NFL Divisional Round – The Cruncher List for The Divisional Round Weekend: Game-By-Game Analysis for DraftKings and FanDuel

The Cruncher List | Divisional Round Weekend 2022 DraftKings and FanDuel NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Divisional Round Weekend Line-up.

The Divisional Round Weekend gives us a Main Slate spread across both Saturday and Sunday, for a four gamer!  I was pleasantly surprised to see this vs. having two Main Slates with two games each.  Of course, there will be Saturday Only and Sunday Only contests, but it is great to see some big prize pools for the contests that span the entire round for this weekend!  With that said, let’s dive in and look at each of the four games as the eight teams remaining try to punch their ticket to the Conference Championships next weekend!

Cincinnati @ Tennessee (-3), Projected Total: 47.5 points

Cincinnati – Projected Total: 22.25 points

The Bengals come into this one as small dogs on the road – and the match-up for them is a very interesting one as they go up against a team that has allowed plenty of fantasy production against them through the air.  I love the spots for QB Joe Burrow and WR JaMarr chase here.  Sure, they are more risky than some of the other elite options on the slate, but the match-up for them is an outstanding one – and both of them come at a discounted price relative to the other high ceiling QB’s and WR’s this week.  I have both of them on The Cruncher List for those that are ok with putting together line-ups that do, admittedly, have a lower floor.

WR Tee Higgins I have on there as well.  I like him more from a roster construction standpoint as he fits into a lot of builds with players that I like a lot for the week at higher price points.  If the Titans do decide to bracket and attempt to take Chase away, that should free up plenty of single man looks for Higgins and I like his chances of having a productive day at his price point here.

Outside of that, I would mix in the likes of RB Joe Mixon and WR Tyler Boyd (as a value option) into builds – but I do prefer other options on the board this week at their respective positions and price points.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Joe Burrow
  • WR JaMarr Chase
  • WR Tee Higgins

Good Plays

  • RB Joe Mixon
  • WR Tyler Boyd

Tennessee- Projected total: 25.25 points

All things are pointing towards RB Derrick Henry being back in the fold this week for the Titans, with him set to be activated from the IR list on Friday.  Now – there’s a wide range of outcomes here in terms of his workload – but it’s hard to imagine a case where him at $7,500 isn’t worth including in builds this week.  I do have him on The Cruncher List here – but I will note that he makes for an interesting game theory fade in case he shows any rust in returning from his foot injury, or if the Titans decide to limit his workload in his first week back since Week 8 (which is the approach I am planning to take as of Saturday morning for single entry)…but there’s plenty of risk involved with a player of Henry’s calibre if he even gets remotely near the same volume that we are accustomed to seeing from him.

As for the passing game, I do think the return of Henry will really help open up the play action game for the Titans, which should free up some better looks for WR AJ Brown and company.  For me, on the Titans – he is really the only receiving option that I have interest in, and I do think he’s an elite option this week and an interesting pivot that should be lower owned than Kupp and Adams (admittedly, for good reason).  On a slate this loaded, as much as I think he will have a solid day – I would be pretty surprised if QB Ryan Tannehill was a part of a large field GPP win, so I have him off of the lists below.  The only path I see to him being relevant is if you are really tight for salary, or if he happens to run 1-2 TD’s in himself near the goalline.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Derrick Henry
  • WR AJ Brown

Good Plays

  • Titans DST

San Francisco @ Green Bay (-5), Projected total: 47 points

San Francisco – Projected Total: 21 points

The 49ers come into this one as the biggest underdogs on the slate, projected for a low total here.  I’m not expecting them to be too popular, but I do think there is a path here for a couple options to be large field GPP relevant, largely through their ground game.  Historically, the Packers have used a funnel defence that has been vulnerable to the run – and there have been some instances between these two teams where the 49ers gauged them on the ground, including in the NFC Champioship two years ago on Raheem Mostert Day.

For me, I have RB Eli Mitchell on The Cruncher List this week.  I expect him to see 20+ touches in this one and in a nice match-up, I do love the spot for him.  I think he’ll check in lower owned than he probably should be.  The risk with him is if the Packers get up by a couple scores, which is in the range of outcomes here.  He’s a great option though if you don’t mind getting a little risky in single entry and also worth some solid exposure in large field GPP’s in my books.

I have WR Deebo Samuel just off of the list this week at his price point, but I do think he is an attractive contrarian option.  I think he’ll be lower owned than all the other extremely high priced WR’s on the slate, and I think he’s a very interesting option that won’t be popular.  With that said, I do prefer a few other options on the board.

Outside of those two, I don’t have too much interest in anyone else here.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Eli Mitchell

Good Plays

  • WR Deebo Samuel

Green Bay – Projected Total: 26 points

The Packers come into this one with a pretty healthy total despite a tough match-up against a stout 49ers defence.  For me, I think that WR Davante Adams is an elite option this week and is worth strong consideration to include in line-ups for single entry and worth a significant number of line-ups in large field GPP’s.

As for the rest of the offence – I can’t say that I love the spot for anyone.  It’s not to say that I think that the Packers won’t reach the projected total here.  Moreso, I think that I’d be a bit surprised if anyone other than Adams was a part of a large field GPP win.  I have Rodgers in the ‘good play’ section here, and I think you can mix both backs into your player pool for double digit ownership levels in large field GPP’s – but all in all, I do prefer other options on the board this week in games that I think will be higher scoring than in this one.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Davante Adams

Good Plays

  • QB Aaron Rodgers
  • RB Aaron Jones

LA Rams @ Tampa Bay (-2), Projected Total: 48

LA Rams, Projected Total: 23 points

The Rams travel to Tampa this week to take on the Bucs in the first game on Sunday.  Fresh off of his long-awaited playoff win, we will see what Matthew Stafford brings to the table this week in a game that has a pretty wide range of outcomes from a DFS standpoint.

WR Cooper Kupp is an elite option at WR this week.  He is one of the biggest benefactors of the pretty soft pricing across the board this week and checking in at $8,600 this week, you don’t need me to tell you that he’s an elite option that will be popular and worthy of a spot on The Cruncher List.

Outside of that, I don’t have too much interest in Stafford, Odell Beckham or Van Jefferson this week.  Jefferson’s price point is attractive and if you wanted to use him as a punt, I’d have no qualms about it.  As for Stafford and Odell, they are tempting options at their price points, but I do prefer other options on the board.

I’ve been fading RB’s against the Bucs for seasons – and I don’t think I’ll be starting to use any this week despite how strong RB Cam Akers looked a week ago.  I think we’ll see a split here in the Rams backfield and don’t have too much interest in either Akers or Michel this week – but you could twist my arm to admit that Cam Akers is at least an intriguing option based on how he looked last week.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Cooper Kupp

Good Plays

  • RB Sony Michel
  • WR Van Jefferson (punt)
  • Rams DST

Tampa Bay – Projected Total: 25 points

The Bucs are extremely banged up headed into this one and you’ll want to keep an eye out for the status of RB Leonard Fournette to see if he clears and gets taken off of the IR List on Saturday afternoon.  Outside of him, Ryan Jensen and OT Tristan Wirfs are both questionable as well and are vital to the ability of the Bucs to keep Brady safe in the pocket.  WR Breshad Perriman is out this week – and all in all, things could be pretty dire out here for the Bucs.

As we start the all weekend slate, I am going to work under the impression that Fournette is going to miss this week – and even if he does suit up in this one, I have no problem fading him.  If he does sit, I do think that RB Giovani Bernard is an elite value back who should be heavily involved yet again this week.  He has a high floor thanks to his prowess in the passing game, and he’s a very intriguing option at his price point.  I don’t have too much interest in Ke’Shawn Vaughn this week as I do think he’ll struggle to find running room against the Rams front.

As for the passing game, WR Mike Evans will draw Jalen Ramsey in this one – and that’s enough to keep me off of him.  Of course, everyone will be saying that and building line-ups accordingly, so if you do like the spot for Evans, you will probably be able to get him with low ownership levels.

TE Rob Gronkowski is an elite option at TE and should be in line for heavy volume after a quiet week in the Wild Card Round.  He did find the endzone, but largely was disappointing.  I think he bounces back with a strong game here and have him on The Cruncher List.

As for the other receiving options, WR Tyler Johnson and WR Scottie Miller are worth considering.  I think Johnson is the most likely to see heavy volume here, but Miller has the potential to be an elite punt with rock bottom ownership levels.

I’ll circle back with an update on the Bucs when we have more clarity about the health of their injury report on Sunday morning – but as of now, this is my thoughts on how to approach them headed into the Main Slate this weekend.

Update: RB Leonard Fournette was removed from IR this weekend, and looks like he’ll be suiting up for the Bucs in this one.  My gut tells me that they probably wouldn’t be doing this unless he was close to 100%, and I expect him to have a full workload in this one.  In a game with limited passing weapons at the disposal of QB Tom Brady, I love the spot for him here and have him on The Cruncher List this week – if you can stomach the risk that he shares snaps.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Leonard Fournette
  • TE Rob Gronkowski
  • Bucs DST

Good Plays

  • WR Tyler Johnson (punt)

Buffalo @ Kansas City (-1), Projected Total: 54.5

Buffalo – Projected Total: 26.5 points

This game has no shortage of fantasy appeal – not shocking when you see a projected total north of 54 points.  To me, fresh off of a ‘perfect game’, there’s lots to like here with Buffalo and I think they’ll be able to put up points in bulk in this one.  Allen is my favourite QB on the board here even with the most expensive price tag.

I also have RB Devin Singletary as an elite play at a price that doesn’t break the bank.  He has been outstanding down the stretch and continues to be a pivotal part of the explosive Bills offence and I really like the spot for him this week.

WR Stefon Diggs was very quiet a week ago, but priced at $6,500 – there is plenty of appeal here.  He’s been a bit disappointing in DFS circles this season  -but at a reasonable price tag, he’s a fantastic option relative to his price in a game that should be a shoot-out.

As for the other options here, I have WR Gabriel Davis and TE Dawson Knox as ‘good’ plays here, and they make for interesting pivots that will probably be lower owned than Singletary/Diggs as a part of Bills stacks.  In large field GPP MME formats, I like using these 5 as your combinations of 3-man Buffalo stacks, and to me, I probably wouldn’t go outside this list and have no problem fading the likes of Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders.  For you deep contrarians out there, you could convince me to sprinkle in a few percentage points of your exposure on WR Isaiah Mackenzie – who looked great yet again albeit in limited usage a week ago.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Josh Allen
  • RB Devin Singletary
  • WR Stefon Diggs

Good Plays

  • WR Gabriel Davis
  • TE Dawson Knox
  • Bills DST

Kansas City – Projected Total: 27.5 points

The Chiefs come into this one with the highest projected total on the board in the game with the highest total and at pretty reasonable price points compared to where we’ve seen them all season – there’s a lot of appeal here.  QB Patrick Mahomes is an elite option and I suspect he’ll check in as less popular than Allen in this one – putting him in a very interesting spot.  Mahomes threw 5 TD’s and cleared 400 yards in Wild Card Weekend and although Allen and the Bills stole the headlines, after a slow start against the Steelers, Mahomes had himself a fantastic fantasy week as well and is on The Cruncher List this week (though admittedly, I do prefer Allen here if I had to pick one).

As for the receiving options, WR Tyreek Hill and WR Travis Kelce are both very affordable this week.  Hill looked more like his usual self a week ago against Pittsburgh, but I don’t think he is fully at 100% and that is enough to make me prefer Kelce out of this pair if I had to pick one.  I have Kelce on The Cruncher List this week while Hill narrowly misses the cut here, but is still worth mixing into builds and game stacks in your builds that go that route for this weekend’s slate.  WR Byron Pringle to me is an elite punt with upside here, and I have him on The Cruncher List as well based on his price point.

As for the ground game, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire will be back this week – but quite frankly, he has never really looked as good as RB Jerrick McKinnon did a week ago.  I have McKinnon on The Cruncher List as an elite value back this week, though there is some risk here in terms of his usage.  If you can stomach that risk (and the fact that NFL teams often do not appease DFS circles in terms of usage), I think he’s an excellent play this week while personally, I have no interest in CEH here (or Darrel Williams).

The Cruncher List

  • QB Patrick Mahomes
  • RB Jerrick McKinnon (value)
  • WR Byron Pringle (value)
  • TE Travis Kelce

Good Plays

  • WR Tyreek Hill

Best of luck in your contests this weekend, and I hope you enjoy what looks like it will be a fantastic set of four games over Saturday and Sunday!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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