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The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – January 11, 2022 (1/11/22)

The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – January 11, 2022 (1/11/22)

Please note that players on DraftKings and FanDuel have multi-position eligibility and may not always match their position between each other. In this article, we will be breaking down some of our favorite plays on the slate at their positions. Remember to always keep your eye on the news as the day progresses, as NBA news changes the slate frequently.

Guards

D’Angelo Russell ($8,000 DK, $7,600 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
115.50 25.9% 1.13 24th 47.92

Russell has been a man of consistency recently, with a 6.3x value or higher in three of his last four games played. The usage from Russell has actually been below his recent averages for usage rating, averaging around 21% usage over his last five. But the Timberwolves grab a great on-paper matchup with the Pelicans tonight and a 115.50 team total which is the second-highest on the slate. Minnesota has scored 276 points combined over their last two games so it feels like an understatement to say they have been feeling it. The Pelicans are allowing the 10th most fantasy points to point guards currently on the season and over 110 points per game.

Klay Thompson ($6,000 DK, $6,300 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
109.75 41% 1.24 11th 38.53

Klay Thompson made his long-awaited return to the NBA on Sunday by starting and playing just 20 minutes for the Warriors. However, in those 20 minutes of action, we got a ton of usage from Thompson with 18 attempted shots and 41% usage total. Thompson only played in small bursts, but did leave the game healthy, and even with some peripheral stats. Thompson likely still has some restrictions here, but the price on each site is pretty low and the usage is wildly high. While I do not expect it to stay that high, he will slowly return to form and a full allotment of minutes. Expect a small bump in minutes here in what should be a quick-paced game against the Grizzlies. Draymond Green has already been ruled out.

Forwards

Kyle Kuzma ($8,400 DK, $8,800 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
112.75 21.2% 1.01 14th 45.43

While I will admit this price is nearly out of my comfort zone, I also am a firm believer in riding out a heater while you can. Kyle Kuzma’s recent run can only be described as that as over his last eight games, Kuzma is averaging 23.4 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game. He also has seven double-double’s during that stretch. While Kuzma’s season average for usage has been 21%, over his last eight games it has averaged out to around 28%. Kuzma is fresh off a 20-20 game and is averaging 13.6 rebounds in January. While Kuzma has been playing all over the floor, the Thunder do allow the most fantasy points in the league to small forwards and fifth-most to power forwards. Montrezl Harrell will return for the Wizards which is slightly concerning for the rebound upside, but I don’t see Washington doing anything to negatively impact the run here. The Thunder are a poor defensive team and not one that should impact DFS decisions.

Jae Crowder ($3,900 DK, $4,100 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
113.75 14.4% 0.74 20th 45.30

This is a bit of a wildcard play, but Jae Crowder checks in at a cheap price on each site and should see a slight bump in usage tonight against Toronto. Crowder has seen 26 or more minutes in each of his last four games and continues to start for the Suns. While Crowder hasn’t eclipsed 30 fantasy points since December 10th, he should see a slight uptick with Cameron Johnson already ruled out for this game. Now, the usage should result only in a few more shot attempts, though Booker could also absorb them. But the thing that gives me a little more hope is Crowder is in the midst of a shooting slump, going just 7-for-24 in his last three games. While slumps are nothing to be celebrated, getting back to normal for Crowder will result in some 5x+ value results as he has been flirting with that number regardless. The Suns get a good matchup against a poor defensive Toronto team and while Crowder may not be the cream of the crop, he makes for an intriguing value and tournament play with Johnson’s 32 minutes and 18% usage out for this one.

Power Foward/Centers

Jonas Valanciunas ($8,500 DK, $7,900 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
111.50 24.6%% 1.29 8th 56.48

As mentioned a little bit above, the Timberwolves have scored over 270 points combined over their last two games and this game features the highest total of the night currently. Valanciunas has scored over 30 fantasy points in all but four games all season and has played an average of 33 minutes over his last four games. Vala always has a chance to go-off on any given night, but he has been of a model of consistency than anything for the Pelicans. Minnesota is currently allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to center on the season and if we project this as a high-scoring affair, then Valanciunas should be in the thick of it. The price on FanDuel is a little more friendly for us here and values out a little bit better when we factor in the steals and blocks boost. That being said, I personally like getting multiple pieces from MIN/NO here.

About James Smizek

James is a Daily Fantasy Sports Veteran dating all the way back to his days of writing content on DraftStreet.com for contest tickets. James specializes in College Football - qualifying for the CFB World Championship in 2018, though you can find his content for NFL, NBA, MLB, and NASCAR on FantasyCruncher. James also picked up some new tricks during the Covid/sports shutdown, carving out a niche in League of Legends, Rocket League, and Call of Duty eSports. A winner of multiple large field GPP's, James hopes his knowledge can help you take down the next one. James currently resides in Wisconsin and is a huge Wisconsin sports fan. If you have any questions you can reach out to him @iKezims on Twitter.

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