets over the last two weeks and has five or more receptions in three of his four games. I really do not think you can go wrong here, but telling you guy X,Y, or Z has any applicable data that gives him the edge here would be short-sighted on my part.
Tre Walker ($4,000) – In the first two weeks of the season Bailey Gaither was the hot name from Pittsburgh as he was targeted 16 times through two weeks and put up 159 yards. Gaither has now not played in back-to-back weeks being labeled with an “illness”. While I am not going to assume this is Covid, it seems like a pretty safe bet with his extended absence. The primary beneficiary of this has been Tre Walker who saw 17 (!) targets last week, catching nine for 110 yards. In his three games played, Walker has 30 targets and 17 receptions. Keep an eye on Gaither’s status, but Walker at this price is likely to be pretty popular regardless.
Cheat Sheet – Week 5
|High||Jordan Ta'amu (11k / 15.12)||BJ Emmons (9.4k / 6.99)||Victor Bolden Jr. (10.2k / 14.62)||Sal Cannella (5.3k / 9.58)||Stallions (5.1k / 6.39)|
|Kyle Sloter (10.8k / 21.62)||Jordan Ellis (8k / 14.99)||Isaiah Zuber (9.8k / 11.95)|
|Johnnie Dixon (8.1k / 12.67)|
|Medium||Garrett Groshek (7.2k / 9.36)||Devin Gray (7.5k / 9.82)|
|Mark Thompson (7.1k / 8.24)||KaVontae Turpin (7.1k / 11.54)|
|Low||Case Cookus (8k / 16.85)||Reggie Corbin (5.5k / 14.65)||Taywan Taylor (5.4k / 12.50)||Bug Howard (4.1k / 9.94)||Gamblers (3.9k / 9.54)|
|Clayton Thorson (7.8k / 13.74)||Paul Terry (4.9k / 12.37)||Tre Walker (4k / 12.54)||Panthers (3.8k / 7.11)|