Daily fantasy football cheat sheets, strategies & player picks for the Super Bowl LVI slate NFL DFS contests on FanDuel & DraftKings.
With Super Bowl tilt between the Rams and Bengals right around the corner, we’re diving into some of our top plays and strategies to consider for the single game slate.
The Rams are currently -4 favorites over the Bengals, with a game total of 48.5 points.
Before we get into our cheat sheets, let’s have a closer look at a handful of strategic and player-specific notes that are helping to guide our decision-making for the single game slate on Sunday.
Matthew Stafford is facing the 19th ranked Bengals defense against QBs this season, and he’s primed for yet another big game. He’s actually fairly affordable on both DraftKings and FanDuel this week – especially when you consider the premium that comes along with rostering Cooper Kupp. I have a hard time seeing Stafford not be in the winning lineups this weekend.
Joe Mixon has the potential to be considered a good matchup play this week, especially if QB Joe Burrow is under heavy pressure on an all-game basis and is forced to quickly dump the ball off to his RB. He’s a workhorse for the Bengals and will involved in the passing game even if game script starts to dictate more airborn action than on the ground. We see him as a pretty safe bet for around 20 touches here, and even though Perine was able to find paydirt last game, there’s a great floor/ceiling here for Mixon who we expect to have a very strong game.
Cam Akers has the potential to be a game-changer (especially on DK for his price point of $6,400), but could also be the guy that sinks success for those of us who go heavy with exposure. He’s had some ball security issues of late, and with Henderson inching back into the rotation – let’s not be surprised if he grabs a handful of touches as well. There’s still a very fair path to 15+ touches for Akers at a fantastic price point, which should make him popular. Let’s just not completely ignore the immense value at under $2,000 that Henderson brings to the table as a potential GPP pivot where he’s going to be very under-owned.
Fading Kupp is simply something we recommend doing at your own risk. Especially on FanDuel. He’s a top 3 MVP play and hard to not roster on FD altogether. There’s not much that we need to say about the veteran wide receiver. This season, he led the NFL in catches, yards and receptions. CIN ranks 17th against the WR position and gave up a couple huge games to big threat WRs this year. Moral of the story is that they are vulnerable in the passing game, and we could easily see Kupp accrue 12-15 touches overall here. The one drawback is his price point (which is hard to digest as a Captain on DK), but fading him could be leaving 30+ fantasy points on the table.
The only way that the Bengals really have a shot this week is to throw the ball. Sure, they’ll run it plenty with Joe Mixon early on (and they should, as establishing the run is critical). But in all likelihood, the Rams will find their way to an early lead and the pressure will revert to Joe Burrow in a hurry. If that is in fact the case, who better to turn our attention to than to highlight Ja’Marr Chase.
We generally don’t see Jalen Ramsey shadow a receiver end-to-end, but it’s been pretty apparent that he wants to do just that with Chase over the last couple of week’s worth of media insights and news drips from beat writers. We saw that Ramsey can be beaten at times, though if we assess his holistic body of work – there’s a major track record of success keeping opposing stud WRs at bay. I’d recommend making sure that you have solid exposure to Chase, but that you also pivot to Tee Higgins for a fair share of your lineups, too. It’s likely going to be optimal to have one and not both in your lineups, and even Tyler Boyd is set to see a decent share of targets with their TE situation being questionable right now.
Odell Beckham Jr. had his best game of the season a couple of weeks ago when they faced off with San Francisco. With his recent increase in production, he is quickly re-establishing his narrative as one of the most talented receivers and threats in the game today. The former Giants and Browns wide receiver caught 9 of the 11 passes that were tossed his way for 113 yards, and marks the third game in a row where he’s hit double figures in fantasy points. His target share has been very much on the rise of late, and Stafford’s been really prioritizing he and Kupp with better than 55% of his tosses last week going to one of these 2 receivers. He’s a very affordable Captain play this week and pretty easy to find room for in a Flex spot regardless – which is where I feel better about recommending him as Kupp’s ceiling is just too massive to ignore on a single game slate like this.
Be sure to check with Tyler Higbee’s status before you make any plans to roster him. Assuming he does sit, that will leave us with Kendall Blanton as really the only pass-catching TE for the Rams. We saw that Stafford wasn’t shy to get Blanton involved in their last game, and there’s serious potential for 5-7 targets here. To keep it simple – play Higbee if he’s active. If he sits, pivot to Blanton. There’s good value at their price points, and we’ll need exposure to someone like this in order to offset the prices of Kupp and Stafford in particular.
Let’s make sure we don’t sleep on Van Jefferson. He’s been quiet since a bang of a start to his 2021-2022 season, but still possesses all kinds of big play potential. He hasn’t scored in 7 weeks and he’s only eclipsed the 41 receiving yard mark once in his last 6. That said, you can see that Stafford is still making plenty of effort to give him a chance to make a big play, and all it takes is connecting on a 30-40 yard bomb for a score for him to be relevant and more or less break the slate. On a single game slate like this, you need to have some exposure to higher upside, lower priced names to be able to not only leave yourself open to a big payday, but also to afford more higher salary names like Kupp, Stafford, Chase and Higgins.
Now, let’s finish things off with our cheat sheets to help you narrow down your player pool(s) in a hurry.
Enjoy the Super Bowl, thanks for a great 2021-2022 NFL season, and best of luck out there!
DraftKings Showdown Slate
$ Tier CPTN QB RB WR TE K DST High Cooper Kupp (17.4k / 7.500) Matthew Stafford (10.8k / 5.00) Joe Mixon (9.6k / 5.00) Cooper Kupp (11.6k / 5.00) Kendall Blanton (4.6k / 5.00) Rams (3.4k / 5.00) Matthew Stafford (16.2k / 7.500) Joe Burrow (10.6k / 5.00) JaMarr Chase (10.4k / 5.00) Joe Burrow (15.9k / 7.500) JaMarr Chase (15.6k / 7.500) Medium Odell Beckham Jr. (12.6k / 7.500) Cam Akers (6.4k / 5.00) Odell Beckham Jr. (8.4k / 5.00) Joe Mixon (14.4k / 7.500) Tee Higgins (7.6k / 5.00) Low Darrell Henderson (1.6k / 5.00) Tyler Boyd (5.4k / 5.00) Matt Gay (3.8k / 5.00)
FanDuel Single Game Slate
$ Tier MVP QB RB WR TE K High Cooper Kupp (16k / 9.000) Matthew Stafford (15.5k / 6.00) Joe Mixon (12.5k / 6.00) Cooper Kupp (16k / 6.00) Matthew Stafford (15.5k / 9.000) Joe Burrow (15k / 6.00) JaMarr Chase (12k / 6.00) Joe Burrow (15k / 9.000) Medium JaMarr Chase (12k / 9.000) Cam Akers (10k / 6.00) Odell Beckham Jr. (10.5k / 6.00) Joe Mixon (12.5k / 9.000) Tee Higgins (10.5k / 6.00) Low Odell Beckham Jr. (10.5k / 9.000) Tyler Boyd (8.5k / 6.00) Kendall Blanton (8k / 6.00) Van Jefferson (7k / 6.00)