NFL Wild Card Weekend – The Cruncher List for Wild Card Weekend: Game-By-Game Analysis for DraftKings and FanDuel

The Cruncher List | Wild Card Weekend 2022 DraftKings and FanDuel NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Wild Card Weekend Line-up.

Playoffs are here!  With that, we have a breakdown of some ideas in terms of how to approach each and every game for the 2022 Wild Card Weekend for NFL DFS contests on DraftKings and FanDuel!  We’ll be focused on the Saturday Only and Sunday Only slates in terms of how we break things down – so let’s dive in and have a look at the two game slate on Saturday and the three gamer on Sunday for NFL DFS action on Wild Card Weekend on DraftKings and FanDuel!

Las Vegas @ Cincinnati (-5), Projected Total: 48.5 points

Las Vegas – Projected Total: 21.75 points

The Raiders come into this one as 5 point dogs as they travel to Cincinnati and they will likely not be too popular in terms of rosters for the Saturday slate – well, at least as much as that can be the case on a two game slate.  I do expect RB Josh Jacobs to be a popular option as a three down back at a price point that doesn’t break the bank.  He comes into this one fresh off of a 26-132-1 line in Week 18’s win over the Chargers, and I would expect another heavy workload in this one as the Raiders try and punch their ticket to the second round.  He’s an elite option this week, though I do prefer Mixon and Damien Harris to him this week.

In terms of the passing game, Carr is viable if you want to spend down at QB this slate.  I don’t think it’s necessarily needed, but there could be some appeal if you think that this game will turn into an aerial attack by both teams.

As for his receiving options, WR Hunter Renfrow did score twice last week – but only saw 5 targets with the return of TE Darren Waller.  He’s priced a little high for me given the fact that most of his damage this season was done in bulk when Waller was out.  With him back in the fold – he narrowly misses the cut for The Cruncher List for me this week.

WR Zay Jones is an elite punt with upside.  He didn’t produce much in Week 18’s win – but he continues to see single coverage and was targeted eight times a week ago, catching 5 of those for 27 yards.  He’s a great punt worth mixing into builds this week.

As for Waller, he only hauled in 2 of his 9 targets for 22 yards last week & for me, he’s a little pricey considering he really struggled last week to get separation in coverage.  I think he’s worth mixing into builds in large field GPP’s – but I have no problem making a call on him to fade and if he breaks the slate for me, so be it.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Josh Jacobs
  • WR Zay Jones (punt)

Good Plays

  • QB Derek Carr
  • WR Hunter Renfrow

Cincinnati – Projected total: 26.75 points

The Bengals come into this one fresh off a week where they sat most of the key cogs in their offence.  While the Raiders have been tough on opposing passing games (if the volume is reasonable), the same could have been said about the Chiefs before Burrow and Chase lit up the scoreboard in Week 17’s win.

For me this week, Burrow and Chase are elite options – with the only downside to them being the fact that I expect both of them to be very popular on the slate, especially with the weather forecast for Buffalo this week.  WR Tee Higgins would be an interesting pivot (or compliment to Burrow and Chase) if you opted to go with a stack here.  He just misses the cut for me for The Cruncher List – but I do think that he is a very strong play this week, assuming he is at 100% with his injury.

WR Tyler Boyd is a rock solid option as a near punt at the WR position.  He comes into this one with a TD in three straight games (yes, I know he suited up in Week 18 – but the Bengals were clearly just looking towards the playoffs last week).

As for RB Joe Mixon, he’s an elite option and I love this spot for him.  It’s worth noting that when the two teams met up in Week 11, the Bengals opted to heavily feature Mixon rather than their passing game – and it worked, with Mixon posting a 30-123-2 line in a 32-13 win.  If you think that we are in for a repeat game script, it could pay off in spades to mix in some line-ups with Mixon as the prominent option from the Bengals (along with a fade of the passing game…but admittedly, that is very risky on this short slate).

The Cruncher List

  • QB Joe Burrow
  • RB Joe Mixon
  • WR JaMarr Chase
  • Bengals DST

Good Plays

  • WR Tee Higgins
  • WR Tyler Boyd

New England @ Buffalo (-4), Projected total: 44 points

New England – Projected Total: 20 points

The weather forecast in this one is calling for frigid temperature and pretty strong winds (but not as bad as the previous match-up between these teams in Buffalo).  I expect the Pats to focus heavily on the ground game that has gauged the Bills front seven.  We all know how effective the Pats were on the ground in that wind game, and even in the rematch under better conditions, RB Damien Harris scored 3 TD’s.  He’s not 100% with his bum hamstring, but I fully expect him to suit up in this one and see heavy work, and I think he’ll check in on fewer rosters than he should be on in this one.  You could make a case to go with the leverage play of RB Rhamondre Stevenson – but I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure there.  He’s worth mixing into builds, however.

As for the passing game, given the slate, I do like the spot for TE Hunter Henry at his price point.  He’s a rock solid option given the limited options at affordable prices on the slate, but I do prefer Knox to him for what it’s worth.  As for the other options, I do think that Meyers, Bourne – and to a lesser extent, Agholor are worth mixing into builds.  Meyers has the highest floor of the group, but I think factoring in what I project ownership levels to be at, I’m most intrigued by Bourne, who I do have on The Cruncher List in this one.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Damien Harris
  • WR Kendrick Bourne
  • TE Hunter Henry

Good Plays

  • RB Rhamondre Stevenson
  • Pats DST

Buffalo – Projected Total: 24 points

The Bills come into this one as small favorites at home in a game with a low projected total.  This is a big one for Buffalo, and they are in tough going up against a stout defence.  For me, I think the weather puts a ceiling on what we can expect for the Bills – and at their price points, I don’t have as much interest in them as I usually do.  I do think that QB Josh Allen is an elite option this week as I would expect him to be running a fair bit in this one.  He’s an elite option for me this week – as is TE Dawson Knox, who I do think will see plenty of looks in this one.

As for WR Stefon Diggs and RB Devin Singletary – I do think that both of them are worth mixing into large field GPP builds, but I do prefer other options on the slate on Saturday.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Josh Allen
  • TE Dawson Knox

Good Plays

  • RB Devin Singletary
  • WR Stefon Diggs
  • Bills DST

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay (-8), Projected Total: 45.5

Philadelphia, Projected Total: 18.75 points

The Eagles come into this one with a low projected total, and personally, I don’t have too much interest here as they go up against a tough Bucs defence.  I could see a path to QB Jalen Hurts being relevant in large field GPP’s on the slate, but that would likely only play out in my opinion if the Bucs put up a ton of points.  For me – Hurts is worth mixing into builds, but more as a contrarian option more than anything else.

TE Dallas Goedert is a great value play at the TE position.  He’s priced down from most of the other options on the slate and I do think that relative to his price point that he is a great play worthy of a spot on The Cruncher List this week in a game that I think the Eagles will be forced to turn to the passing game.

As for the RB’s, I’ve not made a habit of using any against the Bucs front seven – and I don’t really have any intention of starting that this week given the fact that RB Miles Sanders’ status is up in the air – and the usage here all season has been unpredictable…at best.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • QB Jalen Hurts
  • TE Dallas Goedert

Tampa Bay – Projected Total: 26.75 points

The Bucs come into this one with a healthy projected total – and down a few options in the passing game, I think they are pretty straight forward in terms of how to approach them (assuming RB Leonard Fournette is good for a full workload).  With that said, it does sound like his status is up in the air based on the quote from Bruce Arians – so I will take a wait and see approach in terms of figuring out the lay of the land for the Bucs backfield in this one.  I’ll check back in as the weekend goes and update this piece accordingly….

Update – with RB Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones both ruled out of this one, I would expect RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn to see significant work in this one and at his price point, he’s an elite play, even if he doesn’t see the sole snaps in the backfield for the Bucs.  He’ll be very popular today as a punt with upside.

As for the passing game, I think that Brady, TE Rob Gronkowski and WR Mike Evans are elite options in this one.  It’s hard to bet against Brady getting it done in this match-up, and without many reliable, proven options in the passing game – I’m expecting 8+ targets for both Gronk and Evans in this one – and I like their chances of producing.  I have all three options on The Cruncher List this week.

Outside of that, WR Breshad Perriman and WR Tyler Johnson are intriguing near punts with upside in this one.  My preference here is Perriman, who after missing a week from being on the covid list, returned to catch 5 of 6 targets in Week 18.  I have him on The Cruncher List as well as a bit of an outside the box tout – as I really liked what I saw from him in his expanding role since the Godwin injury (before he missed a week).

The Cruncher List

  • QB Tom Brady
  • RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn (punt)
  • WR Mike Evans
  • TE Rob Gronkowski

Good Plays

  • WR Breshad Perriman (punt)
  • WR Tyler Johnson (punt)

San Francisco @ Dallas (-3), Projected Total: 51

San Francisco – Projected Total: 24 points

I love the spot this week for RB Eli Mitchell and WR Deebo Samuel in a game that should see points go up on the board.  For me, it’s hard to see that happening without Mitchell and Samuel being among the best at their respective positions for the Sunday slate.  Samuel is expensive, which I think will help keep his ownership levels in check, while for Mitchell – I do think he’ll be chalky, but I do think that it is a case of eating some good chalk.  The match-up for each of them is an attractive one and I expect them both to be rock solid options this week.

As for the rest of the 49ers, you can mix in exposure to TE George Kittle and WR Brandon Aiyuk – but for me, they are pivot plays off of other options on the slate at best.  Kittle would not shock me if he popped in this one – but he has seen a significant downturn in terms of his looks now that Samuel is spending less time in the backfield than he did when Mitchell was out – which is enough to make me lean to Gronk/Kelce at the TE position on this slate…which is loaded compared to Saturday’s options.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Eli Mitchell
  • WR Deebo Samuel

Good Plays

  • TE George Kittle
  • 49ers DST

Dallas – Projected Total: 27 points

The projected total here is high – but honestly, I don’t love the spot for too many options on the Cowboys offence here.  The price point is quite tempting on a few of the options, including WR CeeDee Lamb – but outside of him, I really do prefer options from other teams on the board this week.  I have Lamb listed as an elite option and a spot on The Cruncher List this week, while everyone else are secondary plays for me.  QB Dak Prescott is a narrow miss, but admittedly, I do prefer the spot for both Brady and Mahomes on the Sunday slate – but I wouldn’t blame anyone who did like the spot for him here at his price point (and the same with WR Amari Cooper for that matter).

The Cruncher List

  • WR CeeDee Lamb

Good Plays

  • QB Dak Prescott
  • WR Amari Cooper
  • TE Dalton Schultz
  • Cowboys DST

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City (-13), Projected Total: 46 points

Pittsburgh – Projected Total: 16.5 points

The Steelers come into this one with the lowest projected total on the board, and in a game where I am expecting them to play from behind, there are some options that I think are worth considering, led by WR Diontae Johnson.  He’s not cheap, but on DK with the full PPR format, it’s hard not to love the spot for him in what should be a pass friendly game script.  He saw double digit targets in all but 4 games this season and is an elite option for me on DK, while he narrowly misses the boat on FD with the half PPR format.

Outside of that, I don’t have too much interest in any of the Steelers.  You could mix in the likes of RB Najee Harris, WR Chase Claypool and TE Pat Friermuth in large field GPP MME formats, but they are contrarian options at best at their respective price points.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Diontae Johnson (DK)

Good Plays

  • WR Diontae Johnson (FD)

Kansas City – Projected Total: 29.5 points

The Chiefs come into this one with the highest projected total on the board for the slate – and they’ll be popular.  RB Darrel Williams is going to suit up for this one, while RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been ruled out, putting Williams in a fantastic spot against arguably the worst run defence in football.  If you were looking for a contrarian option here to include in large field GPP builds, RB Derrick Gore has a chance to see more touches than usual (if in fact Williams is less than 100%).  I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure here, but I do think there is some appeal if Williams is hobbled (or aggravates his injured toe).

QB Patrick Mahomes is an elite option at QB this week, as is TE Travis Kelce – who is my favorite option in the which one of Kelce/Hill do I tout this week in a plus match-up for the Chiefs.  Hill has struggled in three straight games and is at less than 100% – so to me, I like the idea of a fade here on him, even though it’s risky and he could break the Sunday slate.

WR Byron Pringle is an elite punt with upside at WR for me as well, and I do prefer him over WR Mecole Hardman.  He has hit double digit DKP in two of the past three games, including his 2 TD effort in Week 16.  Hardman would get a bump up for me if there is any news that breaks regarding Hill and his injury.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Patrick Mahomes
  • RB Darrel Williams
  • WR Byron Pringle (punt)
  • TE Travis Kelce
  • Chiefs DST

Good Plays

  • WR Tyreek Hill
  • WR Mecole Hardman

Best of luck in your contests on Wild Card Weekend & we will be back with coverage for next weekend’s Divisional Round!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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