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The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – November 18, 2021 (11/18/21)

The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – November 18, 2021 (11/18/21)

Please note that players on DraftKings and FanDuel have multi-position eligibility and may not always match their position between each other. In this article, we will be breaking down some of our favorite plays on the slate at their positions. Remember to always keep your eye on the news as the day progresses, as NBA news changes the slate frequently.

Point Guard

Aaron Holiday ($3,800 DK, $4,400 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
101.25 17.3% 0.73 8th 42.56

While there is nothing flashy about Aaron Holiday, he should provide some nice cost savings for us in a game that starting point guard Spencer Dinwiddie is likely to be out of due to rest management. While the FPPM is low, it does jump a bit here with no Dinwiddie on the floor. Holiday only played 12 minutes on Wednesday but played 35 on Sunday and 27 on Monday. Holiday was the primary fill-in for Bradley Beal when he was out, but I would consider Holiday a truer point guard than shooting guard. Raul Neto is also likely to get some minutes here, but I think if looking for straight value, a 3.8k Holiday on DraftKings should still get us around a 15 point floor.

Shooting Guard

Eric Bledsoe ($5,800 DK, $5,700 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
111.00 20.7% 0.92 29th 41.66

While Eric Bledsoe may be the third or fourth scoring option on the Clippers, he has been consistent, scoring over 31 fantasy points in four of his last five games. Add in the fact that Nic Batum is doubtful for this game and Terrance Mann is questionable to doubtful, and Eric Bledsoe at worst is a lock for 32-36 minutes in this one. Over the course of the last handful of games, Bledsoe has juggled getting steals or either getting to the line, but not both in the same game. While it sounds cheesy, Bledsoe is a small bit of luck away from busting past his recent 30 point floor. And, at worst, if it all comes to be, Bledsoe’s floor is around 25-30 fantasy points right now which is just fine for this price-point. With a matchup against the Grizzlies on tap and some injuries that should free up a big more shot volume, Bledsoe feels like a safe play tonight who also has the upside for a ceiling game.

Small Forward

Paul George ($11,000 DK, $10,100 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
111.00 35.5% 1.43 29th 48.69

I’ll be the first to admit that the DraftKings price is a little ridiculous here, but there is still merit to the play, especially with some other value options looking to be present on this slate. Much of what I already said about Eric Bledsoe rings true here as well – I expect Nic Batum to miss this game and Terrence Mann likely won’t be at full strength either. George already carries an insane usage rate and FPPM on the year and nothing should change here against the Grizzlies. Memphis is allowing the most fantasy points to small forwards in the NBA so far this season and George has crossed the 51 fantasy point threshold in each of his last two games. While George costs an arm and a leg here, on paper he has the best chance to have a slate-breaking performance.

Dean Wade ($4,200 DK, $4,500 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
99.75 9.3% 0.54 1st 43.69

Okay, hear me out please – I know the usage rate and the FPPM here are ridiculously low, but we have to consider that Jarrett Allen is likely out and Evan Mobley is out. While Kevin Love and Isaac Okoro return, Wade still drew a start on Wednesday and played 37 minutes. While Wade scored just 11 points with five boards and two assists, he also managed two steals. So while the usage and FPPM is low on paper, the data when Mobley and Allen is out is a lot different. While I hate targeting back-to-backs, this is just a six-game slate and it is important to squeeze any value we can out of some players. If Jarrett Allen miraculously returns, I would nix this play as really anyone else coming back is going to kill all the minutes from Wade here and he has proven he needs every minute he can to reach an X value. Given all that, keep an eye if Wade draws another start and then I bet you could do a lot worse for 4.2k.

Power Forward

Pascal Siakam ($7,900 DK, $8,100 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
102.00 22.6% 1.11 11th 45.01

It was a wait-and-see for me with Siakam returning from injury and making his season debut back on 11/7. However, it took just two games before Siakam was shouldering (no pun intended) a starter’s workload as he played 35 minutes against the Pistons on Sunday and then 39 against the Blazers on Monday. Besides VanVleet, Siakam is arguably the number one option in this offense and a guy who can flirt with a triple-double on any given night. Add in the fact here that the power forward position is kind of dry tonight and I think Siakam becomes the most attractive play of the bunch. Tobias Harris carries a price tag $900 higher than Siakam and after that we get to pick from Draymond Green, Scottie Barnes, and Kyle Kuzma. So if looking to roster a ceiling from the power forward spot, it is looking like Siakam has the highest one for his price. The Jazz have been above average as a whole, but give up the 15th most to the power forward position. OG Anunoby is questionable here as well and while that won’t directly impact Siakam’s minutes, it is 14-20 shots that wouldn’t be going up from his hands.

Center

Rudy Gobert ($8,000 DK, $8,500 FD)

Team Total Usage Rate Fantasy Points Per Minute Opponent Defensive Net Rating Rank Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to Position 
111.00 17.8% 1.34 19th 51.77

In a very similar breath to Pascal Siakam, Rudy Gobert just kind of makes the most sense at his position tonight when factoring in the other options. Over Gobert’s last 10-games he has only fallen below 33.50 fantasy points one time and he is averaging 41.50 fantasy points per game on the year. His minutes have been a little up and down, but you can see he is making up for it with a 1.34 fantasy point per minute mark. The Raptors defense is middle of the pack in general and Gobert has a double-double in 11 of his 14 games played on the year. While this analysis doesn’t run too deep here, the other options on a six-game slate kind of let us play the process of elimination. Nikola Jokic is 12k, if you have the money to roster him more power to you and I won’t stop you. But assuming you don’t, Karl Anthony Towns on a back-to-back against San Antonio is an option at 10.5k and then Andre Drummon at 8.2k who has been very inconsistent in his last two starts. Evan Mobley and Jacob Poetl are still out and Jarrett Allen is questionable. Once you start breaking it down, we are only left with about six realistic options at the center position excluding people we might consider “tournament plays”. Remember, while we always love to nail a good tournament option, these article are also written with cash game options in mind.

About James Smizek

James is a Daily Fantasy Sports Veteran dating all the way back to his days of writing content on DraftStreet.com for contest tickets. James specializes in College Football - qualifying for the CFB World Championship in 2018, though you can find his content for NFL, NBA, MLB, and NASCAR on FantasyCruncher. James also picked up some new tricks during the Covid/sports shutdown, carving out a niche in League of Legends, Rocket League, and Call of Duty eSports. A winner of multiple large field GPP's, James hopes his knowledge can help you take down the next one. James currently resides in Wisconsin and is a huge Wisconsin sports fan. If you have any questions you can reach out to him @iKezims on Twitter.

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