USFL DraftKings DFS – Core Plays and Cheat Sheet – Week 4 (5/6/22)
The USFL is back and with it comes some slight rule changes that you may not be used to with the NFL. You can check out our Introduction to the USFL article which will serve as a quick learning piece for the league in general.
Kyle Sloter ($10,200) – I think we all knew that the USFL would be a little sloppy for DFS play weekly but through three weeks we have been riding a roller coaster of production, injuries, and time-shares. Kyle Sloter has been one of the more consistent arms over the last two weeks, with 86 total pass attempts and 113 total attempts on the year. His 113 attempts are 28 more than second place in Bryan Scott (who happens to be out for this week). While the attempts are great, you still need competition and that is a category that is lacking a bit with just 68 – but nevertheless, Sloter still leads the USFL in pass yards and 656. New Orleans carries the highest team total this week at 22.5 and face a Houston defense that has allowed 60 points combined over their last two games and the most passing yards in the league.
Case Cookus ($6,500) – If you are looking to save money this week at QB, Case Cookus is going to draw the start for the Philadelphia Stars as Bryan Scott is out with an injury. Cookus entered in the second quarter last week and completed 13-of-20 passes for 146 yards and a touchdown. The Michigan defense has been pretty strong to start the season, but the team as a whole is just 1-2. With no real offense for Michigan to talk about, the Stars should still hold a time of possession edge here.
Trey Williams ($7,400) – After three straight weeks of being $5,600 or less, DraftKings finally raised the price on Williams to a responsible level. Williams ran 19 times for 110 yards last week and also caught 4-of-5 targets for 44 yards. On the year Williams now has 198 yards rushing and 13 receptions on 14 targets. The Generals face 0-3 Pittsburgh this week and the Generals are favored by 10-points here, which is the largest spread so far in the USFL. The ground game should be on full attack here if this one follows the game script. The knock here is Williams isn’t being used in the red zone as those snaps look to be going to Darius Victor. Regardless, the pass-catching keeps this in play.
Paul Terry ($3,300) – The Stars are already going to be without their starting quarterback this week but they are also without their starting running back in Darnell Holand. Paul Terry saw most of the work last week for the Stars, though they did not run the ball a lot. What Terry did end up being was a consistent check-down option for Case Cookus as Terry ended up with eight catches on nine targets for 52 yards. At just $3,300 Terry has a pass-catching upside to end up as a top-5 running back on this slate pretty easily this week. Terry saw over an 85% usage last week from the running back position.
Wide Receiver / Tight End
Victor Bolden Jr. ($9,800) – If we are going off of pure volume then Victor Bolden is the top option at wideout weekly. Bolden may only have 154 yards on the year, but he has seen a league-leading 33 total targets through three games. I personally think that Bolden has a better connection with J’Mar Smith than Alex McGough, but we might not have enough data to draw that conclusion fully yet. Smith and McGough figure to split snaps against Tampa this week, but with the target numbers here it is just a matter of time before Bolden finds the end zone to really inflate his FPPG.
Lance Lenoir Jr. ($8,500) – I feel a little sorry for Lance Lenoir as his volume and stats are pretty good but he is stuck on arguably the worst passing attack in the USFL. On paper, Shea Patterson and Paxton Lynch would figure to be a top passing attack, but we just have not seen it yet. Lance Lenoir though has 27 targets through three games with just 14 of them turning into receptions. That being said, he ran a route on 98% of Michigan’s offensive plays last week and was also only one of three wide receivers to run a route at all. Lenoir holds a target share of near 40% in this offense and I am going to continue rolling with this play based on volume alone.
Johnnie Dixon ($7,300) – If we are considering Kyle Sloter this week then it makes sense to stack him with his best pass-catching option and while the Breakers are pretty deep at this position it has been Johnnie Dixon who has stood above everyone else. Dixon currently has seen 25 targets on the year and is first in receiving yards at 165. Dixon is also second in receptions at 16 and tied for first in touchdowns with three. As mentioned, Houston has allowed the most passing yards so far, so I am happy to fire up the Breakers’ passing game.
Cheat Sheet – Week 3
|High||Jordan Ta'amu (10.9k / 16.52)||BJ Emmons (9.4k / 10.62)||Victor Bolden Jr. (9.8k / 15.41)||Breakers (5.2k / 10.21)|
|Kyle Sloter (10.2k / 18.74)||Trey Williams (7.4k / 14.35)||Isaiah Zuber (9.6k / 12.05)||Generals (5k / 8.65)|
|Lance Lenoir Jr. (8.5k / 9.69)|
|Medium||Mark Thompson (6.2k / 13.64)||Shawn Poindexter (8.4k / 8.46)||Cary Angeline (6.3k / 8.44)|
|Johnnie Dixon (7.3k / 15.31)||Sal Cannella (5.3k / 8.35)|
|Low||Case Cookus (6.5k / 13.34)||Paul Terry (3.3k / 11.11)||Derrick Dillon (5k / 11.41)||Bug Howard (4k / 11.59)||Stars (3.9k / 5.63)|
|Jonathan Adams (4.3k / 5.69)|